Every Euro - Dollar forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Euro - Dollar price forecast Kunkafa published from Friday 11 to Monday 21 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?
Kunkafa’s confidence floor
The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.
Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 9,928 forecasts that settled came out like this:
went 300% or more30.6%
went 200 to 300%12.1%
went 125 to 200%23.0%
went 100 to 125%, reaching the level22.3%
went 75 to 99%2.0%
went 50 to 75%2.6%
went 25 to 50%2.2%
went under 25%5.2%
of the forecasted distance
9,928 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 5 days.
Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.
Confidence, and what it was worth
Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.
Confidence 95% and above9,928 forecasts
30.6%300%+
12.1%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
22.3%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
2.6%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
5.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%53,862 forecasts
11.5%300%+
7.7%200–300%
20.0%125–200%
21.4%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
7.1%50–75%
2.9%25–50%
27.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%33,191 forecasts
6.9%300%+
6.1%200–300%
29.5%125–200%
33.8%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
3.8%25–50%
12.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%37,018 forecasts
6.0%300%+
5.5%200–300%
18.1%125–200%
27.4%100–125%
10.2%75–99%
3.3%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
26.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%22,027 forecasts
18.0%300%+
5.9%200–300%
19.9%125–200%
34.2%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
5.9%25–50%
7.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%25,994 forecasts
4.5%300%+
5.4%200–300%
17.5%125–200%
29.4%100–125%
3.4%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
14.1%25–50%
21.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%26,782 forecasts
5.0%300%+
5.1%200–300%
24.5%125–200%
24.2%100–125%
4.7%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
5.2%25–50%
27.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%23,182 forecasts
5.4%300%+
4.5%200–300%
14.6%125–200%
24.0%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
15.2%50–75%
15.6%25–50%
17.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Both directions
A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the nine days.
▲ Could rise5,997 forecasts
27.9%300%+
11.4%200–300%
22.9%125–200%
24.1%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
3.0%50–75%
2.9%25–50%
5.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall3,931 forecasts
34.8%300%+
13.4%200–300%
23.1%125–200%
19.4%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
4.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
By duration
Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 5 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.
Up to 5 minutes5,141 forecasts
54.3%300%+
15.5%200–300%
14.3%125–200%
3.8%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
6.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes858 forecasts
22.6%300%+
24.4%200–300%
33.9%125–200%
12.7%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
2.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour515 forecasts
4.1%300%+
16.5%200–300%
45.3%125–200%
26.2%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours17 forecasts
11.8%300%+
17.6%200–300%
29.4%125–200%
23.5%100–125%
11.8%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
5.9%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours815 forecasts
1.0%300%+
4.3%200–300%
43.2%125–200%
45.6%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
1.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day1,909 forecasts
1.2%300%+
4.2%200–300%
29.2%125–200%
58.6%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
2.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days179 forecasts
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
17.9%125–200%
60.3%100–125%
6.2%75–99%
6.7%50–75%
2.8%25–50%
6.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days494 forecasts
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
15.4%125–200%
34.2%100–125%
4.6%75–99%
8.3%50–75%
15.4%25–50%
22.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days0 forecasts
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Day by day
The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Wednesday to Monday.
What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time
Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.
300% of the forecast distance or more · 3,041 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC
Price
1.14829
Forecasted level
1.14854
Distance
0.02%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
95%
534% of the forecasted distance
200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,207 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 12:15 UTC
Price
1.14954
Forecasted level
1.14907
Distance
0.04%
Furthest move
0.10%
Confidence
96%
236% of the forecasted distance
125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,282 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 5 days · 2026-09-14 20:01 UTC
Price
1.15456
Forecasted level
1.15523
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
96%
129% of the forecasted distance
100 to 125%, reached the level · 2,210 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 10:56 UTC
Price
1.14774
Forecasted level
1.14707
Distance
0.06%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
95%
121% of the forecasted distance
75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 199 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-14 04:40 UTC
Price
1.15629
Forecasted level
1.15728
Distance
0.09%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
96%
80% of the forecasted distance
50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 260 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-17 12:01 UTC
Price
1.14733
Forecasted level
1.14712
Distance
0.02%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
52% of the forecasted distance
25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 216 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-14 04:20 UTC
Price
1.15668
Forecasted level
1.15768
Distance
0.09%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
40% of the forecasted distance
Under 25% of the forecast distance · 513 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 12:30 UTC
Price
1.14584
Forecasted level
1.14549
Distance
0.03%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
97%
17% of the forecasted distance
How this was counted
Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Euro - Dollar forecasts, opened between 11 and 21 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 21 September.
“Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.
Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.