Monthly report · 1 to 30 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Nasdaq 100, 1 to 30 October

Prepared November 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every Nasdaq 100 forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Nasdaq 100 price forecast Kunkafa published from Thursday 1 to Friday 30 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 33,449 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more15.1%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.2%
  3. went 125 to 200%30.8%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level35.5%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.8%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.8%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.8%
  8. went under 25%2.0%
of the forecasted distance
        

33,449 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above33,449 forecasts
        
15.1%300%+
11.2%200–300%
30.8%125–200%
35.5%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
2.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%168,624 forecasts
        
10.4%300%+
10.9%200–300%
29.9%125–200%
35.5%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
3.2%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
3.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%155,172 forecasts
        
6.0%300%+
7.8%200–300%
26.3%125–200%
42.6%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
4.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%127,453 forecasts
        
6.4%300%+
7.4%200–300%
24.0%125–200%
43.8%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.6%25–50%
5.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%112,837 forecasts
        
5.3%300%+
7.4%200–300%
22.9%125–200%
43.7%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.8%50–75%
5.3%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%105,360 forecasts
        
4.1%300%+
6.0%200–300%
21.5%125–200%
45.5%100–125%
4.9%75–99%
5.4%50–75%
5.9%25–50%
6.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%90,967 forecasts
        
3.8%300%+
5.4%200–300%
19.9%125–200%
47.3%100–125%
5.2%75–99%
5.6%50–75%
6.1%25–50%
6.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%83,820 forecasts
        
3.7%300%+
5.6%200–300%
19.4%125–200%
46.7%100–125%
5.2%75–99%
5.8%50–75%
6.2%25–50%
7.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-two days.

▲ Could rise21,085 forecasts
        
12.4%300%+
10.7%200–300%
32.6%125–200%
35.9%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall12,364 forecasts
        
19.6%300%+
12.0%200–300%
27.8%125–200%
34.9%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
1.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes3,280 forecasts
        
62.1%300%+
13.6%200–300%
13.0%125–200%
3.5%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
2.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes4,790 forecasts
        
33.1%300%+
22.0%200–300%
27.0%125–200%
10.5%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour4,510 forecasts
        
13.1%300%+
18.9%200–300%
38.1%125–200%
22.0%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
2.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours911 forecasts
        
18.6%300%+
23.3%200–300%
36.1%125–200%
12.6%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.6%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
2.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours5,362 forecasts
        
4.2%300%+
11.4%200–300%
40.3%125–200%
36.2%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day6,355 forecasts
        
2.0%300%+
5.1%200–300%
34.4%125–200%
50.6%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1,024 forecasts
        
1.1%300%+
3.5%200–300%
26.8%125–200%
57.5%100–125%
3.0%75–99%
2.6%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
3.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days4,083 forecasts
        
3.6%300%+
3.0%200–300%
29.7%125–200%
62.8%100–125%
0.4%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
0.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days3,134 forecasts
        
5.1%300%+
2.9%200–300%
22.7%125–200%
59.0%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
3.4%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Thursday to Friday.

Thu 1
1,758
Fri 2
804
Mon 5
1,093
Tue 6
2,352
Wed 7
2,755
Thu 8
1,828
Fri 9
1,410
Mon 12
979
Tue 13
1,502
Wed 14
2,726
Thu 15
2,099
Fri 16
2,719
Mon 19
1,681
Tue 20
1,069
Wed 21
788
Thu 22
1,200
Fri 23
1,838
Mon 26
629
Tue 27
851
Wed 28
1,074
Thu 29
644
Fri 30
1,650
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in index points.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 5,046 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-20 11:00 UTC
Price
29,337.15
Forecasted level
29,447.84
Distance
0.38%
Furthest move
1.28%
Confidence
95%
340% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 3,745 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-08 13:30 UTC
Price
30,970.48
Forecasted level
30,853.99
Distance
0.38%
Furthest move
0.79%
Confidence
95%
209% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 10,310 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC
Price
29,473.27
Forecasted level
29,703.26
Distance
0.78%
Furthest move
0.99%
Confidence
95%
127% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 11,883 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-16 09:00 UTC
Price
29,894.30
Forecasted level
29,600.37
Distance
0.98%
Furthest move
1.02%
Confidence
95%
104% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 604 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC
Price
30,548.09
Forecasted level
30,634.53
Distance
0.28%
Furthest move
0.27%
Confidence
96%
95% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 600 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-02 07:00 UTC
Price
30,712.50
Forecasted level
30,630.53
Distance
0.27%
Furthest move
0.20%
Confidence
95%
73% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 599 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-16 12:50 UTC
Price
29,850.05
Forecasted level
29,951.09
Distance
0.34%
Furthest move
0.12%
Confidence
95%
34% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 662 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-08 17:15 UTC
Price
30,598.42
Forecasted level
30,521.29
Distance
0.25%
Furthest move
0.03%
Confidence
95%
13% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Nasdaq 100 forecasts, opened between 1 and 30 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s Nasdaq 100 forecasts

Other Nasdaq 100 reports