Weekly report · 28 September to 5 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Euro - Dollar, 28 September to 5 October

Prepared October 5, 2026 · Report data

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Every Euro - Dollar forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Euro - Dollar price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 28 September to Monday 5 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 10,207 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more32.5%
  2. went 200 to 300%15.5%
  3. went 125 to 200%25.2%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level16.0%
  5. went 75 to 99%2.1%
  6. went 50 to 75%2.5%
  7. went 25 to 50%2.3%
  8. went under 25%3.9%
of the forecasted distance
        

10,207 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above10,207 forecasts
        
32.5%300%+
15.5%200–300%
25.2%125–200%
16.0%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
3.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%35,343 forecasts
        
11.2%300%+
12.8%200–300%
32.0%125–200%
29.8%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.2%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
4.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%28,829 forecasts
        
9.1%300%+
8.9%200–300%
28.6%125–200%
35.8%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.0%50–75%
4.2%25–50%
5.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%24,678 forecasts
        
9.0%300%+
9.1%200–300%
26.8%125–200%
36.3%100–125%
4.6%75–99%
4.3%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%19,029 forecasts
        
6.8%300%+
9.1%200–300%
26.9%125–200%
38.0%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
4.8%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%19,384 forecasts
        
6.7%300%+
8.1%200–300%
24.8%125–200%
38.1%100–125%
5.0%75–99%
5.4%50–75%
5.7%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%16,327 forecasts
        
7.5%300%+
8.4%200–300%
25.2%125–200%
36.5%100–125%
4.7%75–99%
5.3%50–75%
5.5%25–50%
6.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%13,959 forecasts
        
5.6%300%+
7.9%200–300%
25.1%125–200%
37.9%100–125%
4.9%75–99%
6.1%50–75%
5.6%25–50%
6.9%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the six days.

▲ Could rise6,173 forecasts
        
28.9%300%+
15.4%200–300%
26.6%125–200%
16.9%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall4,034 forecasts
        
38.1%300%+
15.7%200–300%
23.1%125–200%
14.4%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
3.2%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes5,142 forecasts
        
50.3%300%+
16.6%200–300%
16.3%125–200%
5.0%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
4.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes1,369 forecasts
        
33.2%300%+
22.2%200–300%
25.9%125–200%
9.9%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
3.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour1,032 forecasts
        
13.4%300%+
17.3%200–300%
39.8%125–200%
20.2%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
3.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours209 forecasts
        
18.6%300%+
22.0%200–300%
36.4%125–200%
11.5%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,055 forecasts
        
5.4%300%+
10.7%200–300%
36.8%125–200%
34.3%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
2.8%25–50%
4.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day1,384 forecasts
        
3.2%300%+
5.8%200–300%
36.3%125–200%
46.0%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days16 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
18.8%200–300%
31.2%125–200%
37.5%100–125%
12.5%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 28
1,427
Tue 29
2,095
Wed 30
1,823
Thu 1
2,874
Fri 2
1,979
Mon 5
9
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 3,320 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-02 12:20 UTC
Price
1.12276
Forecasted level
1.12354
Distance
0.07%
Furthest move
0.30%
Confidence
95%
426% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,580 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-01 15:00 UTC
Price
1.12312
Forecasted level
1.12246
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.13%
Confidence
96%
224% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,575 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-29 00:15 UTC
Price
1.13635
Forecasted level
1.13734
Distance
0.09%
Furthest move
0.15%
Confidence
95%
169% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,627 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-02 14:00 UTC
Price
1.12821
Forecasted level
1.12748
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
95%
116% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 218 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-28 05:30 UTC
Price
1.13830
Forecasted level
1.13921
Distance
0.08%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
96%
89% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 252 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-02 13:14 UTC
Price
1.12467
Forecasted level
1.12403
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
96%
73% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 233 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-01 14:10 UTC
Price
1.12875
Forecasted level
1.12928
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.02%
Confidence
96%
43% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 402 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-02 13:34 UTC
Price
1.12466
Forecasted level
1.12407
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
11% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Euro - Dollar forecasts, opened between 28 September and 5 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 5 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s Euro - Dollar forecasts

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