Weekly report · 21 to 28 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Euro - Dollar, 21 to 28 September

Prepared September 28, 2026 · Report data

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Every Euro - Dollar forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Euro - Dollar price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 21 to Monday 28 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 11,606 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more32.7%
  2. went 200 to 300%15.6%
  3. went 125 to 200%24.1%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level16.4%
  5. went 75 to 99%2.2%
  6. went 50 to 75%2.4%
  7. went 25 to 50%2.0%
  8. went under 25%4.6%
of the forecasted distance
        

11,606 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above11,606 forecasts
        
32.7%300%+
15.6%200–300%
24.1%125–200%
16.4%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
4.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%37,131 forecasts
        
10.3%300%+
11.7%200–300%
31.1%125–200%
32.3%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
5.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%28,656 forecasts
        
9.2%300%+
8.8%200–300%
28.0%125–200%
37.1%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
5.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%24,388 forecasts
        
9.0%300%+
8.8%200–300%
25.9%125–200%
38.7%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
5.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%19,389 forecasts
        
7.1%300%+
8.7%200–300%
25.3%125–200%
38.6%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.8%50–75%
4.7%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%18,905 forecasts
        
6.6%300%+
8.1%200–300%
25.1%125–200%
39.6%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.9%50–75%
4.8%25–50%
6.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%16,578 forecasts
        
7.2%300%+
8.0%200–300%
24.4%125–200%
40.6%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
4.7%25–50%
6.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%13,937 forecasts
        
5.6%300%+
7.0%200–300%
22.8%125–200%
42.0%100–125%
4.8%75–99%
5.6%50–75%
5.4%25–50%
6.8%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the six days.

▲ Could rise6,984 forecasts
        
28.8%300%+
14.9%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
17.8%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
4.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall4,622 forecasts
        
38.6%300%+
16.5%200–300%
21.9%125–200%
14.3%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
4.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes5,800 forecasts
        
51.1%300%+
16.6%200–300%
14.9%125–200%
4.7%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
6.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes1,798 forecasts
        
29.4%300%+
22.4%200–300%
29.5%125–200%
11.3%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour1,081 forecasts
        
14.2%300%+
19.1%200–300%
38.8%125–200%
19.7%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
3.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours180 forecasts
        
21.7%300%+
23.3%200–300%
31.1%125–200%
11.7%100–125%
2.8%75–99%
3.3%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours999 forecasts
        
4.6%300%+
9.6%200–300%
40.0%125–200%
33.7%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day1,746 forecasts
        
3.9%300%+
5.6%200–300%
30.4%125–200%
48.9%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.6%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
3.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days2 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
50.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
50.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 21
2,390
Tue 22
2,159
Wed 23
3,421
Thu 24
1,854
Fri 25
1,780
Mon 28
2
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 3,800 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-24 09:45 UTC
Price
1.13742
Forecasted level
1.13790
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.15%
Confidence
95%
364% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,806 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-23 14:25 UTC
Price
1.13844
Forecasted level
1.13812
Distance
0.03%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
95%
270% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,800 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-22 08:45 UTC
Price
1.14575
Forecasted level
1.14648
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.10%
Confidence
96%
164% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,900 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-24 10:58 UTC
Price
1.13735
Forecasted level
1.13680
Distance
0.05%
Furthest move
0.05%
Confidence
96%
102% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 258 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-24 08:15 UTC
Price
1.13877
Forecasted level
1.13922
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
97% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 277 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-25 10:08 UTC
Price
1.13961
Forecasted level
1.13942
Distance
0.02%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
71% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 230 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-22 14:15 UTC
Price
1.14537
Forecasted level
1.14582
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
35% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 535 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-25 06:10 UTC
Price
1.13787
Forecasted level
1.13764
Distance
0.02%
Furthest move
0.00%
Confidence
95%
13% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Euro - Dollar forecasts, opened between 21 and 28 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 28 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s Euro - Dollar forecasts

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