Weekly report · 19 to 26 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on British pound - Dollar, 19 to 26 October

Prepared October 26, 2026 · Report data

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Every British pound - Dollar forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every British pound - Dollar price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 19 to Monday 26 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 7,445 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more34.0%
  2. went 200 to 300%17.6%
  3. went 125 to 200%22.3%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level15.1%
  5. went 75 to 99%2.0%
  6. went 50 to 75%2.1%
  7. went 25 to 50%2.8%
  8. went under 25%4.1%
of the forecasted distance
        

7,445 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 5 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above7,445 forecasts
        
34.0%300%+
17.6%200–300%
22.3%125–200%
15.1%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.8%25–50%
4.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%29,220 forecasts
        
8.2%300%+
11.7%200–300%
33.2%125–200%
33.1%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.0%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%24,210 forecasts
        
7.3%300%+
7.9%200–300%
29.3%125–200%
39.1%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
3.8%25–50%
5.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%22,807 forecasts
        
9.2%300%+
9.3%200–300%
26.9%125–200%
35.8%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.7%25–50%
5.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%17,193 forecasts
        
5.8%300%+
8.2%200–300%
25.8%125–200%
38.9%100–125%
5.1%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
5.2%25–50%
6.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%15,724 forecasts
        
5.3%300%+
7.0%200–300%
26.1%125–200%
40.6%100–125%
4.9%75–99%
4.5%50–75%
4.9%25–50%
6.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%14,843 forecasts
        
7.2%300%+
7.0%200–300%
24.3%125–200%
39.3%100–125%
4.9%75–99%
5.0%50–75%
5.3%25–50%
7.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%13,842 forecasts
        
6.4%300%+
7.8%200–300%
24.3%125–200%
37.3%100–125%
5.6%75–99%
5.6%50–75%
6.0%25–50%
7.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the six days.

▲ Could rise3,325 forecasts
        
36.6%300%+
18.3%200–300%
21.7%125–200%
13.9%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall4,120 forecasts
        
31.9%300%+
17.0%200–300%
22.8%125–200%
15.9%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 5 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes5,060 forecasts
        
46.4%300%+
19.3%200–300%
15.6%125–200%
6.0%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
5.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes545 forecasts
        
23.9%300%+
23.9%200–300%
31.2%125–200%
12.3%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour357 forecasts
        
7.0%300%+
17.9%200–300%
44.3%125–200%
24.9%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours43 forecasts
        
11.6%300%+
18.6%200–300%
39.6%125–200%
20.9%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
4.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours548 forecasts
        
2.0%300%+
10.0%200–300%
43.6%125–200%
38.9%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
1.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day825 forecasts
        
1.6%300%+
8.4%200–300%
31.9%125–200%
48.5%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
2.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days66 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
10.6%200–300%
36.4%125–200%
53.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days1 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
100.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 19
1,296
Tue 20
2,603
Wed 21
1,201
Thu 22
190
Fri 23
2,125
Mon 26
30
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 2,531 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 2 hours · 2026-10-20 12:35 UTC
Price
1.33704
Forecasted level
1.33727
Distance
0.02%
Furthest move
0.06%
Confidence
95%
333% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,310 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-21 14:45 UTC
Price
1.33830
Forecasted level
1.33763
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.10%
Confidence
95%
208% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 1,661 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-23 13:50 UTC
Price
1.33752
Forecasted level
1.33811
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
95%
189% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,120 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-19 00:25 UTC
Price
1.33274
Forecasted level
1.33170
Distance
0.08%
Furthest move
0.10%
Confidence
96%
123% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 149 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-23 06:50 UTC
Price
1.33881
Forecasted level
1.33896
Distance
0.01%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
91% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 157 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-20 04:36 UTC
Price
1.33311
Forecasted level
1.33259
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
95%
70% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 211 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-23 06:42 UTC
Price
1.33891
Forecasted level
1.33921
Distance
0.02%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
96%
37% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 306 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-22 15:15 UTC
Price
1.33629
Forecasted level
1.33564
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
21% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live British pound - Dollar forecasts, opened between 19 and 26 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 26 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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