Weekly report · 2 to 9 November 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Invesco QQQ Trust, 2 to 9 November

Prepared November 9, 2026 · Report data

Every Invesco QQQ Trust forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Invesco QQQ Trust price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 2 to Monday 9 November at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 12,735 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more33.5%
  2. went 200 to 300%12.9%
  3. went 125 to 200%26.7%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level16.3%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.5%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.2%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.3%
  8. went under 25%6.6%
of the forecasted distance
        

12,735 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 5 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above12,735 forecasts
        
33.5%300%+
12.9%200–300%
26.7%125–200%
16.3%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
6.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%58,307 forecasts
        
22.5%300%+
11.3%200–300%
28.6%125–200%
23.4%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
8.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%45,486 forecasts
        
19.1%300%+
7.7%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
28.8%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
2.8%25–50%
10.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%36,249 forecasts
        
16.6%300%+
8.3%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
30.4%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
9.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%27,904 forecasts
        
11.9%300%+
8.9%200–300%
26.0%125–200%
33.5%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%26,228 forecasts
        
9.4%300%+
7.9%200–300%
25.5%125–200%
37.4%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.2%25–50%
7.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%22,042 forecasts
        
9.6%300%+
6.8%200–300%
24.6%125–200%
37.9%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.6%25–50%
8.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%19,578 forecasts
        
10.4%300%+
6.8%200–300%
22.8%125–200%
35.6%100–125%
4.6%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
5.2%25–50%
10.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise7,669 forecasts
        
29.5%300%+
12.5%200–300%
27.3%125–200%
18.2%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
7.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall5,066 forecasts
        
39.3%300%+
13.5%200–300%
25.7%125–200%
13.6%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
4.9%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 5 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes2,198 forecasts
        
62.5%300%+
7.7%200–300%
14.2%125–200%
1.8%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
10.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes3,471 forecasts
        
44.3%300%+
11.7%200–300%
23.1%125–200%
7.0%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
9.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour2,477 forecasts
        
33.5%300%+
19.8%200–300%
23.9%125–200%
11.2%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
6.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours421 forecasts
        
32.3%300%+
22.6%200–300%
25.4%125–200%
10.7%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,861 forecasts
        
14.1%300%+
16.3%200–300%
40.4%125–200%
23.3%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
2.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day2,108 forecasts
        
3.4%300%+
7.8%200–300%
36.2%125–200%
46.1%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days197 forecasts
        
22.8%300%+
8.6%200–300%
32.0%125–200%
36.6%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days2 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
50.0%125–200%
50.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 2
1,894
Tue 3
833
Wed 4
1,916
Thu 5
2,650
Fri 6
509
Sat 7
2,113
Mon 9
2,820
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 4,259 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-05 23:15 UTC
Price
645.60
Forecasted level
647.45
Distance
0.29%
Furthest move
0.88%
Confidence
96%
307% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,647 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-11-05 15:40 UTC
Price
658.83
Forecasted level
657.14
Distance
0.26%
Furthest move
0.58%
Confidence
96%
226% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 3,394 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-05 21:20 UTC
Price
646.40
Forecasted level
649.69
Distance
0.51%
Furthest move
0.66%
Confidence
96%
130% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 2,080 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-05 15:01 UTC
Price
666.52
Forecasted level
663.35
Distance
0.48%
Furthest move
0.53%
Confidence
95%
111% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 187 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-05 16:46 UTC
Price
659.82
Forecasted level
661.99
Distance
0.33%
Furthest move
0.27%
Confidence
95%
82% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 158 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-06 00:15 UTC
Price
652.40
Forecasted level
650.24
Distance
0.33%
Furthest move
0.23%
Confidence
95%
70% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 169 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-11-06 15:00 UTC
Price
662.79
Forecasted level
664.36
Distance
0.24%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
95%
30% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 841 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-11-06 00:15 UTC
Price
651.56
Forecasted level
649.44
Distance
0.33%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
95%
9% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Invesco QQQ Trust forecasts, opened between 2 and 9 November 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 9 November.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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