Every Apple forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Apple price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 31 August to Monday 21 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?
Kunkafa’s confidence floor
The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.
Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 40,724 forecasts that settled came out like this:
went 300% or more35.4%
went 200 to 300%14.5%
went 125 to 200%20.3%
went 100 to 125%, reaching the level18.8%
went 75 to 99%0.7%
went 50 to 75%0.8%
went 25 to 50%0.7%
went under 25%8.8%
of the forecasted distance
40,724 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.
Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.
Confidence, and what it was worth
Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.
Confidence 95% and above40,724 forecasts
35.4%300%+
14.5%200–300%
20.3%125–200%
18.8%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
8.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%186,684 forecasts
30.0%300%+
13.1%200–300%
21.2%125–200%
19.5%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
12.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%151,085 forecasts
25.9%300%+
10.2%200–300%
20.6%125–200%
24.9%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
12.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%119,396 forecasts
26.2%300%+
9.3%200–300%
19.7%125–200%
26.8%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
11.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%91,212 forecasts
20.1%300%+
9.5%200–300%
22.0%125–200%
31.3%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
9.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%79,751 forecasts
15.6%300%+
8.6%200–300%
22.7%125–200%
34.9%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.4%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%66,572 forecasts
14.9%300%+
7.8%200–300%
21.2%125–200%
36.8%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%58,719 forecasts
14.3%300%+
7.6%200–300%
21.2%125–200%
36.3%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
8.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Both directions
A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty days.
▲ Could rise23,333 forecasts
34.4%300%+
13.8%200–300%
19.7%125–200%
20.6%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
9.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall17,391 forecasts
36.7%300%+
15.5%200–300%
21.2%125–200%
16.4%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
7.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
By duration
Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.
Up to 5 minutes4,812 forecasts
58.4%300%+
10.1%200–300%
2.3%125–200%
0.7%100–125%
0.4%75–99%
0.4%50–75%
0.2%25–50%
27.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes6,440 forecasts
50.3%300%+
19.1%200–300%
8.9%125–200%
3.8%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
15.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour8,162 forecasts
40.7%300%+
18.0%200–300%
19.9%125–200%
9.7%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
8.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours727 forecasts
45.3%300%+
18.3%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
6.7%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
3.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours5,048 forecasts
22.9%300%+
17.8%200–300%
31.9%125–200%
20.5%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
3.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day7,624 forecasts
18.5%300%+
12.5%200–300%
33.1%125–200%
28.1%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
3.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days577 forecasts
13.9%300%+
10.7%200–300%
26.2%125–200%
49.2%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days4,361 forecasts
27.1%300%+
11.5%200–300%
23.9%125–200%
37.5%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days2,973 forecasts
30.1%300%+
6.0%200–300%
15.6%125–200%
48.3%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Day by day
The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Saturday to Monday.
What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time
Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.
300% of the forecast distance or more · 14,416 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-10 12:45 UTC
Price
317.05
Forecasted level
318.18
Distance
0.36%
Furthest move
1.25%
Confidence
95%
348% of the forecasted distance
200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 5,919 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-04 13:15 UTC
Price
328.38
Forecasted level
326.61
Distance
0.54%
Furthest move
1.15%
Confidence
96%
214% of the forecasted distance
125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 8,267 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-06 15:32 UTC
Price
321.71
Forecasted level
322.92
Distance
0.38%
Furthest move
0.48%
Confidence
96%
128% of the forecasted distance
100 to 125%, reached the level · 7,651 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-03 18:01 UTC
Price
327.38
Forecasted level
321.49
Distance
1.80%
Furthest move
1.81%
Confidence
96%
100% of the forecasted distance
75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 297 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-13 09:30 UTC
Price
331.84
Forecasted level
332.30
Distance
0.14%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
96%
76% of the forecasted distance
50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 308 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-10 15:45 UTC
Price
319.79
Forecasted level
319.22
Distance
0.18%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
96%
59% of the forecasted distance
25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 293 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-03 15:00 UTC
Price
330.66
Forecasted level
331.26
Distance
0.18%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
95%
44% of the forecasted distance
Under 25% of the forecast distance · 3,573 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-10 16:00 UTC
Price
320.38
Forecasted level
319.85
Distance
0.17%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
96%
20% of the forecasted distance
How this was counted
Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Apple forecasts, opened between 31 August and 21 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 21 September.
“Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.
Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.