Weekly report · 14 to 21 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Euro - Dollar, 14 to 21 September

Prepared September 22, 2026 · Report data

Every Euro - Dollar forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Euro - Dollar price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 14 to Monday 21 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 6,904 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more34.2%
  2. went 200 to 300%12.8%
  3. went 125 to 200%22.9%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level20.7%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.6%
  6. went 50 to 75%2.2%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.4%
  8. went under 25%4.2%
of the forecasted distance
        

6,904 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above6,904 forecasts
        
34.2%300%+
12.8%200–300%
22.9%125–200%
20.7%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
4.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%43,825 forecasts
        
12.8%300%+
7.6%200–300%
19.1%125–200%
19.6%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
7.9%50–75%
2.8%25–50%
28.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%23,721 forecasts
        
7.6%300%+
6.4%200–300%
33.6%125–200%
34.6%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
7.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%31,333 forecasts
        
6.0%300%+
5.3%200–300%
17.4%125–200%
24.9%100–125%
11.0%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
3.0%25–50%
29.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%17,521 forecasts
        
21.5%300%+
6.0%200–300%
19.7%125–200%
33.0%100–125%
3.5%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
5.2%25–50%
7.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%18,915 forecasts
        
4.9%300%+
5.6%200–300%
17.8%125–200%
29.9%100–125%
3.0%75–99%
3.3%50–75%
17.3%25–50%
18.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%22,056 forecasts
        
4.8%300%+
4.9%200–300%
25.7%125–200%
21.7%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
4.7%25–50%
31.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%19,767 forecasts
        
5.8%300%+
4.4%200–300%
13.8%125–200%
22.3%100–125%
3.0%75–99%
16.2%50–75%
16.5%25–50%
18.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the six days.

▲ Could rise3,968 forecasts
        
33.6%300%+
12.5%200–300%
22.9%125–200%
22.0%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall2,936 forecasts
        
35.1%300%+
13.2%200–300%
22.8%125–200%
18.9%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
4.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes3,928 forecasts
        
55.8%300%+
15.2%200–300%
13.6%125–200%
3.8%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
5.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes554 forecasts
        
22.6%300%+
23.3%200–300%
33.9%125–200%
12.6%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
2.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour341 forecasts
        
4.7%300%+
16.4%200–300%
43.7%125–200%
27.9%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours16 forecasts
        
12.5%300%+
18.8%200–300%
31.3%125–200%
25.0%100–125%
6.2%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
6.2%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours617 forecasts
        
1.3%300%+
4.5%200–300%
43.4%125–200%
48.0%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
0.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day1,412 forecasts
        
1.4%300%+
5.0%200–300%
30.6%125–200%
57.4%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
1.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days36 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
13.9%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
16.7%75–99%
27.8%50–75%
11.1%25–50%
30.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 14
99
Tue 15
2,226
Wed 16
1,006
Thu 17
1,750
Fri 18
1,821
Mon 21
2
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 2,362 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC
Price
1.14829
Forecasted level
1.14854
Distance
0.02%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
95%
534% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 883 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 12:15 UTC
Price
1.14954
Forecasted level
1.14907
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.10%
Confidence
96%
236% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 1,580 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-15 08:00 UTC
Price
1.15379
Forecasted level
1.15442
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
95%
149% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,426 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 10:56 UTC
Price
1.14774
Forecasted level
1.14707
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
95%
121% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 114 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-14 04:40 UTC
Price
1.15629
Forecasted level
1.15728
Distance
0.09%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
96%
80% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 153 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-17 12:01 UTC
Price
1.14733
Forecasted level
1.14712
Distance
0.02%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
52% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 97 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-14 04:20 UTC
Price
1.15668
Forecasted level
1.15768
Distance
0.09%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
40% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 289 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 12:30 UTC
Price
1.14584
Forecasted level
1.14549
Distance
0.03%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
97%
17% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Euro - Dollar forecasts, opened between 14 and 21 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 21 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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