Monthly report · 14 to 30 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on British pound - Dollar, 14 to 30 September

Prepared October 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every British pound - Dollar forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every British pound - Dollar price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 14 to Wednesday 30 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 27,705 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more27.6%
  2. went 200 to 300%13.2%
  3. went 125 to 200%20.9%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level19.4%
  5. went 75 to 99%11.3%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.9%
  7. went 25 to 50%2.3%
  8. went under 25%3.4%
of the forecasted distance
        

27,705 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above27,705 forecasts
        
27.6%300%+
13.2%200–300%
20.9%125–200%
19.4%100–125%
11.3%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
3.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%106,258 forecasts
        
17.4%300%+
9.0%200–300%
25.4%125–200%
30.1%100–125%
5.7%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
2.9%25–50%
6.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%94,249 forecasts
        
11.0%300%+
8.5%200–300%
20.2%125–200%
35.3%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
7.0%50–75%
3.8%25–50%
10.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%79,548 forecasts
        
10.3%300%+
7.6%200–300%
21.4%125–200%
38.3%100–125%
4.6%75–99%
5.1%50–75%
4.9%25–50%
7.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%68,462 forecasts
        
8.3%300%+
5.3%200–300%
17.5%125–200%
39.3%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.8%50–75%
5.3%25–50%
15.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%60,703 forecasts
        
12.9%300%+
5.4%200–300%
18.5%125–200%
39.4%100–125%
5.2%75–99%
5.3%50–75%
6.4%25–50%
6.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%68,523 forecasts
        
9.0%300%+
4.8%200–300%
14.8%125–200%
38.7%100–125%
4.6%75–99%
4.9%50–75%
12.8%25–50%
10.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%49,363 forecasts
        
5.0%300%+
5.9%200–300%
18.2%125–200%
39.0%100–125%
6.0%75–99%
6.2%50–75%
6.8%25–50%
12.9%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the sixteen days.

▲ Could rise17,351 forecasts
        
21.7%300%+
11.5%200–300%
20.7%125–200%
22.4%100–125%
16.8%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall10,354 forecasts
        
37.5%300%+
16.2%200–300%
21.3%125–200%
14.3%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes14,577 forecasts
        
46.3%300%+
17.1%200–300%
16.3%125–200%
6.7%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
5.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes2,023 forecasts
        
26.0%300%+
24.5%200–300%
31.3%125–200%
10.7%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour1,413 forecasts
        
9.6%300%+
17.7%200–300%
41.5%125–200%
24.1%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours166 forecasts
        
21.1%300%+
24.7%200–300%
27.1%125–200%
15.1%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
3.0%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
3.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,975 forecasts
        
3.6%300%+
9.6%200–300%
39.0%125–200%
40.1%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day3,306 forecasts
        
3.3%300%+
5.4%200–300%
33.5%125–200%
52.5%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
1.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days346 forecasts
        
2.3%300%+
3.2%200–300%
38.4%125–200%
54.3%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days853 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
1.0%200–300%
13.1%125–200%
82.9%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.2%25–50%
1.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days3,046 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.1%200–300%
0.7%125–200%
12.4%100–125%
85.3%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
0.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Wednesday to Wednesday.

Wed 9
0
Thu 10
0
Fri 11
0
Mon 14
10
Tue 15
2,386
Wed 16
1,028
Thu 17
1,926
Fri 18
4,775
Mon 21
2,319
Tue 22
2,047
Wed 23
3,764
Thu 24
2,236
Fri 25
2,290
Mon 28
1,287
Tue 29
1,993
Wed 30
1,644
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 7,636 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-24 15:30 UTC
Price
1.32136
Forecasted level
1.32216
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.20%
Confidence
95%
332% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 3,673 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 09:57 UTC
Price
1.33945
Forecasted level
1.33872
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.12%
Confidence
95%
223% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 5,785 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-23 16:00 UTC
Price
1.32328
Forecasted level
1.32465
Distance
0.10%
Furthest move
0.16%
Confidence
96%
153% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 5,365 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-25 12:20 UTC
Price
1.32549
Forecasted level
1.32418
Distance
0.10%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
95%
113% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 3,141 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-23 15:00 UTC
Price
1.32509
Forecasted level
1.32640
Distance
0.10%
Furthest move
0.09%
Confidence
95%
90% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 531 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-28 06:14 UTC
Price
1.32356
Forecasted level
1.32293
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
95%
69% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 627 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-18 20:32 UTC
Price
1.33957
Forecasted level
1.34077
Distance
0.09%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
96%
35% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 947 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 14:40 UTC
Price
1.33532
Forecasted level
1.33471
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
16% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live British pound - Dollar forecasts, opened between 14 and 30 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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