Monthly report · 11 to 30 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Euro - Dollar, 11 to 30 September

Prepared October 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every Euro - Dollar forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Euro - Dollar price forecast Kunkafa published from Friday 11 to Wednesday 30 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 27,418 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more29.4%
  2. went 200 to 300%13.4%
  3. went 125 to 200%23.9%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level22.0%
  5. went 75 to 99%2.1%
  6. went 50 to 75%2.4%
  7. went 25 to 50%2.2%
  8. went under 25%4.6%
of the forecasted distance
        

27,418 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above27,418 forecasts
        
29.4%300%+
13.4%200–300%
23.9%125–200%
22.0%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
4.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%117,189 forecasts
        
9.8%300%+
8.8%200–300%
24.4%125–200%
29.5%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
5.0%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
16.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%88,989 forecasts
        
6.6%300%+
6.1%200–300%
24.1%125–200%
39.0%100–125%
6.6%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
10.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%81,330 forecasts
        
6.7%300%+
6.4%200–300%
20.1%125–200%
37.3%100–125%
6.8%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
14.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%60,215 forecasts
        
9.7%300%+
6.1%200–300%
19.4%125–200%
37.8%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
9.8%50–75%
6.0%25–50%
6.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%67,520 forecasts
        
4.4%300%+
5.4%200–300%
16.4%125–200%
37.6%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
12.5%25–50%
14.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%61,272 forecasts
        
5.0%300%+
5.5%200–300%
20.5%125–200%
33.3%100–125%
9.8%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
5.3%25–50%
15.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%53,437 forecasts
        
4.8%300%+
5.2%200–300%
15.9%125–200%
31.8%100–125%
10.1%75–99%
10.1%50–75%
10.4%25–50%
11.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the sixteen days.

▲ Could rise17,895 forecasts
        
24.5%300%+
12.2%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
26.0%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.6%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
4.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall9,523 forecasts
        
38.6%300%+
15.7%200–300%
21.8%125–200%
14.6%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
4.2%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes13,119 forecasts
        
51.5%300%+
16.5%200–300%
15.1%125–200%
4.7%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes2,916 forecasts
        
27.6%300%+
22.9%200–300%
30.0%125–200%
11.5%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
2.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour1,797 forecasts
        
10.8%300%+
17.5%200–300%
41.2%125–200%
22.0%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
3.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours240 forecasts
        
20.9%300%+
20.4%200–300%
32.9%125–200%
13.3%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours2,013 forecasts
        
3.1%300%+
7.5%200–300%
40.4%125–200%
38.8%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.6%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day3,535 forecasts
        
2.5%300%+
5.3%200–300%
31.1%125–200%
52.9%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days618 forecasts
        
4.2%300%+
3.2%200–300%
24.0%125–200%
56.3%100–125%
2.8%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
4.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days1,837 forecasts
        
0.1%300%+
1.8%200–300%
25.1%125–200%
55.4%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
5.0%25–50%
8.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days1,343 forecasts
        
5.9%300%+
6.8%200–300%
26.6%125–200%
47.6%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
4.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Wednesday to Wednesday.

Wed 9
0
Thu 10
0
Fri 11
8
Mon 14
743
Tue 15
3,629
Wed 16
1,473
Thu 17
1,825
Fri 18
2,058
Mon 21
2,392
Tue 22
2,163
Wed 23
4,075
Thu 24
2,105
Fri 25
1,797
Mon 28
1,417
Tue 29
2,091
Wed 30
1,642
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 8,060 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-29 16:00 UTC
Price
1.13146
Forecasted level
1.13206
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.26%
Confidence
95%
484% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 3,680 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 12:15 UTC
Price
1.14954
Forecasted level
1.14907
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.10%
Confidence
96%
236% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 6,551 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-23 16:00 UTC
Price
1.13782
Forecasted level
1.13888
Distance
0.09%
Furthest move
0.13%
Confidence
95%
140% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 6,033 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 5 days · 2026-09-16 08:28 UTC
Price
1.15455
Forecasted level
1.15387
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.06%
Confidence
95%
108% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 578 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-14 04:40 UTC
Price
1.15629
Forecasted level
1.15728
Distance
0.09%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
96%
80% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 666 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-17 12:01 UTC
Price
1.14733
Forecasted level
1.14712
Distance
0.02%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
52% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 602 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-14 04:20 UTC
Price
1.15668
Forecasted level
1.15768
Distance
0.09%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
40% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,248 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 12:30 UTC
Price
1.14584
Forecasted level
1.14549
Distance
0.03%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
97%
17% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Euro - Dollar forecasts, opened between 11 and 30 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s Euro - Dollar forecasts

Other Euro - Dollar reports