Weekly report · 14 to 21 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Apple, 14 to 21 September

Prepared September 22, 2026 · Report data

Every Apple forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Apple price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 14 to Monday 21 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 12,723 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more35.0%
  2. went 200 to 300%18.6%
  3. went 125 to 200%18.1%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level12.7%
  5. went 75 to 99%0.6%
  6. went 50 to 75%0.5%
  7. went 25 to 50%0.7%
  8. went under 25%13.8%
of the forecasted distance
        

12,723 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above12,723 forecasts
        
35.0%300%+
18.6%200–300%
18.1%125–200%
12.7%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.5%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
13.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%63,563 forecasts
        
29.8%300%+
16.2%200–300%
19.5%125–200%
15.5%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
15.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%49,352 forecasts
        
26.0%300%+
12.2%200–300%
20.1%125–200%
20.4%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
14.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%40,444 forecasts
        
26.4%300%+
11.2%200–300%
19.8%125–200%
22.7%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
13.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%30,106 forecasts
        
20.4%300%+
11.0%200–300%
22.9%125–200%
26.1%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
11.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%25,651 forecasts
        
16.7%300%+
10.1%200–300%
23.7%125–200%
29.4%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
10.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%21,456 forecasts
        
14.9%300%+
9.2%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
30.8%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
10.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%18,553 forecasts
        
13.8%300%+
8.8%200–300%
23.9%125–200%
30.8%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
10.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise8,151 forecasts
        
34.9%300%+
17.4%200–300%
18.2%125–200%
13.6%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.4%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
14.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall4,572 forecasts
        
35.0%300%+
20.7%200–300%
18.1%125–200%
11.2%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
12.6%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes1,865 forecasts
        
47.2%300%+
16.6%200–300%
2.0%125–200%
0.6%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.4%50–75%
0.3%25–50%
32.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes2,749 forecasts
        
39.7%300%+
25.8%200–300%
7.8%125–200%
3.1%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.5%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
22.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour3,271 forecasts
        
41.1%300%+
17.9%200–300%
16.7%125–200%
9.4%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
12.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours272 forecasts
        
47.4%300%+
19.1%200–300%
23.5%125–200%
6.3%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
2.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,863 forecasts
        
30.2%300%+
16.0%200–300%
27.8%125–200%
18.9%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.5%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day2,498 forecasts
        
16.9%300%+
14.9%200–300%
34.7%125–200%
30.2%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
1.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days205 forecasts
        
8.3%300%+
19.0%200–300%
28.3%125–200%
44.4%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 14
2,385
Tue 15
1,328
Wed 16
798
Thu 17
1,194
Fri 18
824
Sat 19
2,530
Mon 21
3,664
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 4,448 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-14 14:30 UTC
Price
332.79
Forecasted level
333.31
Distance
0.16%
Furthest move
0.48%
Confidence
95%
309% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 2,365 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-14 13:15 UTC
Price
333.96
Forecasted level
333.09
Distance
0.26%
Furthest move
0.68%
Confidence
96%
263% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,305 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-14 02:30 UTC
Price
329.57
Forecasted level
330.44
Distance
0.27%
Furthest move
0.52%
Confidence
95%
198% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,621 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-14 15:25 UTC
Price
332.52
Forecasted level
331.55
Distance
0.29%
Furthest move
0.31%
Confidence
95%
105% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 75 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-14 15:55 UTC
Price
334.81
Forecasted level
335.22
Distance
0.12%
Furthest move
0.12%
Confidence
96%
96% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 70 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 14:54 UTC
Price
334.10
Forecasted level
333.57
Distance
0.16%
Furthest move
0.10%
Confidence
96%
60% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 87 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 hour · 2026-09-14 13:57 UTC
Price
334.55
Forecasted level
334.87
Distance
0.09%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
38% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,752 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 14:51 UTC
Price
333.67
Forecasted level
333.19
Distance
0.14%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
95%
4% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Apple forecasts, opened between 14 and 21 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 21 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s Apple forecasts

Other Apple reports