Weekly report · 12 to 16 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on British pound - Dollar, 12 to 16 October

Prepared October 19, 2026 · Report data

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Every British pound - Dollar forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every British pound - Dollar price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 12 to Friday 16 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 8,144 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more32.9%
  2. went 200 to 300%14.8%
  3. went 125 to 200%23.7%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level17.4%
  5. went 75 to 99%2.3%
  6. went 50 to 75%2.0%
  7. went 25 to 50%2.4%
  8. went under 25%4.5%
of the forecasted distance
        

8,144 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above8,144 forecasts
        
32.9%300%+
14.8%200–300%
23.7%125–200%
17.4%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%32,997 forecasts
        
11.6%300%+
11.7%200–300%
32.3%125–200%
29.8%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.3%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
4.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%24,646 forecasts
        
8.2%300%+
7.7%200–300%
27.9%125–200%
38.5%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
4.2%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%24,742 forecasts
        
11.2%300%+
9.1%200–300%
26.0%125–200%
35.0%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
5.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%18,739 forecasts
        
8.0%300%+
8.0%200–300%
25.4%125–200%
39.3%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.8%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
5.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%16,550 forecasts
        
6.3%300%+
6.6%200–300%
23.3%125–200%
44.2%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
5.2%25–50%
5.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%14,991 forecasts
        
8.2%300%+
7.4%200–300%
23.4%125–200%
39.1%100–125%
4.8%75–99%
5.2%50–75%
5.1%25–50%
6.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%15,552 forecasts
        
7.7%300%+
7.0%200–300%
23.3%125–200%
39.1%100–125%
5.0%75–99%
5.1%50–75%
5.6%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the five days.

▲ Could rise2,441 forecasts
        
41.2%300%+
18.7%200–300%
19.8%125–200%
9.3%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall5,703 forecasts
        
29.3%300%+
13.2%200–300%
25.4%125–200%
20.9%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes4,672 forecasts
        
47.3%300%+
17.7%200–300%
16.5%125–200%
6.3%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes742 forecasts
        
34.2%300%+
17.9%200–300%
24.3%125–200%
12.0%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
5.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour436 forecasts
        
17.6%300%+
20.9%200–300%
36.7%125–200%
14.7%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
3.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours97 forecasts
        
29.9%300%+
29.9%200–300%
21.6%125–200%
10.3%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
2.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours766 forecasts
        
4.7%300%+
8.0%200–300%
38.3%125–200%
34.7%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
4.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day1,430 forecasts
        
5.0%300%+
4.6%200–300%
35.4%125–200%
48.7%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
1.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
100.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Friday.

Mon 12
1,480
Tue 13
1,023
Wed 14
3,114
Thu 15
569
Fri 16
1,958
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 2,678 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-15 12:30 UTC
Price
1.32308
Forecasted level
1.32365
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.19%
Confidence
96%
437% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,206 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-15 12:35 UTC
Price
1.32539
Forecasted level
1.32462
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.12%
Confidence
95%
204% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 1,932 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-14 13:55 UTC
Price
1.31680
Forecasted level
1.31770
Distance
0.07%
Furthest move
0.09%
Confidence
96%
130% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,418 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-12 00:45 UTC
Price
1.32459
Forecasted level
1.32359
Distance
0.08%
Furthest move
0.09%
Confidence
95%
117% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 185 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-12 14:27 UTC
Price
1.32238
Forecasted level
1.32270
Distance
0.02%
Furthest move
0.02%
Confidence
95%
91% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 161 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-13 09:35 UTC
Price
1.32378
Forecasted level
1.32301
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
69% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 196 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC
Price
1.32238
Forecasted level
1.32276
Distance
0.03%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
47% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 368 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-14 23:37 UTC
Price
1.32180
Forecasted level
1.32041
Distance
0.11%
Furthest move
0.00%
Confidence
95%
3% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live British pound - Dollar forecasts, opened between 12 and 16 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 16 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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