Weekly report · 28 September to 5 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Invesco QQQ Trust, 28 September to 5 October

Prepared October 5, 2026 · Report data

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Every Invesco QQQ Trust forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Invesco QQQ Trust price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 28 September to Monday 5 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 11,994 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more36.9%
  2. went 200 to 300%13.8%
  3. went 125 to 200%25.2%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level12.6%
  5. went 75 to 99%0.8%
  6. went 50 to 75%0.9%
  7. went 25 to 50%0.9%
  8. went under 25%8.9%
of the forecasted distance
        

11,994 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 5 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above11,994 forecasts
        
36.9%300%+
13.8%200–300%
25.2%125–200%
12.6%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
8.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%69,331 forecasts
        
26.5%300%+
10.4%200–300%
27.4%125–200%
17.5%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
14.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%46,710 forecasts
        
24.1%300%+
8.1%200–300%
23.7%125–200%
22.2%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
14.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%35,732 forecasts
        
22.4%300%+
8.9%200–300%
23.2%125–200%
26.0%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.6%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
11.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%29,103 forecasts
        
14.7%300%+
9.7%200–300%
25.1%125–200%
31.4%100–125%
2.8%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
9.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%26,366 forecasts
        
11.3%300%+
8.2%200–300%
25.7%125–200%
35.0%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.3%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
9.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%20,710 forecasts
        
12.7%300%+
7.2%200–300%
23.2%125–200%
34.8%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
3.8%25–50%
10.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%19,043 forecasts
        
13.3%300%+
7.5%200–300%
22.1%125–200%
35.0%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
3.8%25–50%
10.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise6,641 forecasts
        
35.1%300%+
14.0%200–300%
26.7%125–200%
14.2%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
7.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall5,353 forecasts
        
39.1%300%+
13.6%200–300%
23.3%125–200%
10.7%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
10.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 5 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes1,784 forecasts
        
54.7%300%+
3.7%200–300%
15.4%125–200%
1.1%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
23.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes2,776 forecasts
        
40.3%300%+
14.9%200–300%
24.6%125–200%
5.8%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
11.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour3,081 forecasts
        
41.6%300%+
14.6%200–300%
24.6%125–200%
9.9%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
7.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours489 forecasts
        
33.3%300%+
20.5%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
10.8%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
4.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,679 forecasts
        
28.8%300%+
16.9%200–300%
29.2%125–200%
19.1%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.4%25–50%
3.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day2,039 forecasts
        
19.7%300%+
16.1%200–300%
31.5%125–200%
28.2%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
0.4%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days145 forecasts
        
0.7%300%+
11.0%200–300%
31.7%125–200%
55.2%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days1 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
100.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 28
1,821
Tue 29
1,004
Wed 30
1,115
Thu 1
1,034
Fri 2
1,255
Sat 3
3,451
Mon 5
2,314
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 4,426 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-28 17:05 UTC
Price
737.36
Forecasted level
738.23
Distance
0.12%
Furthest move
0.38%
Confidence
96%
320% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,659 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-28 11:15 UTC
Price
739.27
Forecasted level
737.98
Distance
0.17%
Furthest move
0.43%
Confidence
95%
245% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 3,019 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-28 19:35 UTC
Price
736.76
Forecasted level
738.40
Distance
0.22%
Furthest move
0.29%
Confidence
95%
129% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,514 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-28 15:15 UTC
Price
735.63
Forecasted level
734.35
Distance
0.17%
Furthest move
0.19%
Confidence
95%
108% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 92 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-28 16:32 UTC
Price
738.95
Forecasted level
739.92
Distance
0.13%
Furthest move
0.13%
Confidence
95%
97% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 106 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-30 12:22 UTC
Price
737.78
Forecasted level
737.19
Distance
0.08%
Furthest move
0.05%
Confidence
96%
61% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 104 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-01 07:10 UTC
Price
746.76
Forecasted level
747.54
Distance
0.10%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
34% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,074 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-30 12:16 UTC
Price
737.14
Forecasted level
736.56
Distance
0.08%
Furthest move
0.00%
Confidence
95%
0% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Invesco QQQ Trust forecasts, opened between 28 September and 5 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 5 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s Invesco QQQ Trust forecasts

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