Weekly report · 19 to 26 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Nasdaq 100, 19 to 26 October

Prepared October 26, 2026 · Report data

Share on XShare on LinkedInShare on WhatsAppShare on Telegram

Every Nasdaq 100 forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Nasdaq 100 price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 19 to Monday 26 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 4,913 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more20.9%
  2. went 200 to 300%12.9%
  3. went 125 to 200%32.6%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level27.5%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.8%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.6%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.2%
  8. went under 25%1.5%
of the forecasted distance
        

4,913 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above4,913 forecasts
        
20.9%300%+
12.9%200–300%
32.6%125–200%
27.5%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
1.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%29,539 forecasts
        
11.6%300%+
12.3%200–300%
32.2%125–200%
32.6%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
3.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%24,653 forecasts
        
7.5%300%+
9.0%200–300%
29.6%125–200%
39.6%100–125%
3.5%75–99%
3.4%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
3.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%22,132 forecasts
        
8.1%300%+
8.7%200–300%
27.5%125–200%
40.3%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%17,814 forecasts
        
7.6%300%+
9.2%200–300%
27.6%125–200%
39.3%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
4.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%15,460 forecasts
        
5.9%300%+
7.5%200–300%
25.4%125–200%
43.2%100–125%
4.5%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
5.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%13,462 forecasts
        
5.8%300%+
6.6%200–300%
24.5%125–200%
44.7%100–125%
4.6%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
4.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%13,031 forecasts
        
5.7%300%+
7.2%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
43.1%100–125%
4.9%75–99%
4.8%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
4.9%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the six days.

▲ Could rise3,312 forecasts
        
16.1%300%+
12.4%200–300%
35.4%125–200%
31.4%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
1.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall1,601 forecasts
        
30.7%300%+
13.9%200–300%
26.9%125–200%
19.6%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
1.8%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes733 forecasts
        
66.6%300%+
10.8%200–300%
12.9%125–200%
2.4%100–125%
2.9%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
1.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes975 forecasts
        
34.6%300%+
21.0%200–300%
28.4%125–200%
9.2%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
1.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour870 forecasts
        
13.2%300%+
20.4%200–300%
37.2%125–200%
21.3%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
1.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours128 forecasts
        
13.3%300%+
20.3%200–300%
41.4%125–200%
13.3%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
0.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours910 forecasts
        
3.5%300%+
10.8%200–300%
43.8%125–200%
35.1%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
2.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day1,216 forecasts
        
3.1%300%+
3.8%200–300%
34.9%125–200%
55.8%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.3%25–50%
0.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days81 forecasts
        
1.2%300%+
5.0%200–300%
37.0%125–200%
56.8%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 19
1,343
Tue 20
1,068
Wed 21
777
Thu 22
1,073
Fri 23
647
Mon 26
5
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in index points.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 1,027 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-20 11:00 UTC
Price
29,337.15
Forecasted level
29,447.84
Distance
0.38%
Furthest move
1.28%
Confidence
95%
340% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 635 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-22 16:15 UTC
Price
29,165.55
Forecasted level
29,123.52
Distance
0.14%
Furthest move
0.42%
Confidence
95%
294% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 1,602 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-19 08:00 UTC
Price
29,517.50
Forecasted level
29,623.85
Distance
0.36%
Furthest move
0.52%
Confidence
95%
146% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,353 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-19 04:33 UTC
Price
29,582.85
Forecasted level
29,475.83
Distance
0.36%
Furthest move
0.36%
Confidence
95%
101% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 87 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-23 15:50 UTC
Price
29,110.76
Forecasted level
29,167.63
Distance
0.20%
Furthest move
0.17%
Confidence
95%
88% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 77 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-21 13:30 UTC
Price
29,633.54
Forecasted level
29,591.87
Distance
0.14%
Furthest move
0.10%
Confidence
95%
70% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 61 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-22 16:30 UTC
Price
29,176.55
Forecasted level
29,235.70
Distance
0.20%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
95%
40% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 71 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-10-20 13:57 UTC
Price
29,387.04
Forecasted level
29,354.46
Distance
0.11%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
96%
4% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Nasdaq 100 forecasts, opened between 19 and 26 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 26 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s Nasdaq 100 forecasts

Other Nasdaq 100 reports