Every British pound - Dollar forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every British pound - Dollar price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 14 to Monday 21 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?
Kunkafa’s confidence floor
The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.
Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 8,881 forecasts that settled came out like this:
went 300% or more33.0%
went 200 to 300%15.5%
went 125 to 200%23.0%
went 100 to 125%, reaching the level18.3%
went 75 to 99%2.0%
went 50 to 75%1.9%
went 25 to 50%2.5%
went under 25%3.8%
of the forecasted distance
8,881 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 1 day.
Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.
Confidence, and what it was worth
Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.
Confidence 95% and above8,881 forecasts
33.0%300%+
15.5%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
18.3%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%47,098 forecasts
30.0%300%+
8.0%200–300%
21.8%125–200%
24.2%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
9.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%38,178 forecasts
18.7%300%+
12.0%200–300%
18.6%125–200%
29.3%100–125%
3.0%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
2.9%25–50%
12.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%29,577 forecasts
16.9%300%+
9.3%200–300%
22.0%125–200%
35.1%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
5.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%26,679 forecasts
15.1%300%+
5.2%200–300%
17.4%125–200%
30.0%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
20.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%23,968 forecasts
25.6%300%+
5.3%200–300%
17.7%125–200%
33.1%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.2%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%23,840 forecasts
17.6%300%+
5.6%200–300%
17.1%125–200%
28.9%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
18.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%18,940 forecasts
5.8%300%+
5.6%200–300%
18.6%125–200%
35.0%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
5.1%50–75%
5.3%25–50%
20.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Both directions
A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the eight days.
▲ Could rise5,103 forecasts
27.9%300%+
15.2%200–300%
24.7%125–200%
22.3%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
3.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall3,778 forecasts
40.0%300%+
15.9%200–300%
20.7%125–200%
12.8%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
By duration
Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to a day. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.
Up to 5 minutes5,772 forecasts
46.3%300%+
17.7%200–300%
15.9%125–200%
6.3%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
5.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes522 forecasts
22.0%300%+
27.0%200–300%
36.0%125–200%
10.2%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
1.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour434 forecasts
9.0%300%+
19.6%200–300%
41.9%125–200%
25.3%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
1.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours37 forecasts
16.2%300%+
24.3%200–300%
27.1%125–200%
18.9%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours716 forecasts
3.5%300%+
6.3%200–300%
42.0%125–200%
44.3%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
0.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day1,400 forecasts
5.7%300%+
5.1%200–300%
31.6%125–200%
55.2%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.5%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
0.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days0 forecasts
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days0 forecasts
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Day by day
The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Wednesday to Monday.
What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time
Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.
300% of the forecast distance or more · 2,935 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC
Price
1.33833
Forecasted level
1.33867
Distance
0.03%
Furthest move
0.09%
Confidence
95%
365% of the forecasted distance
200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,375 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 09:57 UTC
Price
1.33945
Forecasted level
1.33872
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.12%
Confidence
95%
223% of the forecasted distance
125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,043 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-15 21:05 UTC
Price
1.34672
Forecasted level
1.34764
Distance
0.07%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
97%
157% of the forecasted distance
100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,623 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 14:23 UTC
Price
1.33724
Forecasted level
1.33635
Distance
0.07%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
95%
105% of the forecasted distance
75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 181 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 12:30 UTC
Price
1.33834
Forecasted level
1.33890
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
84% of the forecasted distance
50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 166 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 14:18 UTC
Price
1.33449
Forecasted level
1.33395
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
95%
63% of the forecasted distance
25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 219 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-21 13:43 UTC
Price
1.33865
Forecasted level
1.33909
Distance
0.03%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
34% of the forecasted distance
Under 25% of the forecast distance · 339 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 14:40 UTC
Price
1.33532
Forecasted level
1.33471
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
16% of the forecasted distance
How this was counted
Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live British pound - Dollar forecasts, opened between 14 and 21 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 21 September.
“Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.
Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.