Weekly report · 19 to 26 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Apple, 19 to 26 October

Prepared October 26, 2026 · Report data

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Every Apple forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Apple price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 19 to Monday 26 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 12,794 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more34.6%
  2. went 200 to 300%20.1%
  3. went 125 to 200%22.5%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level13.5%
  5. went 75 to 99%0.8%
  6. went 50 to 75%0.8%
  7. went 25 to 50%0.7%
  8. went under 25%7.0%
of the forecasted distance
        

12,794 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above12,794 forecasts
        
34.6%300%+
20.1%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
13.5%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
7.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%67,567 forecasts
        
26.1%300%+
18.6%200–300%
21.4%125–200%
16.9%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
12.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%50,460 forecasts
        
21.9%300%+
14.9%200–300%
20.3%125–200%
22.3%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
13.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%40,093 forecasts
        
22.0%300%+
13.5%200–300%
21.7%125–200%
23.7%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
11.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%28,705 forecasts
        
15.3%300%+
11.7%200–300%
24.7%125–200%
28.1%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
9.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%26,276 forecasts
        
12.6%300%+
10.8%200–300%
24.7%125–200%
30.6%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
9.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%21,722 forecasts
        
13.0%300%+
10.3%200–300%
23.1%125–200%
30.8%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
10.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%19,962 forecasts
        
12.9%300%+
10.3%200–300%
21.6%125–200%
30.4%100–125%
4.7%75–99%
5.1%50–75%
4.6%25–50%
10.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise8,187 forecasts
        
31.9%300%+
20.4%200–300%
23.8%125–200%
15.4%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
6.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall4,607 forecasts
        
39.4%300%+
19.4%200–300%
20.1%125–200%
10.1%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
8.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes1,954 forecasts
        
51.0%300%+
23.7%200–300%
3.5%125–200%
1.2%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.5%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
19.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes3,056 forecasts
        
47.5%300%+
23.9%200–300%
11.9%125–200%
4.6%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
9.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour3,089 forecasts
        
36.7%300%+
18.7%200–300%
24.5%125–200%
11.3%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
5.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours311 forecasts
        
35.7%300%+
23.5%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
9.3%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
3.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,989 forecasts
        
20.7%300%+
19.3%200–300%
34.6%125–200%
21.7%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
1.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day2,356 forecasts
        
13.5%300%+
14.1%200–300%
38.5%125–200%
31.5%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
0.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days39 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
18.0%200–300%
53.8%125–200%
28.2%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 19
2,040
Tue 20
1,702
Wed 21
1,355
Thu 22
1,227
Fri 23
1,138
Sat 24
2,761
Mon 26
2,571
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 4,424 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-20 09:00 UTC
Price
340.42
Forecasted level
340.93
Distance
0.15%
Furthest move
0.83%
Confidence
95%
559% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 2,569 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-20 13:45 UTC
Price
341.80
Forecasted level
340.82
Distance
0.29%
Furthest move
0.57%
Confidence
95%
200% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,876 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-19 11:30 UTC
Price
342.63
Forecasted level
343.51
Distance
0.26%
Furthest move
0.46%
Confidence
95%
178% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,726 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-19 13:30 UTC
Price
344.40
Forecasted level
343.40
Distance
0.29%
Furthest move
0.31%
Confidence
95%
107% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 99 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-19 14:00 UTC
Price
345.43
Forecasted level
346.03
Distance
0.17%
Furthest move
0.14%
Confidence
95%
78% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 108 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-22 14:00 UTC
Price
344.57
Forecasted level
344.08
Distance
0.14%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
95%
59% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 90 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-21 15:32 UTC
Price
345.36
Forecasted level
345.76
Distance
0.12%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
95%
29% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 902 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-21 14:45 UTC
Price
343.07
Forecasted level
342.74
Distance
0.10%
Furthest move
0.02%
Confidence
96%
21% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Apple forecasts, opened between 19 and 26 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 26 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s Apple forecasts

Other Apple reports