Every Nasdaq 100 forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Nasdaq 100 price forecast Kunkafa published from Friday 11 to Wednesday 30 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?
Kunkafa’s confidence floor
The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.
Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 20,860 forecasts that settled came out like this:
went 300% or more12.2%
went 200 to 300%10.7%
went 125 to 200%41.3%
went 100 to 125%, reaching the level28.3%
went 75 to 99%1.7%
went 50 to 75%1.7%
went 25 to 50%2.1%
went under 25%2.0%
of the forecasted distance
20,860 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.
Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.
Confidence, and what it was worth
Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.
Confidence 95% and above20,860 forecasts
12.2%300%+
10.7%200–300%
41.3%125–200%
28.3%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
2.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%93,826 forecasts
10.3%300%+
10.7%200–300%
28.1%125–200%
35.4%100–125%
3.0%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%94,689 forecasts
11.3%300%+
7.6%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
33.9%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
7.0%25–50%
7.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%81,634 forecasts
9.2%300%+
6.3%200–300%
19.8%125–200%
38.7%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
14.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%59,255 forecasts
6.0%300%+
7.6%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
38.2%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
5.1%50–75%
10.2%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%57,381 forecasts
9.0%300%+
6.0%200–300%
21.6%125–200%
42.0%100–125%
4.5%75–99%
5.3%50–75%
5.6%25–50%
6.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%67,151 forecasts
7.2%300%+
4.2%200–300%
18.5%125–200%
30.6%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
5.2%25–50%
25.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%55,572 forecasts
3.8%300%+
4.7%200–300%
15.7%125–200%
35.0%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
9.6%50–75%
5.2%25–50%
21.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Both directions
A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the sixteen days.
▲ Could rise8,092 forecasts
16.3%300%+
14.3%200–300%
33.5%125–200%
30.3%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
1.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall12,768 forecasts
9.6%300%+
8.5%200–300%
46.2%125–200%
27.0%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
2.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
By duration
Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.
Up to 5 minutes1,660 forecasts
61.7%300%+
13.1%200–300%
11.9%125–200%
4.4%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes2,425 forecasts
34.1%300%+
21.8%200–300%
26.6%125–200%
10.1%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
2.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour2,391 forecasts
13.1%300%+
20.8%200–300%
36.1%125–200%
21.0%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
2.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours502 forecasts
18.5%300%+
25.5%200–300%
30.1%125–200%
13.9%100–125%
3.0%75–99%
3.4%50–75%
2.8%25–50%
2.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours3,734 forecasts
3.1%300%+
10.3%200–300%
41.0%125–200%
36.1%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
2.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day4,502 forecasts
2.8%300%+
6.9%200–300%
34.0%125–200%
47.7%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
2.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days576 forecasts
1.2%300%+
7.8%200–300%
33.0%125–200%
56.4%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.2%25–50%
0.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days4,844 forecasts
0.7%300%+
2.6%200–300%
71.0%125–200%
21.4%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
1.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days226 forecasts
0.0%300%+
0.4%200–300%
29.2%125–200%
70.4%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Day by day
The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Tuesday to Wednesday.
What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time
Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in index points.
300% of the forecast distance or more · 2,538 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-24 15:40 UTC
Price
30,259.11
Forecasted level
30,306.76
Distance
0.16%
Furthest move
0.67%
Confidence
95%
426% of the forecasted distance
200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 2,238 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-22 09:00 UTC
Price
30,465.67
Forecasted level
30,408.24
Distance
0.19%
Furthest move
0.38%
Confidence
96%
202% of the forecasted distance
125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 8,615 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-22 03:00 UTC
Price
30,563.73
Forecasted level
30,669.99
Distance
0.35%
Furthest move
0.44%
Confidence
95%
127% of the forecasted distance
100 to 125%, reached the level · 5,907 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-25 03:00 UTC
Price
30,521.98
Forecasted level
30,421.40
Distance
0.33%
Furthest move
0.37%
Confidence
95%
111% of the forecasted distance
75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 355 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-23 15:25 UTC
Price
30,481.55
Forecasted level
30,530.18
Distance
0.16%
Furthest move
0.13%
Confidence
96%
78% of the forecasted distance
50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 361 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-24 11:35 UTC
Price
30,154.90
Forecasted level
30,106.63
Distance
0.16%
Furthest move
0.10%
Confidence
95%
59% of the forecasted distance
25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 424 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-23 13:50 UTC
Price
30,554.94
Forecasted level
30,614.32
Distance
0.19%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
96%
37% of the forecasted distance
Under 25% of the forecast distance · 422 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-24 13:00 UTC
Price
30,205.63
Forecasted level
30,140.54
Distance
0.22%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
16% of the forecasted distance
How this was counted
Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Nasdaq 100 forecasts, opened between 11 and 30 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 September.
“Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.
Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.