Weekly report · 19 to 26 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Invesco QQQ Trust, 19 to 26 October

Prepared October 26, 2026 · Report data

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Every Invesco QQQ Trust forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Invesco QQQ Trust price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 19 to Monday 26 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 10,316 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more32.6%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.8%
  3. went 125 to 200%27.6%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level16.6%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.1%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.1%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.2%
  8. went under 25%8.0%
of the forecasted distance
        

10,316 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 5 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above10,316 forecasts
        
32.6%300%+
11.8%200–300%
27.6%125–200%
16.6%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
8.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%65,003 forecasts
        
23.5%300%+
11.3%200–300%
27.8%125–200%
21.6%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
10.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%46,638 forecasts
        
20.3%300%+
7.8%200–300%
25.8%125–200%
27.4%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
11.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%37,694 forecasts
        
18.4%300%+
8.0%200–300%
24.6%125–200%
30.5%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
10.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%30,765 forecasts
        
13.2%300%+
9.2%200–300%
26.3%125–200%
32.5%100–125%
3.0%75–99%
3.0%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
9.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%27,964 forecasts
        
8.8%300%+
7.5%200–300%
26.1%125–200%
38.2%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
8.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%22,220 forecasts
        
8.7%300%+
6.1%200–300%
24.1%125–200%
40.6%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
9.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%19,668 forecasts
        
9.9%300%+
6.4%200–300%
22.9%125–200%
39.0%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
3.8%25–50%
10.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise5,995 forecasts
        
32.8%300%+
11.9%200–300%
26.8%125–200%
17.8%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
7.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall4,321 forecasts
        
32.3%300%+
11.7%200–300%
28.6%125–200%
15.1%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
8.8%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 5 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes1,649 forecasts
        
51.9%300%+
4.7%200–300%
20.7%125–200%
0.8%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
19.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes3,003 forecasts
        
44.7%300%+
12.4%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
6.0%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
10.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour1,884 forecasts
        
32.4%300%+
15.7%200–300%
29.0%125–200%
12.0%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
7.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours266 forecasts
        
26.3%300%+
24.8%200–300%
23.3%125–200%
12.8%100–125%
4.1%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,366 forecasts
        
23.7%300%+
14.4%200–300%
32.7%125–200%
20.9%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
2.9%25–50%
2.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day2,018 forecasts
        
7.8%300%+
9.4%200–300%
35.1%125–200%
45.5%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.4%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
0.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days129 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
16.3%200–300%
38.0%125–200%
45.7%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days1 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
100.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 19
1,560
Tue 20
1,161
Wed 21
687
Thu 22
1,549
Fri 23
449
Sat 24
3,383
Mon 26
1,527
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 3,361 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-20 13:30 UTC
Price
712.35
Forecasted level
713.42
Distance
0.15%
Furthest move
0.75%
Confidence
97%
498% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,219 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-19 16:00 UTC
Price
721.02
Forecasted level
719.03
Distance
0.28%
Furthest move
0.57%
Confidence
95%
205% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,847 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-20 16:15 UTC
Price
720.40
Forecasted level
722.57
Distance
0.30%
Furthest move
0.48%
Confidence
96%
159% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,717 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-19 12:00 UTC
Price
720.09
Forecasted level
718.13
Distance
0.27%
Furthest move
0.32%
Confidence
96%
119% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 113 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-22 04:44 UTC
Price
716.34
Forecasted level
717.28
Distance
0.13%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
95%
86% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 113 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-19 01:45 UTC
Price
718.34
Forecasted level
717.24
Distance
0.15%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
95%
53% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 125 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-22 14:15 UTC
Price
710.91
Forecasted level
712.36
Distance
0.20%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
96%
41% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 821 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-20 13:50 UTC
Price
715.21
Forecasted level
714.76
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.02%
Confidence
96%
24% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Invesco QQQ Trust forecasts, opened between 19 and 26 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 26 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s Invesco QQQ Trust forecasts

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