Weekly report · 26 October to 2 November 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on NVIDIA, 26 October to 2 November

Prepared November 2, 2026 · Report data

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Every NVIDIA forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every NVIDIA price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 26 October to Monday 2 November at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 13,245 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more35.2%
  2. went 200 to 300%14.0%
  3. went 125 to 200%23.0%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level15.4%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.5%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.5%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.5%
  8. went under 25%7.9%
of the forecasted distance
        

13,245 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 5 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above13,245 forecasts
        
35.2%300%+
14.0%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
15.4%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
7.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%66,077 forecasts
        
25.0%300%+
11.7%200–300%
25.4%125–200%
21.8%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
9.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%48,958 forecasts
        
23.2%300%+
7.4%200–300%
22.8%125–200%
27.6%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
11.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%38,468 forecasts
        
19.1%300%+
8.5%200–300%
22.2%125–200%
30.9%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
2.9%25–50%
10.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%29,221 forecasts
        
11.5%300%+
9.2%200–300%
25.3%125–200%
35.8%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
3.2%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
8.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%27,637 forecasts
        
8.7%300%+
7.8%200–300%
25.7%125–200%
38.1%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
8.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%23,387 forecasts
        
9.9%300%+
6.7%200–300%
23.4%125–200%
38.3%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
9.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%20,858 forecasts
        
11.4%300%+
7.1%200–300%
21.7%125–200%
37.5%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
10.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise6,819 forecasts
        
35.5%300%+
13.7%200–300%
22.7%125–200%
16.4%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
7.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall6,426 forecasts
        
34.8%300%+
14.4%200–300%
23.4%125–200%
14.2%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
8.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 5 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes2,189 forecasts
        
64.3%300%+
9.8%200–300%
8.4%125–200%
2.8%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
12.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes3,526 forecasts
        
49.5%300%+
15.2%200–300%
15.7%125–200%
6.4%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
9.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour2,535 forecasts
        
30.4%300%+
17.3%200–300%
29.1%125–200%
13.2%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
7.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours326 forecasts
        
28.8%300%+
25.2%200–300%
24.5%125–200%
11.4%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours2,233 forecasts
        
16.9%300%+
14.7%200–300%
33.2%125–200%
22.6%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
5.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day2,349 forecasts
        
10.9%300%+
10.7%200–300%
31.0%125–200%
35.1%100–125%
2.9%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
4.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days86 forecasts
        
3.5%300%+
8.1%200–300%
32.6%125–200%
55.8%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days1 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
100.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 26
2,064
Tue 27
1,551
Wed 28
1,363
Thu 29
886
Fri 30
1,644
Sat 31
3,574
Mon 2
2,163
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 4,655 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 17:55 UTC
Price
203.19
Forecasted level
203.90
Distance
0.35%
Furthest move
1.10%
Confidence
96%
314% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,857 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-26 14:00 UTC
Price
217.54
Forecasted level
216.92
Distance
0.28%
Furthest move
0.78%
Confidence
96%
274% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 3,052 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 16:55 UTC
Price
204.30
Forecasted level
205.05
Distance
0.37%
Furthest move
0.55%
Confidence
95%
150% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 2,036 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-26 14:40 UTC
Price
216.23
Forecasted level
215.26
Distance
0.45%
Furthest move
0.52%
Confidence
96%
115% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 204 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 16:00 UTC
Price
205.32
Forecasted level
206.01
Distance
0.34%
Furthest move
0.31%
Confidence
96%
92% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 198 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-27 14:57 UTC
Price
217.95
Forecasted level
217.55
Distance
0.19%
Furthest move
0.12%
Confidence
95%
64% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 201 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 15:45 UTC
Price
206.25
Forecasted level
206.92
Distance
0.32%
Furthest move
0.10%
Confidence
95%
31% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,042 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-27 14:24 UTC
Price
216.96
Forecasted level
216.57
Distance
0.18%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
20% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live NVIDIA forecasts, opened between 26 October and 2 November 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 2 November.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s NVIDIA forecasts

Other NVIDIA reports