Weekly report · 5 to 9 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on British pound - Dollar, 5 to 9 October

Prepared October 12, 2026 · Report data

Share on XShare on LinkedInShare on WhatsAppShare on Telegram

Every British pound - Dollar forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every British pound - Dollar price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 5 to Friday 9 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 9,847 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more32.3%
  2. went 200 to 300%16.8%
  3. went 125 to 200%24.1%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level15.7%
  5. went 75 to 99%2.3%
  6. went 50 to 75%2.2%
  7. went 25 to 50%2.7%
  8. went under 25%3.9%
of the forecasted distance
        

9,847 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above9,847 forecasts
        
32.3%300%+
16.8%200–300%
24.1%125–200%
15.7%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
3.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%36,126 forecasts
        
8.0%300%+
11.4%200–300%
33.0%125–200%
33.2%100–125%
3.5%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%28,355 forecasts
        
6.8%300%+
7.2%200–300%
28.4%125–200%
39.4%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
5.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%27,230 forecasts
        
7.5%300%+
8.6%200–300%
26.2%125–200%
38.9%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%20,794 forecasts
        
5.1%300%+
7.5%200–300%
26.1%125–200%
41.8%100–125%
4.6%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
4.8%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%19,404 forecasts
        
5.0%300%+
6.5%200–300%
24.3%125–200%
42.9%100–125%
5.0%75–99%
5.2%50–75%
5.4%25–50%
5.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%17,526 forecasts
        
5.9%300%+
6.9%200–300%
23.9%125–200%
41.5%100–125%
5.4%75–99%
5.0%50–75%
5.0%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%16,054 forecasts
        
5.2%300%+
7.0%200–300%
23.6%125–200%
40.6%100–125%
5.9%75–99%
5.4%50–75%
5.5%25–50%
6.8%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the five days.

▲ Could rise5,946 forecasts
        
27.0%300%+
16.1%200–300%
27.0%125–200%
19.7%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
3.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall3,901 forecasts
        
40.5%300%+
17.9%200–300%
19.7%125–200%
9.5%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes6,095 forecasts
        
45.5%300%+
18.7%200–300%
16.4%125–200%
6.2%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
4.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes1,121 forecasts
        
28.5%300%+
24.0%200–300%
27.3%125–200%
11.8%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
2.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour702 forecasts
        
8.1%300%+
17.8%200–300%
44.4%125–200%
22.4%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
2.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours42 forecasts
        
7.1%300%+
21.4%200–300%
35.7%125–200%
26.2%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
4.8%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
2.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours755 forecasts
        
1.4%300%+
7.8%200–300%
44.4%125–200%
39.5%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
1.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day1,129 forecasts
        
1.8%300%+
5.0%200–300%
35.8%125–200%
49.8%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days3 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
100.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Friday.

Mon 5
1,078
Tue 6
2,421
Wed 7
2,818
Thu 8
2,166
Fri 9
1,364
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 3,186 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-06 08:00 UTC
Price
1.32287
Forecasted level
1.32335
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.12%
Confidence
95%
329% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,657 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-06 11:00 UTC
Price
1.32776
Forecasted level
1.32741
Distance
0.03%
Furthest move
0.06%
Confidence
96%
211% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,371 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-05 11:43 UTC
Price
1.32193
Forecasted level
1.32278
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
95%
125% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,542 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-08 14:20 UTC
Price
1.32264
Forecasted level
1.32150
Distance
0.09%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
95%
124% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 226 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-05 11:33 UTC
Price
1.32243
Forecasted level
1.32327
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.06%
Confidence
95%
86% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 216 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-06 10:07 UTC
Price
1.32465
Forecasted level
1.32396
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
95%
63% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 268 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-05 11:30 UTC
Price
1.32282
Forecasted level
1.32362
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
96%
42% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 381 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 hour · 2026-10-06 11:38 UTC
Price
1.32648
Forecasted level
1.32633
Distance
0.01%
Furthest move
0.00%
Confidence
95%
13% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live British pound - Dollar forecasts, opened between 5 and 9 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 9 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s British pound - Dollar forecasts

Other British pound - Dollar reports