Full report · 31 August to 2 November 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on NVIDIA, 31 August to 2 November

Prepared November 2, 2026 · Report data

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Every NVIDIA forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every NVIDIA price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 31 August to Monday 2 November at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 160,764 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more28.0%
  2. went 200 to 300%10.7%
  3. went 125 to 200%24.4%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level28.1%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.0%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.0%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.0%
  8. went under 25%5.8%
of the forecasted distance
        

160,764 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 50 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above160,764 forecasts
        
28.0%300%+
10.7%200–300%
24.4%125–200%
28.1%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
5.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%678,046 forecasts
        
24.6%300%+
9.5%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
27.7%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
9.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%533,133 forecasts
        
21.1%300%+
6.6%200–300%
20.1%125–200%
35.0%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
10.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%411,497 forecasts
        
18.9%300%+
7.4%200–300%
20.4%125–200%
35.5%100–125%
2.8%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
2.8%25–50%
9.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%330,894 forecasts
        
12.2%300%+
7.5%200–300%
21.6%125–200%
40.8%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.4%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
7.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%300,936 forecasts
        
9.9%300%+
6.4%200–300%
21.3%125–200%
42.9%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
7.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%259,596 forecasts
        
9.8%300%+
5.6%200–300%
19.1%125–200%
44.3%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
8.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%228,951 forecasts
        
10.3%300%+
5.7%200–300%
18.2%125–200%
43.1%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.5%50–75%
4.7%25–50%
9.3%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the 56 days.

▲ Could rise83,398 forecasts
        
25.3%300%+
10.1%200–300%
23.8%125–200%
31.1%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall77,366 forecasts
        
31.0%300%+
11.4%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
24.8%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 50 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes14,577 forecasts
        
68.1%300%+
5.9%200–300%
5.4%125–200%
1.8%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.5%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
17.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes24,367 forecasts
        
54.7%300%+
12.3%200–300%
13.8%125–200%
5.8%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
10.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour24,614 forecasts
        
40.7%300%+
16.3%200–300%
22.6%125–200%
10.0%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
7.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours3,321 forecasts
        
35.0%300%+
20.3%200–300%
24.8%125–200%
10.4%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
3.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours17,849 forecasts
        
16.5%300%+
16.9%200–300%
34.3%125–200%
23.3%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day24,750 forecasts
        
11.3%300%+
10.8%200–300%
35.5%125–200%
36.1%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days3,927 forecasts
        
4.9%300%+
8.3%200–300%
34.6%125–200%
45.8%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days21,105 forecasts
        
10.4%300%+
6.6%200–300%
29.8%125–200%
49.8%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
0.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days24,175 forecasts
        
10.0%300%+
4.8%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
58.1%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
2.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days1,807 forecasts
        
5.9%300%+
6.5%200–300%
31.3%125–200%
56.3%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 50 days272 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
5.5%200–300%
29.4%125–200%
65.1%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Saturday to Monday.

Sat 29
0
Mon 31
225
Tue 1
0
Wed 2
8
Thu 3
684
Fri 4
2,619
Sat 5
4,869
Mon 7
6,168
Tue 8
956
Wed 9
1,901
Thu 10
2,912
Fri 11
3,210
Sat 12
4,415
Mon 14
8,234
Tue 15
2,913
Wed 16
1,619
Thu 17
1,949
Fri 18
2,843
Sat 19
3,819
Mon 21
5,648
Tue 22
1,902
Wed 23
2,015
Thu 24
1,980
Fri 25
2,738
Sat 26
5,162
Mon 28
10,550
Tue 29
1,485
Wed 30
1,309
Thu 1
1,206
Fri 2
1,613
Sat 3
4,279
Mon 5
9,282
Tue 6
2,351
Wed 7
2,422
Thu 8
2,629
Fri 9
2,023
Sat 10
3,269
Mon 12
11,340
Tue 13
1,754
Wed 14
2,550
Thu 15
2,132
Fri 16
2,261
Sat 17
2,624
Mon 19
3,513
Tue 20
2,067
Wed 21
564
Thu 22
1,884
Fri 23
1,507
Sat 24
1,815
Mon 26
4,365
Tue 27
1,551
Wed 28
1,363
Thu 29
886
Fri 30
1,644
Sat 31
3,574
Mon 2
2,163
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 45,113 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-08-30 17:28 UTC
Price
219.10
Forecasted level
221.02
Distance
0.87%
Furthest move
5.15%
Confidence
95%
589% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 17,237 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-04 22:59 UTC
Price
230.11
Forecasted level
228.10
Distance
0.87%
Furthest move
1.84%
Confidence
95%
210% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 39,171 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC
Price
214.12
Forecasted level
215.78
Distance
0.77%
Furthest move
1.31%
Confidence
97%
170% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 45,128 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 50 days · 2026-09-09 21:05 UTC
Price
223.90
Forecasted level
222.18
Distance
0.77%
Furthest move
0.87%
Confidence
95%
113% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 1,573 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-15 05:45 UTC
Price
218.61
Forecasted level
220.05
Distance
0.66%
Furthest move
0.58%
Confidence
95%
88% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 1,658 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-30 11:22 UTC
Price
227.96
Forecasted level
227.27
Distance
0.30%
Furthest move
0.18%
Confidence
95%
60% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 1,579 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-11 16:44 UTC
Price
231.60
Forecasted level
232.64
Distance
0.45%
Furthest move
0.13%
Confidence
98%
27% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 9,305 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-17 11:45 UTC
Price
217.46
Forecasted level
216.54
Distance
0.42%
Furthest move
0.00%
Confidence
95%
0% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live NVIDIA forecasts, opened between 31 August and 2 November 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 2 November.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See the latest NVIDIA forecasts

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