Weekly report · 19 to 26 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Tesla, 19 to 26 October

Prepared October 26, 2026 · Report data

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Every Tesla forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Tesla price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 19 to Monday 26 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 10,391 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more36.0%
  2. went 200 to 300%14.8%
  3. went 125 to 200%24.3%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level17.4%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.4%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.3%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.3%
  8. went under 25%3.5%
of the forecasted distance
        

10,391 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above10,391 forecasts
        
36.0%300%+
14.8%200–300%
24.3%125–200%
17.4%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
3.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%54,572 forecasts
        
22.0%300%+
14.0%200–300%
26.8%125–200%
23.0%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
7.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%49,940 forecasts
        
18.2%300%+
11.0%200–300%
23.5%125–200%
27.9%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
10.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%39,537 forecasts
        
18.7%300%+
10.7%200–300%
21.8%125–200%
29.0%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
10.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%30,404 forecasts
        
14.1%300%+
10.9%200–300%
23.7%125–200%
30.7%100–125%
3.5%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
9.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%28,583 forecasts
        
9.9%300%+
9.5%200–300%
24.3%125–200%
34.2%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.5%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
8.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%22,863 forecasts
        
9.1%300%+
8.0%200–300%
24.3%125–200%
35.5%100–125%
4.5%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
4.8%25–50%
9.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%20,772 forecasts
        
9.6%300%+
7.6%200–300%
23.6%125–200%
36.3%100–125%
4.6%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
4.6%25–50%
9.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise5,498 forecasts
        
36.1%300%+
14.7%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
17.2%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
2.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall4,893 forecasts
        
35.9%300%+
14.9%200–300%
22.8%125–200%
17.5%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
4.3%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes1,963 forecasts
        
68.6%300%+
10.4%200–300%
8.0%125–200%
2.7%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
6.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes2,149 forecasts
        
47.8%300%+
18.2%200–300%
19.0%125–200%
7.1%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
3.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour1,831 forecasts
        
35.3%300%+
20.0%200–300%
24.6%125–200%
11.3%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours275 forecasts
        
33.8%300%+
19.3%200–300%
24.4%125–200%
13.4%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
2.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,868 forecasts
        
18.6%300%+
16.7%200–300%
36.0%125–200%
20.8%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
2.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day2,293 forecasts
        
12.3%300%+
9.2%200–300%
33.2%125–200%
41.8%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
0.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days12 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
33.3%125–200%
66.7%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 19
1,488
Tue 20
1,878
Wed 21
1,780
Thu 22
1,528
Fri 23
1,264
Sat 24
1,465
Mon 26
988
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 3,742 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-21 22:45 UTC
Price
375.17
Forecasted level
377.03
Distance
0.50%
Furthest move
1.95%
Confidence
96%
392% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,538 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-22 12:35 UTC
Price
372.63
Forecasted level
370.59
Distance
0.55%
Furthest move
1.10%
Confidence
95%
201% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,522 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-19 08:40 UTC
Price
356.71
Forecasted level
358.87
Distance
0.61%
Furthest move
0.76%
Confidence
95%
125% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,804 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-22 14:10 UTC
Price
385.78
Forecasted level
382.63
Distance
0.82%
Furthest move
0.90%
Confidence
95%
110% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 148 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-22 14:15 UTC
Price
387.28
Forecasted level
388.99
Distance
0.44%
Furthest move
0.35%
Confidence
96%
80% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 134 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-22 13:28 UTC
Price
374.11
Forecasted level
372.02
Distance
0.56%
Furthest move
0.32%
Confidence
95%
58% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 139 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-22 14:30 UTC
Price
386.85
Forecasted level
388.82
Distance
0.51%
Furthest move
0.20%
Confidence
96%
38% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 364 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-20 14:00 UTC
Price
371.41
Forecasted level
370.24
Distance
0.32%
Furthest move
0.02%
Confidence
96%
5% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Tesla forecasts, opened between 19 and 26 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 26 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s Tesla forecasts

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