Monthly report · 1 to 31 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on NVIDIA, 1 to 31 October

Prepared November 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every NVIDIA forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every NVIDIA price forecast Kunkafa published from Thursday 1 to Saturday 31 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 74,978 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more29.0%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.3%
  3. went 125 to 200%24.6%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level25.9%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.1%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.2%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.1%
  8. went under 25%5.8%
of the forecasted distance
        

74,978 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 25 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above74,978 forecasts
        
29.0%300%+
11.3%200–300%
24.6%125–200%
25.9%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
5.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%339,122 forecasts
        
23.1%300%+
10.0%200–300%
24.0%125–200%
27.3%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
9.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%265,006 forecasts
        
19.4%300%+
6.8%200–300%
20.9%125–200%
35.4%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
9.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%205,135 forecasts
        
17.3%300%+
7.5%200–300%
21.1%125–200%
36.0%100–125%
2.8%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
3.0%25–50%
9.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%165,872 forecasts
        
10.7%300%+
7.7%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
40.7%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.4%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
8.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%150,407 forecasts
        
8.4%300%+
6.5%200–300%
22.0%125–200%
43.4%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
8.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%131,099 forecasts
        
8.3%300%+
5.5%200–300%
19.7%125–200%
45.3%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
8.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%115,732 forecasts
        
9.2%300%+
5.7%200–300%
18.9%125–200%
43.5%100–125%
4.5%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
9.3%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-seven days.

▲ Could rise38,045 forecasts
        
26.3%300%+
10.8%200–300%
23.9%125–200%
27.6%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
6.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall36,933 forecasts
        
31.9%300%+
11.8%200–300%
25.2%125–200%
24.1%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
4.8%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 25 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes8,452 forecasts
        
66.9%300%+
7.6%200–300%
7.1%125–200%
2.2%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
14.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes13,542 forecasts
        
51.0%300%+
13.4%200–300%
15.6%125–200%
6.9%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
9.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour11,428 forecasts
        
39.8%300%+
16.3%200–300%
24.0%125–200%
10.3%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
6.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours1,872 forecasts
        
34.5%300%+
19.9%200–300%
24.8%125–200%
11.1%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours8,354 forecasts
        
15.7%300%+
17.2%200–300%
34.7%125–200%
23.5%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
4.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day11,947 forecasts
        
9.1%300%+
11.1%200–300%
36.1%125–200%
38.0%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
1.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1,580 forecasts
        
5.7%300%+
7.6%200–300%
34.7%125–200%
45.4%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
2.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days8,991 forecasts
        
9.3%300%+
4.4%200–300%
29.4%125–200%
54.3%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
0.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days8,805 forecasts
        
8.1%300%+
5.4%200–300%
23.7%125–200%
54.3%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
3.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days7 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
14.3%200–300%
28.6%125–200%
57.1%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Thursday to Saturday.

Thu 1
1,206
Fri 2
1,613
Sat 3
4,279
Mon 5
9,276
Tue 6
2,351
Wed 7
2,422
Thu 8
2,629
Fri 9
2,023
Sat 10
3,269
Mon 12
11,340
Tue 13
1,754
Wed 14
2,550
Thu 15
2,132
Fri 16
2,261
Sat 17
2,608
Mon 19
3,491
Tue 20
2,065
Wed 21
564
Thu 22
1,884
Fri 23
1,507
Sat 24
1,815
Mon 26
3,507
Tue 27
1,551
Wed 28
1,363
Thu 29
886
Fri 30
1,644
Sat 31
2,988
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 21,783 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-19 13:00 UTC
Price
215.81
Forecasted level
216.66
Distance
0.39%
Furthest move
1.30%
Confidence
96%
331% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 8,446 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-09 13:00 UTC
Price
234.50
Forecasted level
233.27
Distance
0.52%
Furthest move
1.38%
Confidence
97%
262% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 18,411 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC
Price
214.12
Forecasted level
215.78
Distance
0.77%
Furthest move
1.31%
Confidence
97%
170% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 19,386 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 25 days · 2026-10-02 10:20 UTC
Price
233.45
Forecasted level
231.84
Distance
0.69%
Furthest move
0.78%
Confidence
95%
112% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 817 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-15 05:45 UTC
Price
218.61
Forecasted level
220.05
Distance
0.66%
Furthest move
0.58%
Confidence
95%
88% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 891 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-20 13:55 UTC
Price
214.94
Forecasted level
214.44
Distance
0.23%
Furthest move
0.12%
Confidence
95%
52% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 855 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-11 16:44 UTC
Price
231.60
Forecasted level
232.64
Distance
0.45%
Furthest move
0.13%
Confidence
98%
27% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 4,389 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-20 14:00 UTC
Price
215.55
Forecasted level
215.07
Distance
0.22%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
95%
14% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live NVIDIA forecasts, opened between 1 and 31 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 31 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s NVIDIA forecasts

Other NVIDIA reports