Weekly report · 14 to 21 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on British pound - Dollar, 14 to 21 September

Prepared September 22, 2026 · Report data

Every British pound - Dollar forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every British pound - Dollar price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 14 to Monday 21 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 6,623 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more33.6%
  2. went 200 to 300%15.8%
  3. went 125 to 200%22.8%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level17.6%
  5. went 75 to 99%2.1%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.8%
  7. went 25 to 50%2.4%
  8. went under 25%3.9%
of the forecasted distance
        

6,623 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 1 day.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above6,623 forecasts
        
33.6%300%+
15.8%200–300%
22.8%125–200%
17.6%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
3.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%39,724 forecasts
        
34.4%300%+
7.6%200–300%
20.0%125–200%
22.0%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
10.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%30,959 forecasts
        
21.7%300%+
13.4%200–300%
16.8%125–200%
26.3%100–125%
2.8%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
13.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%23,649 forecasts
        
19.2%300%+
9.7%200–300%
21.6%125–200%
33.8%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
4.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%20,499 forecasts
        
18.7%300%+
5.3%200–300%
17.0%125–200%
30.5%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.8%25–50%
17.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%18,744 forecasts
        
31.5%300%+
5.1%200–300%
16.0%125–200%
30.3%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
6.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%19,179 forecasts
        
20.5%300%+
5.2%200–300%
15.9%125–200%
26.7%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
21.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%15,004 forecasts
        
6.1%300%+
5.5%200–300%
18.5%125–200%
33.7%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.5%50–75%
4.7%25–50%
22.8%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the six days.

▲ Could rise3,644 forecasts
        
29.2%300%+
16.5%200–300%
23.5%125–200%
20.9%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall2,979 forecasts
        
39.0%300%+
15.0%200–300%
21.9%125–200%
13.6%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
3.9%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to a day. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes4,335 forecasts
        
46.0%300%+
17.9%200–300%
16.0%125–200%
6.2%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes385 forecasts
        
23.9%300%+
27.0%200–300%
34.6%125–200%
8.8%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
1.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour297 forecasts
        
12.1%300%+
20.2%200–300%
39.4%125–200%
23.2%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
2.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours36 forecasts
        
16.7%300%+
25.0%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
19.4%100–125%
2.8%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
2.8%25–50%
5.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours547 forecasts
        
4.0%300%+
7.9%200–300%
42.2%125–200%
42.4%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
0.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day1,023 forecasts
        
7.0%300%+
5.5%200–300%
31.8%125–200%
54.2%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
0.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 14
10
Tue 15
2,365
Wed 16
916
Thu 17
1,629
Fri 18
1,695
Mon 21
8
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 2,224 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC
Price
1.33833
Forecasted level
1.33867
Distance
0.03%
Furthest move
0.09%
Confidence
95%
365% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,048 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 09:57 UTC
Price
1.33945
Forecasted level
1.33872
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.12%
Confidence
95%
223% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 1,510 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-15 21:05 UTC
Price
1.34672
Forecasted level
1.34764
Distance
0.07%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
97%
157% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,167 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 14:23 UTC
Price
1.33724
Forecasted level
1.33635
Distance
0.07%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
95%
105% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 139 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 12:30 UTC
Price
1.33834
Forecasted level
1.33890
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
84% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 120 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 14:18 UTC
Price
1.33449
Forecasted level
1.33395
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
95%
63% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 160 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-17 12:36 UTC
Price
1.33869
Forecasted level
1.33907
Distance
0.03%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
96%
31% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 255 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 14:40 UTC
Price
1.33532
Forecasted level
1.33471
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
16% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live British pound - Dollar forecasts, opened between 14 and 21 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 21 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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