Weekly report · 2 to 9 November 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on SpaceX, 2 to 9 November

Prepared November 9, 2026 · Report data

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Every SpaceX forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every SpaceX price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 2 to Monday 9 November at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 14,041 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more36.6%
  2. went 200 to 300%15.0%
  3. went 125 to 200%24.5%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level16.0%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.2%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.6%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.4%
  8. went under 25%3.7%
of the forecasted distance
        

14,041 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 5 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above14,041 forecasts
        
36.6%300%+
15.0%200–300%
24.5%125–200%
16.0%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
3.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%54,037 forecasts
        
19.7%300%+
12.3%200–300%
29.2%125–200%
25.6%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
6.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%43,500 forecasts
        
17.9%300%+
8.6%200–300%
25.2%125–200%
30.2%100–125%
3.4%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
8.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%38,709 forecasts
        
15.1%300%+
8.7%200–300%
24.7%125–200%
31.8%100–125%
3.5%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
8.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%28,673 forecasts
        
10.9%300%+
9.1%200–300%
26.0%125–200%
34.9%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
4.2%25–50%
7.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%25,205 forecasts
        
9.2%300%+
8.1%200–300%
25.8%125–200%
37.5%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
4.0%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
7.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%21,847 forecasts
        
8.9%300%+
7.9%200–300%
24.2%125–200%
37.4%100–125%
4.5%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
4.8%25–50%
7.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%21,915 forecasts
        
9.0%300%+
8.1%200–300%
24.1%125–200%
34.8%100–125%
4.5%75–99%
5.0%50–75%
5.5%25–50%
9.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise7,368 forecasts
        
34.5%300%+
14.9%200–300%
25.4%125–200%
16.2%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
4.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall6,673 forecasts
        
38.9%300%+
15.2%200–300%
23.5%125–200%
15.8%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 5 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes3,546 forecasts
        
63.1%300%+
12.5%200–300%
10.1%125–200%
3.7%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
5.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes3,804 forecasts
        
42.6%300%+
17.0%200–300%
22.4%125–200%
9.8%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour2,116 forecasts
        
26.6%300%+
19.1%200–300%
31.6%125–200%
16.0%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
2.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours520 forecasts
        
36.3%300%+
22.5%200–300%
23.5%125–200%
11.7%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
2.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,758 forecasts
        
11.2%300%+
17.2%200–300%
37.0%125–200%
29.6%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
1.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day2,145 forecasts
        
13.1%300%+
8.5%200–300%
34.7%125–200%
36.4%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
2.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days151 forecasts
        
31.8%300%+
6.6%200–300%
32.4%125–200%
28.5%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days1 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
100.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 2
3,289
Tue 3
1,506
Wed 4
2,176
Thu 5
2,825
Fri 6
946
Sat 7
1,483
Mon 9
1,816
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 5,133 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-05 23:15 UTC
Price
122.52
Forecasted level
123.27
Distance
0.62%
Furthest move
2.63%
Confidence
95%
427% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 2,108 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-04 11:35 UTC
Price
134.57
Forecasted level
133.83
Distance
0.55%
Furthest move
1.27%
Confidence
95%
230% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 3,443 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-05 21:00 UTC
Price
123.65
Forecasted level
124.93
Distance
1.04%
Furthest move
1.69%
Confidence
96%
163% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 2,250 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-05 15:35 UTC
Price
125.47
Forecasted level
124.32
Distance
0.91%
Furthest move
1.06%
Confidence
95%
116% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 175 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-11-05 14:30 UTC
Price
130.27
Forecasted level
130.89
Distance
0.48%
Furthest move
0.43%
Confidence
95%
89% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 221 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-06 19:41 UTC
Price
134.37
Forecasted level
133.66
Distance
0.53%
Furthest move
0.33%
Confidence
95%
63% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 194 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-04 15:15 UTC
Price
138.84
Forecasted level
139.85
Distance
0.73%
Furthest move
0.28%
Confidence
96%
38% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 517 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-06 19:24 UTC
Price
133.90
Forecasted level
133.20
Distance
0.52%
Furthest move
0.06%
Confidence
95%
11% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live SpaceX forecasts, opened between 2 and 9 November 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 9 November.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s SpaceX forecasts

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