Weekly report · 21 to 28 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Tesla, 21 to 28 September

Prepared September 28, 2026 · Report data

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Every Tesla forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Tesla price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 21 to Monday 28 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 11,725 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more38.5%
  2. went 200 to 300%15.8%
  3. went 125 to 200%21.3%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level16.2%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.2%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.1%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.2%
  8. went under 25%4.7%
of the forecasted distance
        

11,725 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 5 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above11,725 forecasts
        
38.5%300%+
15.8%200–300%
21.3%125–200%
16.2%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
4.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%61,511 forecasts
        
28.0%300%+
15.0%200–300%
22.3%125–200%
18.7%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
10.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%49,544 forecasts
        
25.2%300%+
12.1%200–300%
20.4%125–200%
22.8%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
12.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%41,152 forecasts
        
22.5%300%+
11.0%200–300%
20.6%125–200%
26.2%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
2.8%25–50%
10.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%28,632 forecasts
        
16.6%300%+
10.2%200–300%
22.7%125–200%
30.4%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
9.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%26,713 forecasts
        
12.5%300%+
9.4%200–300%
24.3%125–200%
33.2%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%22,758 forecasts
        
13.7%300%+
8.2%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
34.5%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
8.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%20,189 forecasts
        
14.4%300%+
7.9%200–300%
20.8%125–200%
33.8%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
5.0%25–50%
9.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise4,284 forecasts
        
44.2%300%+
17.1%200–300%
19.3%125–200%
12.1%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
5.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall7,441 forecasts
        
35.1%300%+
15.1%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
18.6%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 5 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes2,099 forecasts
        
72.9%300%+
9.2%200–300%
3.2%125–200%
1.2%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
10.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes2,363 forecasts
        
52.9%300%+
18.6%200–300%
14.4%125–200%
6.1%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
5.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour2,269 forecasts
        
40.6%300%+
19.8%200–300%
22.7%125–200%
10.9%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
3.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours432 forecasts
        
39.1%300%+
17.8%200–300%
24.3%125–200%
12.8%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,826 forecasts
        
20.9%300%+
20.4%200–300%
32.2%125–200%
22.3%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
1.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day2,582 forecasts
        
9.3%300%+
11.8%200–300%
32.1%125–200%
37.4%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days153 forecasts
        
10.5%300%+
11.8%200–300%
36.6%125–200%
37.2%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
2.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days1 forecasts
        
100.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 21
2,787
Tue 22
1,421
Wed 23
1,614
Thu 24
1,195
Fri 25
2,099
Sat 26
1,690
Mon 28
919
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 4,508 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-25 14:00 UTC
Price
370.76
Forecasted level
371.88
Distance
0.30%
Furthest move
1.04%
Confidence
96%
342% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,855 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-22 09:30 UTC
Price
376.93
Forecasted level
375.70
Distance
0.33%
Furthest move
0.96%
Confidence
95%
294% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,499 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-22 13:58 UTC
Price
375.99
Forecasted level
377.05
Distance
0.28%
Furthest move
0.46%
Confidence
95%
164% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,904 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-22 18:30 UTC
Price
379.30
Forecasted level
377.78
Distance
0.40%
Furthest move
0.41%
Confidence
95%
103% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 143 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-21 14:15 UTC
Price
377.62
Forecasted level
378.61
Distance
0.26%
Furthest move
0.23%
Confidence
95%
87% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 130 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-21 13:15 UTC
Price
372.18
Forecasted level
370.83
Distance
0.36%
Furthest move
0.22%
Confidence
95%
60% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 141 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-23 14:10 UTC
Price
381.88
Forecasted level
382.43
Distance
0.14%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
96%
25% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 545 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-21 13:00 UTC
Price
370.62
Forecasted level
369.43
Distance
0.32%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
3% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Tesla forecasts, opened between 21 and 28 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 28 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s Tesla forecasts

Other Tesla reports