Full report · 31 August to 2 November 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Invesco QQQ Trust, 31 August to 2 November

Prepared November 2, 2026 · Report data

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Every Invesco QQQ Trust forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Invesco QQQ Trust price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 31 August to Monday 2 November at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 141,355 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more24.9%
  2. went 200 to 300%10.8%
  3. went 125 to 200%28.3%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level25.6%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.0%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.1%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.1%
  8. went under 25%7.2%
of the forecasted distance
        

141,355 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 25 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above141,355 forecasts
        
24.9%300%+
10.8%200–300%
28.3%125–200%
25.6%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%684,368 forecasts
        
22.0%300%+
9.6%200–300%
26.8%125–200%
25.3%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
11.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%519,735 forecasts
        
19.3%300%+
6.5%200–300%
23.2%125–200%
33.2%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
11.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%419,856 forecasts
        
19.0%300%+
7.2%200–300%
21.7%125–200%
34.5%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
10.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%350,632 forecasts
        
12.1%300%+
7.2%200–300%
21.7%125–200%
41.3%100–125%
2.9%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
8.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%318,440 forecasts
        
8.8%300%+
5.9%200–300%
21.0%125–200%
45.5%100–125%
3.4%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%266,034 forecasts
        
9.2%300%+
5.0%200–300%
18.7%125–200%
46.3%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
4.0%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
8.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%240,852 forecasts
        
9.7%300%+
5.1%200–300%
17.0%125–200%
46.2%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.3%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
9.2%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the 56 days.

▲ Could rise72,189 forecasts
        
25.0%300%+
10.5%200–300%
26.6%125–200%
26.7%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
7.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall69,166 forecasts
        
24.8%300%+
11.1%200–300%
30.1%125–200%
24.4%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
6.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 25 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes14,247 forecasts
        
48.9%300%+
5.0%200–300%
19.0%125–200%
0.9%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.5%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
24.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes22,321 forecasts
        
43.3%300%+
12.0%200–300%
23.1%125–200%
5.4%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
12.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour23,111 forecasts
        
39.0%300%+
14.8%200–300%
24.8%125–200%
9.8%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
8.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours3,225 forecasts
        
28.9%300%+
21.3%200–300%
26.5%125–200%
12.3%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
5.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours15,407 forecasts
        
18.7%300%+
16.1%200–300%
33.8%125–200%
22.2%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day22,352 forecasts
        
8.8%300%+
11.2%200–300%
34.8%125–200%
38.6%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days2,649 forecasts
        
3.1%300%+
10.0%200–300%
37.5%125–200%
44.3%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days17,905 forecasts
        
8.7%300%+
7.1%200–300%
32.7%125–200%
49.9%100–125%
0.4%75–99%
0.4%50–75%
0.4%25–50%
0.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days18,627 forecasts
        
11.6%300%+
6.6%200–300%
28.4%125–200%
48.4%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
1.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days1,511 forecasts
        
0.1%300%+
4.5%200–300%
31.2%125–200%
64.2%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 50 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Saturday to Monday.

Sat 29
0
Mon 31
452
Tue 1
0
Wed 2
257
Thu 3
742
Fri 4
1,783
Sat 5
3,877
Mon 7
3,515
Tue 8
421
Wed 9
1,140
Thu 10
1,738
Fri 11
1,788
Sat 12
5,186
Mon 14
8,303
Tue 15
1,605
Wed 16
889
Thu 17
879
Fri 18
1,785
Sat 19
3,135
Mon 21
5,812
Tue 22
2,331
Wed 23
2,365
Thu 24
2,177
Fri 25
2,191
Sat 26
3,636
Mon 28
5,243
Tue 29
1,654
Wed 30
1,908
Thu 1
1,038
Fri 2
1,255
Sat 3
4,411
Mon 5
8,177
Tue 6
1,996
Wed 7
2,700
Thu 8
1,706
Fri 9
1,309
Sat 10
4,664
Mon 12
7,241
Tue 13
1,591
Wed 14
2,761
Thu 15
1,976
Fri 16
3,026
Sat 17
3,889
Mon 19
5,004
Tue 20
1,768
Wed 21
915
Thu 22
1,680
Fri 23
1,661
Sat 24
3,480
Mon 26
4,197
Tue 27
1,117
Wed 28
926
Thu 29
867
Fri 30
2,055
Sat 31
2,768
Mon 2
2,365
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 35,229 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-03 04:11 UTC
Price
711.42
Forecasted level
712.99
Distance
0.22%
Furthest move
1.10%
Confidence
95%
501% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 15,309 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-08 12:00 UTC
Price
753.73
Forecasted level
751.49
Distance
0.30%
Furthest move
0.73%
Confidence
95%
247% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 40,046 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-16 23:15 UTC
Price
709.55
Forecasted level
713.06
Distance
0.49%
Furthest move
0.65%
Confidence
97%
131% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 36,136 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 5 days · 2026-09-13 07:38 UTC
Price
712.23
Forecasted level
705.69
Distance
0.92%
Furthest move
1.02%
Confidence
98%
111% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 1,356 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-16 02:34 UTC
Price
729.31
Forecasted level
731.94
Distance
0.36%
Furthest move
0.36%
Confidence
95%
98% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 1,592 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-18 22:47 UTC
Price
715.55
Forecasted level
713.66
Distance
0.26%
Furthest move
0.17%
Confidence
95%
64% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 1,579 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-16 04:39 UTC
Price
730.97
Forecasted level
733.81
Distance
0.39%
Furthest move
0.13%
Confidence
95%
32% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 10,108 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 5 days · 2026-09-20 10:20 UTC
Price
719.77
Forecasted level
715.68
Distance
0.57%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
98%
13% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Invesco QQQ Trust forecasts, opened between 31 August and 2 November 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 2 November.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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