Monthly report · 1 to 31 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Apple, 1 to 31 October

Prepared November 1, 2026 · Report data

Every Apple forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Apple price forecast Kunkafa published from Thursday 1 to Saturday 31 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 89,110 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more29.9%
  2. went 200 to 300%19.0%
  3. went 125 to 200%20.3%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level17.7%
  5. went 75 to 99%0.6%
  6. went 50 to 75%0.6%
  7. went 25 to 50%0.6%
  8. went under 25%11.3%
of the forecasted distance
        

89,110 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above89,110 forecasts
        
29.9%300%+
19.0%200–300%
20.3%125–200%
17.7%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
11.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%363,906 forecasts
        
25.0%300%+
16.1%200–300%
21.1%125–200%
20.7%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
12.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%273,645 forecasts
        
20.8%300%+
13.3%200–300%
20.6%125–200%
26.7%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
12.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%210,861 forecasts
        
20.5%300%+
12.0%200–300%
21.4%125–200%
28.2%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
10.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%161,654 forecasts
        
14.6%300%+
10.5%200–300%
23.3%125–200%
34.3%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
2.9%25–50%
8.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%147,521 forecasts
        
11.3%300%+
9.0%200–300%
22.9%125–200%
38.2%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%125,186 forecasts
        
11.2%300%+
8.2%200–300%
21.0%125–200%
39.3%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
8.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%114,197 forecasts
        
11.1%300%+
8.1%200–300%
19.6%125–200%
38.4%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
9.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-seven days.

▲ Could rise46,679 forecasts
        
28.8%300%+
19.0%200–300%
21.2%125–200%
17.9%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
11.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall42,431 forecasts
        
31.0%300%+
19.0%200–300%
19.3%125–200%
17.5%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
11.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes12,728 forecasts
        
39.6%300%+
17.8%200–300%
1.7%125–200%
0.6%100–125%
0.2%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
39.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes17,069 forecasts
        
43.3%300%+
25.3%200–300%
7.9%125–200%
3.5%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
18.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour17,578 forecasts
        
41.1%300%+
26.7%200–300%
15.7%125–200%
7.2%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
7.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours1,492 forecasts
        
41.4%300%+
21.1%200–300%
20.7%125–200%
7.5%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours10,020 forecasts
        
24.7%300%+
18.6%200–300%
32.3%125–200%
19.9%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day11,754 forecasts
        
14.1%300%+
13.8%200–300%
37.1%125–200%
32.6%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.5%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
0.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days686 forecasts
        
11.2%300%+
12.2%200–300%
34.3%125–200%
35.3%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days6,275 forecasts
        
9.0%300%+
9.7%200–300%
33.2%125–200%
46.7%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.4%50–75%
0.4%25–50%
0.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days11,508 forecasts
        
13.5%300%+
10.1%200–300%
30.7%125–200%
41.4%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Thursday to Saturday.

Thu 1
1,712
Fri 2
1,591
Sat 3
6,620
Mon 5
12,268
Tue 6
1,724
Wed 7
1,591
Thu 8
1,531
Fri 9
1,849
Sat 10
5,773
Mon 12
15,218
Tue 13
2,341
Wed 14
2,768
Thu 15
1,082
Fri 16
2,324
Sat 17
2,681
Mon 19
6,432
Tue 20
1,703
Wed 21
1,447
Thu 22
1,522
Fri 23
1,371
Sat 24
3,189
Mon 26
5,262
Tue 27
1,839
Wed 28
947
Thu 29
1,283
Fri 30
1,449
Sat 31
1,593
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 26,610 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-05 12:45 UTC
Price
332.07
Forecasted level
333.45
Distance
0.41%
Furthest move
1.26%
Confidence
95%
305% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 16,926 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-13 12:45 UTC
Price
344.01
Forecasted level
342.88
Distance
0.33%
Furthest move
0.69%
Confidence
95%
210% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 18,091 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-01 19:45 UTC
Price
330.80
Forecasted level
332.70
Distance
0.57%
Furthest move
0.72%
Confidence
95%
126% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 15,795 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-09 06:22 UTC
Price
338.08
Forecasted level
336.60
Distance
0.44%
Furthest move
0.47%
Confidence
95%
107% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 551 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-01 11:40 UTC
Price
332.67
Forecasted level
333.40
Distance
0.22%
Furthest move
0.18%
Confidence
95%
82% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 539 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC
Price
334.85
Forecasted level
333.91
Distance
0.28%
Furthest move
0.19%
Confidence
95%
65% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 567 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-02 14:45 UTC
Price
334.02
Forecasted level
334.52
Distance
0.15%
Furthest move
0.06%
Confidence
96%
41% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 10,031 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-10 18:58 UTC
Price
336.25
Forecasted level
335.14
Distance
0.33%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
100%
8% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Apple forecasts, opened between 1 and 31 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 31 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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