Weekly report · 26 October to 2 November 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on SpaceX, 26 October to 2 November

Prepared November 2, 2026 · Report data

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Every SpaceX forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every SpaceX price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 26 October to Monday 2 November at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 10,266 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more33.8%
  2. went 200 to 300%14.5%
  3. went 125 to 200%25.5%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level18.6%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.5%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.3%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.4%
  8. went under 25%3.4%
of the forecasted distance
        

10,266 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 5 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above10,266 forecasts
        
33.8%300%+
14.5%200–300%
25.5%125–200%
18.6%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
3.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%56,932 forecasts
        
19.6%300%+
12.9%200–300%
28.2%125–200%
25.2%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
6.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%49,150 forecasts
        
17.8%300%+
8.1%200–300%
24.9%125–200%
31.1%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
8.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%40,568 forecasts
        
16.0%300%+
8.6%200–300%
23.8%125–200%
31.9%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
9.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%29,602 forecasts
        
10.9%300%+
9.5%200–300%
25.8%125–200%
34.5%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
7.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%27,306 forecasts
        
8.2%300%+
7.8%200–300%
26.2%125–200%
37.7%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.3%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
7.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%23,509 forecasts
        
7.7%300%+
7.2%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
38.9%100–125%
4.5%75–99%
4.5%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%21,975 forecasts
        
9.6%300%+
7.2%200–300%
24.0%125–200%
36.8%100–125%
4.7%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
5.0%25–50%
8.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise5,329 forecasts
        
32.0%300%+
14.8%200–300%
25.3%125–200%
19.6%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
3.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall4,937 forecasts
        
35.8%300%+
14.2%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
17.6%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
3.3%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 5 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes2,214 forecasts
        
66.4%300%+
11.8%200–300%
8.4%125–200%
3.7%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
5.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes2,839 forecasts
        
43.4%300%+
17.5%200–300%
20.6%125–200%
10.0%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
4.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour1,353 forecasts
        
24.9%300%+
20.6%200–300%
32.4%125–200%
16.4%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours340 forecasts
        
37.9%300%+
20.0%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
8.2%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.9%25–50%
1.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,430 forecasts
        
13.3%300%+
14.1%200–300%
39.6%125–200%
28.1%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
1.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day2,006 forecasts
        
5.7%300%+
8.6%200–300%
36.2%125–200%
42.2%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
1.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days83 forecasts
        
1.2%300%+
6.0%200–300%
32.5%125–200%
60.3%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days1 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
100.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 26
2,184
Tue 27
1,499
Wed 28
1,928
Thu 29
1,101
Fri 30
1,718
Sat 31
645
Mon 2
1,191
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 3,473 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 14:00 UTC
Price
137.10
Forecasted level
137.63
Distance
0.39%
Furthest move
1.47%
Confidence
97%
379% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,488 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-28 16:15 UTC
Price
145.08
Forecasted level
144.59
Distance
0.34%
Furthest move
0.91%
Confidence
95%
270% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,615 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 20:00 UTC
Price
134.86
Forecasted level
135.56
Distance
0.52%
Furthest move
0.65%
Confidence
97%
126% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,913 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-26 00:15 UTC
Price
149.33
Forecasted level
148.54
Distance
0.53%
Furthest move
0.62%
Confidence
96%
116% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 150 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 00:09 UTC
Price
140.67
Forecasted level
141.30
Distance
0.45%
Furthest move
0.44%
Confidence
95%
97% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 138 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-26 13:58 UTC
Price
145.31
Forecasted level
144.91
Distance
0.27%
Furthest move
0.20%
Confidence
95%
72% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 139 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 15:15 UTC
Price
138.71
Forecasted level
139.23
Distance
0.38%
Furthest move
0.14%
Confidence
96%
38% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 350 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-28 14:09 UTC
Price
142.61
Forecasted level
142.14
Distance
0.33%
Furthest move
0.02%
Confidence
96%
6% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live SpaceX forecasts, opened between 26 October and 2 November 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 2 November.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s SpaceX forecasts

Other SpaceX reports