Monthly report · 1 to 31 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on SpaceX, 1 to 31 October

Prepared November 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every SpaceX forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every SpaceX price forecast Kunkafa published from Thursday 1 to Saturday 31 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 97,016 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more33.3%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.6%
  3. went 125 to 200%22.7%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level24.6%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.0%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.0%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.0%
  8. went under 25%4.8%
of the forecasted distance
        

97,016 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above97,016 forecasts
        
33.3%300%+
11.6%200–300%
22.7%125–200%
24.6%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
4.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%316,950 forecasts
        
20.8%300%+
10.5%200–300%
25.4%125–200%
29.6%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
7.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%252,114 forecasts
        
16.9%300%+
7.6%200–300%
22.9%125–200%
35.0%100–125%
2.9%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
8.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%196,476 forecasts
        
14.3%300%+
8.1%200–300%
23.1%125–200%
36.1%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.4%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%157,724 forecasts
        
9.7%300%+
8.2%200–300%
23.7%125–200%
40.6%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
7.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%148,890 forecasts
        
7.9%300%+
6.9%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
42.7%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
7.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%132,068 forecasts
        
7.6%300%+
6.2%200–300%
21.6%125–200%
43.5%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.6%25–50%
8.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%120,421 forecasts
        
8.0%300%+
6.4%200–300%
20.8%125–200%
41.9%100–125%
4.1%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
5.0%25–50%
9.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-seven days.

▲ Could rise47,729 forecasts
        
29.3%300%+
10.7%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
29.5%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall49,287 forecasts
        
37.3%300%+
12.3%200–300%
22.4%125–200%
19.8%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
5.5%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes14,627 forecasts
        
67.7%300%+
8.8%200–300%
7.2%125–200%
2.9%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
10.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes19,353 forecasts
        
53.8%300%+
13.1%200–300%
14.5%125–200%
6.7%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
8.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour13,656 forecasts
        
37.7%300%+
17.9%200–300%
25.3%125–200%
10.6%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
5.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours2,296 forecasts
        
37.2%300%+
18.4%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
10.1%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
3.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours9,872 forecasts
        
15.9%300%+
15.4%200–300%
36.8%125–200%
25.4%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
2.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day13,861 forecasts
        
10.4%300%+
10.2%200–300%
34.7%125–200%
39.5%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
1.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1,700 forecasts
        
12.3%300%+
8.3%200–300%
30.0%125–200%
46.2%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
0.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days11,247 forecasts
        
10.2%300%+
6.9%200–300%
26.1%125–200%
54.0%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
0.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days10,404 forecasts
        
16.1%300%+
6.5%200–300%
21.7%125–200%
53.8%100–125%
0.2%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.4%25–50%
1.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Thursday to Saturday.

Thu 1
2,324
Fri 2
3,145
Sat 3
6,945
Mon 5
16,940
Tue 6
4,371
Wed 7
2,446
Thu 8
3,117
Fri 9
2,269
Sat 10
4,537
Mon 12
14,433
Tue 13
2,051
Wed 14
2,351
Thu 15
3,710
Fri 16
3,029
Sat 17
1,781
Mon 19
2,690
Tue 20
2,445
Wed 21
2,038
Thu 22
2,683
Fri 23
2,014
Sat 24
1,691
Mon 26
3,458
Tue 27
1,499
Wed 28
1,928
Thu 29
1,101
Fri 30
1,718
Sat 31
302
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 32,356 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-15 13:45 UTC
Price
141.76
Forecasted level
142.86
Distance
0.77%
Furthest move
2.81%
Confidence
98%
364% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 11,217 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-13 13:15 UTC
Price
162.24
Forecasted level
160.98
Distance
0.78%
Furthest move
2.15%
Confidence
96%
276% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 22,039 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-15 16:15 UTC
Price
145.52
Forecasted level
147.73
Distance
1.52%
Furthest move
2.17%
Confidence
95%
143% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 23,843 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-07 21:19 UTC
Price
168.08
Forecasted level
165.99
Distance
1.24%
Furthest move
1.31%
Confidence
95%
106% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 986 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-21 18:45 UTC
Price
158.71
Forecasted level
160.27
Distance
0.99%
Furthest move
0.90%
Confidence
96%
91% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 1,005 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-13 14:46 UTC
Price
156.99
Forecasted level
156.27
Distance
0.46%
Furthest move
0.29%
Confidence
96%
64% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 937 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-22 15:30 UTC
Price
150.36
Forecasted level
152.02
Distance
1.10%
Furthest move
0.40%
Confidence
96%
36% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 4,633 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-02 05:46 UTC
Price
149.30
Forecasted level
148.55
Distance
0.50%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
95%
16% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live SpaceX forecasts, opened between 1 and 31 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 31 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s SpaceX forecasts

Other SpaceX reports