Full report · 31 August to 2 November 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Apple, 31 August to 2 November

Prepared November 2, 2026 · Report data

Every Apple forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Apple price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 31 August to Monday 2 November at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 166,990 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more30.0%
  2. went 200 to 300%17.2%
  3. went 125 to 200%21.4%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level19.9%
  5. went 75 to 99%0.6%
  6. went 50 to 75%0.6%
  7. went 25 to 50%0.6%
  8. went under 25%9.7%
of the forecasted distance
        

166,990 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 50 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above166,990 forecasts
        
30.0%300%+
17.2%200–300%
21.4%125–200%
19.9%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
9.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%698,082 forecasts
        
25.5%300%+
15.0%200–300%
21.6%125–200%
21.7%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
12.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%545,087 forecasts
        
21.4%300%+
12.1%200–300%
20.9%125–200%
28.1%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
11.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%421,481 forecasts
        
21.4%300%+
11.0%200–300%
21.1%125–200%
29.4%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
10.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%331,618 forecasts
        
15.1%300%+
9.8%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
35.7%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.6%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
8.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%300,460 forecasts
        
11.6%300%+
8.3%200–300%
22.8%125–200%
40.0%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
3.2%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
7.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%256,172 forecasts
        
11.1%300%+
7.5%200–300%
20.7%125–200%
41.8%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
8.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%232,026 forecasts
        
10.9%300%+
7.4%200–300%
19.7%125–200%
40.9%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
8.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the 56 days.

▲ Could rise90,418 forecasts
        
28.8%300%+
16.9%200–300%
22.0%125–200%
20.5%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
9.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall76,572 forecasts
        
31.3%300%+
17.5%200–300%
20.8%125–200%
19.2%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
9.3%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 50 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes21,047 forecasts
        
44.5%300%+
16.4%200–300%
1.7%125–200%
0.6%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
36.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes27,556 forecasts
        
45.4%300%+
23.7%200–300%
8.3%125–200%
3.5%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
17.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour30,804 forecasts
        
40.6%300%+
23.4%200–300%
17.6%125–200%
8.1%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
8.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours2,775 forecasts
        
42.9%300%+
19.8%200–300%
21.0%125–200%
7.3%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
4.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours18,352 forecasts
        
24.0%300%+
17.7%200–300%
32.3%125–200%
20.4%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
2.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day23,765 forecasts
        
15.4%300%+
13.6%200–300%
35.6%125–200%
30.9%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1,711 forecasts
        
10.5%300%+
11.2%200–300%
33.2%125–200%
41.1%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
1.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days15,368 forecasts
        
17.6%300%+
12.5%200–300%
30.8%125–200%
38.5%100–125%
0.1%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.2%25–50%
0.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days24,756 forecasts
        
14.1%300%+
9.3%200–300%
29.0%125–200%
45.6%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.3%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
0.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days621 forecasts
        
1.9%300%+
8.2%200–300%
34.2%125–200%
55.7%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 50 days235 forecasts
        
5.1%300%+
4.7%200–300%
35.3%125–200%
54.1%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.4%25–50%
0.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Saturday to Monday.

Sat 29
0
Mon 31
306
Tue 1
0
Wed 2
312
Thu 3
569
Fri 4
1,603
Sat 5
3,181
Mon 7
6,703
Tue 8
563
Wed 9
2,637
Thu 10
1,745
Fri 11
1,803
Sat 12
3,042
Mon 14
8,632
Tue 15
1,348
Wed 16
1,055
Thu 17
1,397
Fri 18
988
Sat 19
4,098
Mon 21
11,279
Tue 22
2,190
Wed 23
2,590
Thu 24
1,313
Fri 25
1,354
Sat 26
2,855
Mon 28
8,475
Tue 29
2,145
Wed 30
2,542
Thu 1
1,712
Fri 2
1,591
Sat 3
6,620
Mon 5
12,324
Tue 6
1,725
Wed 7
1,591
Thu 8
1,531
Fri 9
1,849
Sat 10
5,773
Mon 12
15,218
Tue 13
2,341
Wed 14
2,768
Thu 15
1,082
Fri 16
2,324
Sat 17
2,682
Mon 19
6,432
Tue 20
1,704
Wed 21
1,447
Thu 22
1,522
Fri 23
1,371
Sat 24
3,189
Mon 26
6,378
Tue 27
1,839
Wed 28
947
Thu 29
1,283
Fri 30
1,449
Sat 31
2,441
Mon 2
1,132
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 50,029 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-05 12:45 UTC
Price
332.07
Forecasted level
333.45
Distance
0.41%
Furthest move
1.26%
Confidence
95%
305% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 28,707 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-04 13:15 UTC
Price
328.38
Forecasted level
326.61
Distance
0.54%
Furthest move
1.15%
Confidence
96%
214% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 35,822 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-11 16:00 UTC
Price
334.55
Forecasted level
336.86
Distance
0.69%
Furthest move
0.93%
Confidence
95%
135% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 33,218 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-03 18:01 UTC
Price
327.38
Forecasted level
321.49
Distance
1.80%
Furthest move
1.81%
Confidence
96%
100% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 1,039 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-30 22:45 UTC
Price
334.10
Forecasted level
335.24
Distance
0.34%
Furthest move
0.28%
Confidence
95%
81% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 1,019 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 5 days · 2026-09-20 05:19 UTC
Price
334.05
Forecasted level
332.51
Distance
0.46%
Furthest move
0.23%
Confidence
100%
50% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 1,037 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-30 19:50 UTC
Price
334.75
Forecasted level
335.78
Distance
0.31%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
96%
27% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 16,119 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-10 18:58 UTC
Price
336.25
Forecasted level
335.14
Distance
0.33%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
100%
8% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Apple forecasts, opened between 31 August and 2 November 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 2 November.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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