Monthly report · 2 to 30 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Apple, 2 to 30 September

Prepared October 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every Apple forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Apple price forecast Kunkafa published from Wednesday 2 to Wednesday 30 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 63,802 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more33.7%
  2. went 200 to 300%15.7%
  3. went 125 to 200%20.7%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level18.5%
  5. went 75 to 99%0.7%
  6. went 50 to 75%0.7%
  7. went 25 to 50%0.7%
  8. went under 25%9.3%
of the forecasted distance
        

63,802 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 25 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above63,802 forecasts
        
33.7%300%+
15.7%200–300%
20.7%125–200%
18.5%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
9.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%293,603 forecasts
        
28.0%300%+
14.1%200–300%
21.4%125–200%
19.9%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
12.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%231,655 forecasts
        
23.7%300%+
11.2%200–300%
20.6%125–200%
26.4%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
12.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%180,835 forecasts
        
23.5%300%+
10.3%200–300%
20.2%125–200%
27.9%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
11.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%141,297 forecasts
        
16.4%300%+
9.7%200–300%
22.4%125–200%
34.0%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
9.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%126,556 forecasts
        
12.8%300%+
8.2%200–300%
22.4%125–200%
38.1%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.4%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
8.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%106,807 forecasts
        
12.0%300%+
7.5%200–300%
20.5%125–200%
40.1%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
8.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%93,906 forecasts
        
11.8%300%+
7.3%200–300%
20.0%125–200%
38.8%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
9.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-six days.

▲ Could rise35,386 forecasts
        
32.2%300%+
15.5%200–300%
20.7%125–200%
19.4%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
9.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall28,416 forecasts
        
35.7%300%+
16.0%200–300%
20.6%125–200%
17.3%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
8.5%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 25 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes8,271 forecasts
        
52.1%300%+
14.2%200–300%
1.8%125–200%
0.6%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
30.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes10,279 forecasts
        
48.9%300%+
20.8%200–300%
9.0%125–200%
3.5%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
15.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour12,710 forecasts
        
40.6%300%+
19.2%200–300%
19.6%125–200%
9.2%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
8.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours1,278 forecasts
        
44.7%300%+
18.4%200–300%
21.4%125–200%
7.0%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
3.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours8,014 forecasts
        
23.5%300%+
17.0%200–300%
32.1%125–200%
20.5%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
3.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day10,814 forecasts
        
17.6%300%+
13.2%200–300%
33.7%125–200%
28.6%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days762 forecasts
        
11.7%300%+
9.9%200–300%
30.3%125–200%
48.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.1%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days6,532 forecasts
        
23.0%300%+
13.8%200–300%
28.3%125–200%
34.6%100–125%
0.1%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days5,141 forecasts
        
21.1%300%+
5.4%200–300%
20.2%125–200%
53.3%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days1 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
100.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Tuesday to Wednesday.

Tue 1
0
Wed 2
312
Thu 3
569
Fri 4
1,603
Sat 5
3,181
Mon 7
6,701
Tue 8
518
Wed 9
2,449
Thu 10
1,745
Fri 11
1,803
Sat 12
3,042
Mon 14
8,632
Tue 15
1,332
Wed 16
868
Thu 17
1,222
Fri 18
824
Sat 19
2,969
Mon 21
7,200
Tue 22
2,185
Wed 23
2,205
Thu 24
1,046
Fri 25
1,196
Sat 26
2,289
Mon 28
6,075
Tue 29
2,083
Wed 30
1,753
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 21,531 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-10 12:45 UTC
Price
317.05
Forecasted level
318.18
Distance
0.36%
Furthest move
1.25%
Confidence
95%
348% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 10,036 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-04 13:15 UTC
Price
328.38
Forecasted level
326.61
Distance
0.54%
Furthest move
1.15%
Confidence
96%
214% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 13,183 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-11 16:00 UTC
Price
334.55
Forecasted level
336.86
Distance
0.69%
Furthest move
0.93%
Confidence
95%
135% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 11,780 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-03 18:01 UTC
Price
327.38
Forecasted level
321.49
Distance
1.80%
Furthest move
1.81%
Confidence
96%
100% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 459 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-13 09:30 UTC
Price
331.84
Forecasted level
332.30
Distance
0.14%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
96%
76% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 457 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 5 days · 2026-09-20 05:19 UTC
Price
334.05
Forecasted level
332.51
Distance
0.46%
Furthest move
0.23%
Confidence
100%
50% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 428 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-03 15:00 UTC
Price
330.66
Forecasted level
331.26
Distance
0.18%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
95%
44% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 5,928 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-10 16:00 UTC
Price
320.38
Forecasted level
319.85
Distance
0.17%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
96%
20% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Apple forecasts, opened between 2 and 30 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s Apple forecasts

Other Apple reports