Weekly report · 21 to 28 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares, 21 to 28 September

Prepared September 28, 2026 · Report data

Every Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 21 to Monday 28 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 10,904 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more24.5%
  2. went 200 to 300%13.7%
  3. went 125 to 200%29.2%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level24.3%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.6%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.7%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.9%
  8. went under 25%3.1%
of the forecasted distance
        

10,904 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above10,904 forecasts
        
24.5%300%+
13.7%200–300%
29.2%125–200%
24.3%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%54,423 forecasts
        
16.3%300%+
12.8%200–300%
30.6%125–200%
27.4%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
5.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%43,324 forecasts
        
12.3%300%+
9.2%200–300%
28.3%125–200%
32.7%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%38,317 forecasts
        
12.1%300%+
9.1%200–300%
26.3%125–200%
33.6%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.0%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
6.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%31,527 forecasts
        
9.0%300%+
9.3%200–300%
27.8%125–200%
34.0%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.3%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
6.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%27,531 forecasts
        
7.1%300%+
8.4%200–300%
27.4%125–200%
37.3%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.6%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%23,599 forecasts
        
6.7%300%+
7.5%200–300%
25.8%125–200%
37.8%100–125%
4.9%75–99%
5.3%50–75%
5.0%25–50%
7.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%22,092 forecasts
        
7.2%300%+
7.6%200–300%
25.5%125–200%
37.1%100–125%
5.0%75–99%
5.2%50–75%
5.2%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise4,001 forecasts
        
27.1%300%+
13.6%200–300%
28.1%125–200%
24.3%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall6,903 forecasts
        
22.9%300%+
13.8%200–300%
29.8%125–200%
24.4%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes2,324 forecasts
        
59.0%300%+
14.2%200–300%
12.0%125–200%
4.4%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
5.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes2,062 forecasts
        
37.8%300%+
20.0%200–300%
23.5%125–200%
9.7%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour1,378 forecasts
        
18.6%300%+
17.8%200–300%
36.5%125–200%
20.0%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
2.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours345 forecasts
        
27.0%300%+
24.6%200–300%
29.8%125–200%
9.6%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,661 forecasts
        
6.1%300%+
11.8%200–300%
38.8%125–200%
35.8%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
2.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day2,859 forecasts
        
1.9%300%+
7.1%200–300%
37.5%125–200%
46.7%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
1.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days275 forecasts
        
4.4%300%+
10.5%200–300%
35.6%125–200%
40.7%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
3.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 21
3,332
Tue 22
2,189
Wed 23
1,295
Thu 24
1,360
Fri 25
1,155
Sat 26
534
Mon 28
1,039
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 2,667 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-22 13:00 UTC
Price
136.44
Forecasted level
138.61
Distance
1.59%
Furthest move
5.26%
Confidence
96%
330% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,499 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-21 11:45 UTC
Price
132.66
Forecasted level
131.41
Distance
0.94%
Furthest move
2.17%
Confidence
96%
230% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 3,184 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-22 06:15 UTC
Price
138.85
Forecasted level
140.93
Distance
1.50%
Furthest move
2.08%
Confidence
96%
139% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 2,654 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-25 13:55 UTC
Price
152.60
Forecasted level
151.08
Distance
1.00%
Furthest move
1.12%
Confidence
96%
112% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 179 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-22 04:35 UTC
Price
140.64
Forecasted level
141.62
Distance
0.70%
Furthest move
0.65%
Confidence
95%
93% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 184 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-22 14:45 UTC
Price
145.93
Forecasted level
145.16
Distance
0.53%
Furthest move
0.32%
Confidence
97%
59% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 202 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-23 13:35 UTC
Price
148.45
Forecasted level
148.96
Distance
0.35%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
96%
33% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 335 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-21 14:00 UTC
Price
134.99
Forecasted level
133.87
Distance
0.83%
Furthest move
0.10%
Confidence
95%
12% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forecasts, opened between 21 and 28 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 28 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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