Monthly report · 2 to 30 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Invesco QQQ Trust, 2 to 30 September

Prepared October 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every Invesco QQQ Trust forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Invesco QQQ Trust price forecast Kunkafa published from Wednesday 2 to Wednesday 30 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 55,944 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more27.0%
  2. went 200 to 300%10.9%
  3. went 125 to 200%28.2%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level23.5%
  5. went 75 to 99%0.9%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.1%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.0%
  8. went under 25%7.4%
of the forecasted distance
        

55,944 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above55,944 forecasts
        
27.0%300%+
10.9%200–300%
28.2%125–200%
23.5%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
7.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%301,270 forecasts
        
24.7%300%+
9.7%200–300%
26.4%125–200%
22.6%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
12.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%221,038 forecasts
        
22.7%300%+
7.0%200–300%
22.8%125–200%
28.5%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
13.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%182,196 forecasts
        
22.6%300%+
7.8%200–300%
21.6%125–200%
29.5%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
11.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%148,119 forecasts
        
15.1%300%+
7.9%200–300%
22.1%125–200%
36.6%100–125%
2.8%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
2.9%25–50%
9.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%130,990 forecasts
        
11.4%300%+
6.6%200–300%
21.7%125–200%
41.0%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
8.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%110,372 forecasts
        
11.8%300%+
5.7%200–300%
19.2%125–200%
41.8%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
9.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%101,600 forecasts
        
11.9%300%+
5.7%200–300%
17.8%125–200%
42.5%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
9.8%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-six days.

▲ Could rise28,922 forecasts
        
27.9%300%+
10.8%200–300%
27.2%125–200%
24.4%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall27,022 forecasts
        
26.0%300%+
11.0%200–300%
29.4%125–200%
22.6%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
7.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes5,199 forecasts
        
48.1%300%+
3.7%200–300%
17.3%125–200%
0.6%100–125%
0.4%75–99%
0.3%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
29.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes7,938 forecasts
        
46.8%300%+
11.0%200–300%
22.7%125–200%
4.2%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
12.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour10,576 forecasts
        
40.8%300%+
13.6%200–300%
24.2%125–200%
10.0%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
8.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours1,429 forecasts
        
29.4%300%+
19.9%200–300%
27.3%125–200%
12.5%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
6.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours7,100 forecasts
        
15.6%300%+
15.1%200–300%
35.3%125–200%
24.4%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day9,506 forecasts
        
9.2%300%+
11.9%200–300%
34.4%125–200%
37.2%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
3.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1,321 forecasts
        
2.7%300%+
8.9%200–300%
42.7%125–200%
41.3%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
1.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days7,209 forecasts
        
11.4%300%+
9.3%200–300%
31.7%125–200%
44.7%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
0.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days5,666 forecasts
        
23.0%300%+
5.6%200–300%
26.8%125–200%
44.6%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Tuesday to Wednesday.

Tue 1
0
Wed 2
257
Thu 3
742
Fri 4
1,783
Sat 5
3,877
Mon 7
3,515
Tue 8
386
Wed 9
893
Thu 10
1,618
Fri 11
1,788
Sat 12
5,186
Mon 14
8,257
Tue 15
1,594
Wed 16
851
Thu 17
712
Fri 18
1,785
Sat 19
2,915
Mon 21
4,941
Tue 22
2,146
Wed 23
1,441
Thu 24
1,470
Fri 25
1,383
Sat 26
2,600
Mon 28
3,787
Tue 29
1,004
Wed 30
1,013
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 15,089 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-03 04:11 UTC
Price
711.42
Forecasted level
712.99
Distance
0.22%
Furthest move
1.10%
Confidence
95%
501% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 6,096 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-25 13:45 UTC
Price
745.10
Forecasted level
743.68
Distance
0.19%
Furthest move
0.49%
Confidence
95%
256% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 15,790 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-24 07:05 UTC
Price
737.16
Forecasted level
740.12
Distance
0.40%
Furthest move
0.58%
Confidence
95%
143% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 13,164 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 5 days · 2026-09-13 07:38 UTC
Price
712.23
Forecasted level
705.69
Distance
0.92%
Furthest move
1.02%
Confidence
98%
111% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 496 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-11 13:25 UTC
Price
716.25
Forecasted level
717.89
Distance
0.23%
Furthest move
0.21%
Confidence
95%
93% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 583 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 5 days · 2026-09-20 09:08 UTC
Price
719.84
Forecasted level
718.71
Distance
0.16%
Furthest move
0.09%
Confidence
100%
55% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 564 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-12 19:40 UTC
Price
714.48
Forecasted level
715.89
Distance
0.20%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
96%
36% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 4,162 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 5 days · 2026-09-20 10:20 UTC
Price
719.77
Forecasted level
715.68
Distance
0.57%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
98%
13% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Invesco QQQ Trust forecasts, opened between 2 and 30 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s Invesco QQQ Trust forecasts

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