Monthly report · 1 to 30 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on British pound - Dollar, 1 to 30 October

Prepared November 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every British pound - Dollar forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every British pound - Dollar price forecast Kunkafa published from Thursday 1 to Friday 30 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 45,840 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more28.6%
  2. went 200 to 300%14.6%
  3. went 125 to 200%25.0%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level22.2%
  5. went 75 to 99%2.0%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.8%
  7. went 25 to 50%2.3%
  8. went under 25%3.5%
of the forecasted distance
        

45,840 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 25 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above45,840 forecasts
        
28.6%300%+
14.6%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
22.2%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
3.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%167,600 forecasts
        
8.8%300%+
10.8%200–300%
31.3%125–200%
35.5%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
4.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%142,874 forecasts
        
6.6%300%+
6.7%200–300%
25.9%125–200%
44.6%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
4.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%135,249 forecasts
        
8.1%300%+
7.9%200–300%
23.8%125–200%
42.3%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
5.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%108,126 forecasts
        
5.1%300%+
6.6%200–300%
22.1%125–200%
47.2%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
5.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%106,075 forecasts
        
4.1%300%+
5.4%200–300%
20.5%125–200%
50.3%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.5%50–75%
5.0%25–50%
6.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%102,444 forecasts
        
5.3%300%+
5.5%200–300%
18.9%125–200%
49.2%100–125%
4.9%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
4.9%25–50%
6.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%96,103 forecasts
        
4.6%300%+
5.4%200–300%
18.2%125–200%
48.3%100–125%
5.4%75–99%
5.2%50–75%
5.7%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-two days.

▲ Could rise21,811 forecasts
        
28.2%300%+
15.3%200–300%
25.5%125–200%
21.5%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
3.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall24,029 forecasts
        
28.9%300%+
14.1%200–300%
24.5%125–200%
22.8%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
3.6%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 25 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes23,813 forecasts
        
46.1%300%+
18.5%200–300%
16.3%125–200%
6.1%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
5.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes3,791 forecasts
        
30.1%300%+
21.9%200–300%
27.1%125–200%
11.2%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
3.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour2,510 forecasts
        
11.2%300%+
19.9%200–300%
40.6%125–200%
20.2%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
2.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours420 forecasts
        
20.9%300%+
22.9%200–300%
32.6%125–200%
15.2%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours3,359 forecasts
        
2.7%300%+
8.8%200–300%
42.5%125–200%
36.8%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
2.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day5,311 forecasts
        
2.0%300%+
5.5%200–300%
35.4%125–200%
50.6%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
1.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days278 forecasts
        
10.4%300%+
10.1%200–300%
27.0%125–200%
44.2%100–125%
2.9%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
2.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days4,059 forecasts
        
7.9%300%+
5.2%200–300%
29.6%125–200%
56.4%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.2%25–50%
0.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days2,290 forecasts
        
2.5%300%+
3.3%200–300%
34.6%125–200%
59.6%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days9 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
22.2%125–200%
77.8%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Thursday to Friday.

Thu 1
2,568
Fri 2
2,340
Mon 5
1,463
Tue 6
2,424
Wed 7
3,007
Thu 8
2,842
Fri 9
1,628
Mon 12
1,488
Tue 13
1,140
Wed 14
3,616
Thu 15
582
Fri 16
2,709
Mon 19
3,549
Tue 20
2,610
Wed 21
1,865
Thu 22
193
Fri 23
2,126
Mon 26
1,300
Tue 27
2,682
Wed 28
2,947
Thu 29
1,334
Fri 30
1,427
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 13,104 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 5 days · 2026-10-02 06:43 UTC
Price
1.32171
Forecasted level
1.32247
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.20%
Confidence
95%
351% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 6,717 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-14 00:40 UTC
Price
1.32617
Forecasted level
1.32477
Distance
0.11%
Furthest move
0.30%
Confidence
96%
288% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 11,450 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-07 16:00 UTC
Price
1.32117
Forecasted level
1.32340
Distance
0.17%
Furthest move
0.27%
Confidence
95%
160% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 10,164 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-01 14:35 UTC
Price
1.32279
Forecasted level
1.32116
Distance
0.12%
Furthest move
0.14%
Confidence
95%
114% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 911 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-05 11:33 UTC
Price
1.32243
Forecasted level
1.32327
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.06%
Confidence
95%
86% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 840 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-13 09:35 UTC
Price
1.32378
Forecasted level
1.32301
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
69% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 1,040 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-01 11:55 UTC
Price
1.32411
Forecasted level
1.32495
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
96%
44% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,614 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-15 22:20 UTC
Price
1.32709
Forecasted level
1.32544
Distance
0.12%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
96%
24% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live British pound - Dollar forecasts, opened between 1 and 30 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s British pound - Dollar forecasts

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