Weekly report · 2 to 9 November 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Tesla, 2 to 9 November

Prepared November 9, 2026 · Report data

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Every Tesla forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Tesla price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 2 to Monday 9 November at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 13,178 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more30.9%
  2. went 200 to 300%14.6%
  3. went 125 to 200%26.3%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level19.8%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.6%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.5%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.6%
  8. went under 25%3.7%
of the forecasted distance
        

13,178 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above13,178 forecasts
        
30.9%300%+
14.6%200–300%
26.3%125–200%
19.8%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
3.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%53,665 forecasts
        
23.6%300%+
13.3%200–300%
26.0%125–200%
23.0%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%45,578 forecasts
        
21.2%300%+
11.4%200–300%
22.8%125–200%
25.4%100–125%
2.9%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
3.0%25–50%
10.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%39,840 forecasts
        
19.8%300%+
11.1%200–300%
20.9%125–200%
27.2%100–125%
3.0%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
11.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%28,244 forecasts
        
14.1%300%+
10.3%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
31.4%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
9.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%24,475 forecasts
        
9.8%300%+
8.7%200–300%
24.1%125–200%
36.2%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.8%25–50%
8.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%21,446 forecasts
        
10.0%300%+
7.8%200–300%
23.2%125–200%
37.7%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.7%25–50%
8.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%20,838 forecasts
        
11.2%300%+
8.1%200–300%
21.6%125–200%
35.4%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.5%50–75%
5.7%25–50%
9.3%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise8,647 forecasts
        
25.1%300%+
14.7%200–300%
28.1%125–200%
22.8%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall4,531 forecasts
        
42.0%300%+
14.3%200–300%
22.8%125–200%
14.2%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes2,131 forecasts
        
74.3%300%+
8.2%200–300%
6.4%125–200%
1.8%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
6.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes2,414 forecasts
        
45.7%300%+
18.4%200–300%
17.8%125–200%
7.7%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
5.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour2,073 forecasts
        
33.2%300%+
17.8%200–300%
27.6%125–200%
13.2%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
3.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours618 forecasts
        
34.3%300%+
21.2%200–300%
27.5%125–200%
9.2%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
2.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours2,600 forecasts
        
12.5%300%+
16.5%200–300%
35.8%125–200%
28.3%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
2.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day3,211 forecasts
        
4.4%300%+
11.2%200–300%
37.3%125–200%
39.0%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days131 forecasts
        
14.5%300%+
9.9%200–300%
21.4%125–200%
54.2%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 2
2,214
Tue 3
1,162
Wed 4
2,911
Thu 5
2,821
Fri 6
1,211
Sat 7
1,677
Mon 9
1,182
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 4,073 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-05 23:00 UTC
Price
338.23
Forecasted level
340.02
Distance
0.53%
Furthest move
1.62%
Confidence
96%
307% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,920 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-06 11:30 UTC
Price
352.95
Forecasted level
351.15
Distance
0.51%
Furthest move
1.26%
Confidence
95%
246% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 3,466 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-06 03:45 UTC
Price
347.41
Forecasted level
350.16
Distance
0.79%
Furthest move
1.15%
Confidence
95%
145% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 2,613 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-06 09:06 UTC
Price
352.19
Forecasted level
350.12
Distance
0.59%
Furthest move
0.62%
Confidence
95%
106% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 213 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-05 04:29 UTC
Price
379.01
Forecasted level
380.55
Distance
0.41%
Furthest move
0.31%
Confidence
96%
77% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 193 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-06 15:39 UTC
Price
357.51
Forecasted level
355.86
Distance
0.46%
Furthest move
0.28%
Confidence
95%
60% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 206 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-05 02:36 UTC
Price
381.51
Forecasted level
383.57
Distance
0.54%
Furthest move
0.16%
Confidence
96%
30% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 494 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-06 08:18 UTC
Price
348.39
Forecasted level
346.86
Distance
0.44%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
95%
24% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Tesla forecasts, opened between 2 and 9 November 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 9 November.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s Tesla forecasts

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