Every Invesco QQQ Trust forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Invesco QQQ Trust price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 31 August to Monday 21 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?
Kunkafa’s confidence floor
The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.
Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 36,131 forecasts that settled came out like this:
went 300% or more30.5%
went 200 to 300%11.2%
went 125 to 200%26.9%
went 100 to 125%, reaching the level20.0%
went 75 to 99%1.0%
went 50 to 75%1.2%
went 25 to 50%1.0%
went under 25%8.2%
of the forecasted distance
36,131 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.
Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.
Confidence, and what it was worth
Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.
Confidence 95% and above36,131 forecasts
30.5%300%+
11.2%200–300%
26.9%125–200%
20.0%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%193,244 forecasts
26.9%300%+
9.9%200–300%
25.7%125–200%
19.4%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
13.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%143,843 forecasts
25.3%300%+
7.5%200–300%
22.3%125–200%
24.9%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
14.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%120,319 forecasts
25.4%300%+
8.2%200–300%
21.2%125–200%
26.0%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
12.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%94,558 forecasts
17.5%300%+
8.3%200–300%
22.4%125–200%
33.2%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
10.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%84,095 forecasts
12.9%300%+
6.6%200–300%
22.1%125–200%
39.4%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.3%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
8.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%70,530 forecasts
13.2%300%+
6.3%200–300%
19.8%125–200%
40.6%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
9.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%63,719 forecasts
13.5%300%+
6.2%200–300%
18.8%125–200%
41.4%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
9.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Both directions
A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty days.
▲ Could rise18,515 forecasts
33.4%300%+
11.1%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
19.2%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
8.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall17,616 forecasts
27.5%300%+
11.3%200–300%
29.0%125–200%
20.8%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
8.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
By duration
Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.
Up to 5 minutes3,295 forecasts
47.2%300%+
3.8%200–300%
16.2%125–200%
0.4%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
32.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes4,959 forecasts
48.7%300%+
9.2%200–300%
22.2%125–200%
3.6%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
14.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour7,196 forecasts
43.7%300%+
13.2%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
8.8%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours927 forecasts
26.4%300%+
19.5%200–300%
28.7%125–200%
13.0%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
7.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours4,812 forecasts
15.2%300%+
15.3%200–300%
34.4%125–200%
23.8%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day6,617 forecasts
10.6%300%+
11.9%200–300%
33.4%125–200%
34.4%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
4.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days758 forecasts
4.2%300%+
9.8%200–300%
43.7%125–200%
39.7%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
0.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days5,085 forecasts
20.1%300%+
9.5%200–300%
28.4%125–200%
41.0%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.2%25–50%
0.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days2,482 forecasts
47.9%300%+
10.0%200–300%
23.5%125–200%
18.6%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Day by day
The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Saturday to Monday.
What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time
Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.
300% of the forecast distance or more · 11,035 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-03 04:11 UTC
Price
711.42
Forecasted level
712.99
Distance
0.22%
Furthest move
1.10%
Confidence
95%
501% of the forecasted distance
200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 4,039 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 13:10 UTC
Price
717.37
Forecasted level
716.39
Distance
0.14%
Furthest move
0.28%
Confidence
95%
207% of the forecasted distance
125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 9,739 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-13 13:00 UTC
Price
708.21
Forecasted level
709.55
Distance
0.19%
Furthest move
0.29%
Confidence
96%
154% of the forecasted distance
100 to 125%, reached the level · 7,213 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 5 days · 2026-09-13 07:38 UTC
Price
712.23
Forecasted level
705.69
Distance
0.92%
Furthest move
1.02%
Confidence
98%
111% of the forecasted distance
75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 352 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-11 13:25 UTC
Price
716.25
Forecasted level
717.89
Distance
0.23%
Furthest move
0.21%
Confidence
95%
93% of the forecasted distance
50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 421 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-10 12:56 UTC
Price
707.60
Forecasted level
706.81
Distance
0.11%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
96%
66% of the forecasted distance
25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 380 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-12 19:40 UTC
Price
714.48
Forecasted level
715.89
Distance
0.20%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
96%
36% of the forecasted distance
Under 25% of the forecast distance · 2,952 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-03 12:48 UTC
Price
710.21
Forecasted level
709.57
Distance
0.09%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
96%
15% of the forecasted distance
How this was counted
Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Invesco QQQ Trust forecasts, opened between 31 August and 21 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 21 September.
“Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.
Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.