Weekly report · 2 to 9 November 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on NVIDIA, 2 to 9 November

Prepared November 9, 2026 · Report data

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Every NVIDIA forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every NVIDIA price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 2 to Monday 9 November at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 13,376 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more32.8%
  2. went 200 to 300%13.3%
  3. went 125 to 200%26.1%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level19.4%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.4%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.3%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.5%
  8. went under 25%4.2%
of the forecasted distance
        

13,376 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 5 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above13,376 forecasts
        
32.8%300%+
13.3%200–300%
26.1%125–200%
19.4%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
4.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%56,025 forecasts
        
21.6%300%+
12.3%200–300%
27.5%125–200%
24.8%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
7.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%42,851 forecasts
        
19.4%300%+
8.2%200–300%
24.5%125–200%
28.6%100–125%
3.0%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
9.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%37,816 forecasts
        
19.2%300%+
8.3%200–300%
23.2%125–200%
28.9%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.3%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
10.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%28,398 forecasts
        
12.8%300%+
9.8%200–300%
25.7%125–200%
32.3%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.4%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
8.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%25,497 forecasts
        
9.0%300%+
8.1%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
36.7%100–125%
4.1%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
8.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%21,339 forecasts
        
9.1%300%+
7.2%200–300%
24.3%125–200%
37.3%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
4.6%25–50%
8.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%20,516 forecasts
        
9.6%300%+
7.2%200–300%
24.5%125–200%
35.5%100–125%
4.1%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
5.1%25–50%
9.3%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise7,257 forecasts
        
28.8%300%+
13.0%200–300%
27.2%125–200%
21.0%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
5.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall6,119 forecasts
        
37.6%300%+
13.5%200–300%
24.9%125–200%
17.5%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
3.2%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 5 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes2,731 forecasts
        
66.6%300%+
10.2%200–300%
8.2%125–200%
2.9%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
7.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes2,744 forecasts
        
48.6%300%+
16.3%200–300%
19.0%125–200%
7.0%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
5.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour2,143 forecasts
        
30.9%300%+
18.0%200–300%
29.1%125–200%
15.0%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours469 forecasts
        
33.9%300%+
19.6%200–300%
30.1%125–200%
8.1%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
3.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours2,040 forecasts
        
13.9%300%+
15.2%200–300%
34.2%125–200%
26.0%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day3,058 forecasts
        
3.7%300%+
8.1%200–300%
40.3%125–200%
43.5%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
1.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days189 forecasts
        
11.6%300%+
7.4%200–300%
28.1%125–200%
52.9%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days2 forecasts
        
50.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
50.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 2
2,035
Tue 3
1,480
Wed 4
1,798
Thu 5
2,801
Fri 6
952
Sat 7
1,605
Mon 9
2,705
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 4,394 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-05 23:15 UTC
Price
180.90
Forecasted level
181.68
Distance
0.43%
Furthest move
1.34%
Confidence
97%
310% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,774 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-06 09:00 UTC
Price
188.34
Forecasted level
187.35
Distance
0.53%
Furthest move
1.36%
Confidence
96%
260% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 3,493 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-05 17:25 UTC
Price
184.76
Forecasted level
186.08
Distance
0.71%
Furthest move
1.01%
Confidence
95%
141% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 2,591 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-11-05 16:20 UTC
Price
187.11
Forecasted level
185.73
Distance
0.74%
Furthest move
0.79%
Confidence
96%
107% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 184 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-11-06 14:45 UTC
Price
194.42
Forecasted level
195.22
Distance
0.41%
Furthest move
0.40%
Confidence
95%
97% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 178 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-06 00:00 UTC
Price
184.27
Forecasted level
183.31
Distance
0.52%
Furthest move
0.37%
Confidence
96%
71% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 195 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-06 16:00 UTC
Price
188.95
Forecasted level
189.73
Distance
0.41%
Furthest move
0.19%
Confidence
96%
45% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 567 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-11-06 09:10 UTC
Price
188.00
Forecasted level
187.45
Distance
0.29%
Furthest move
0.05%
Confidence
95%
18% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live NVIDIA forecasts, opened between 2 and 9 November 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 9 November.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s NVIDIA forecasts

Other NVIDIA reports