Monthly report · 1 to 31 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares, 1 to 31 October

Prepared November 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares price forecast Kunkafa published from Thursday 1 to Saturday 31 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 54,806 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more21.1%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.9%
  3. went 125 to 200%27.6%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level31.5%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.8%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.8%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.7%
  8. went under 25%2.6%
of the forecasted distance
        

54,806 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above54,806 forecasts
        
21.1%300%+
11.9%200–300%
27.6%125–200%
31.5%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%265,615 forecasts
        
13.1%300%+
11.3%200–300%
28.9%125–200%
33.2%100–125%
2.9%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
2.9%25–50%
4.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%236,545 forecasts
        
9.8%300%+
7.9%200–300%
26.0%125–200%
38.9%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
6.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%195,670 forecasts
        
9.9%300%+
7.2%200–300%
23.6%125–200%
40.6%100–125%
4.1%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%179,533 forecasts
        
7.3%300%+
7.5%200–300%
23.8%125–200%
41.9%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.6%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%166,211 forecasts
        
5.7%300%+
6.6%200–300%
22.3%125–200%
44.0%100–125%
4.7%75–99%
4.9%50–75%
5.2%25–50%
6.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%142,892 forecasts
        
4.7%300%+
5.6%200–300%
20.4%125–200%
46.6%100–125%
5.2%75–99%
5.3%50–75%
5.4%25–50%
6.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%128,927 forecasts
        
4.7%300%+
5.7%200–300%
19.2%125–200%
45.5%100–125%
5.4%75–99%
5.9%50–75%
5.9%25–50%
7.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-seven days.

▲ Could rise34,204 forecasts
        
16.9%300%+
10.8%200–300%
28.6%125–200%
34.8%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
2.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall20,602 forecasts
        
28.1%300%+
13.7%200–300%
26.0%125–200%
26.1%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
2.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes9,474 forecasts
        
59.5%300%+
14.4%200–300%
12.4%125–200%
4.2%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
4.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes7,933 forecasts
        
39.9%300%+
19.5%200–300%
23.8%125–200%
9.3%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour5,249 forecasts
        
19.0%300%+
18.5%200–300%
34.2%125–200%
20.5%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours1,389 forecasts
        
28.4%300%+
23.3%200–300%
28.3%125–200%
12.2%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
2.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours6,575 forecasts
        
6.3%300%+
11.4%200–300%
37.9%125–200%
35.9%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day10,917 forecasts
        
3.1%300%+
7.1%200–300%
32.6%125–200%
49.7%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days2,085 forecasts
        
1.5%300%+
7.5%200–300%
30.3%125–200%
50.3%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.6%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days6,469 forecasts
        
3.5%300%+
4.9%200–300%
26.6%125–200%
61.5%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
1.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days4,715 forecasts
        
7.7%300%+
6.4%200–300%
31.8%125–200%
44.1%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
2.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Thursday to Saturday.

Thu 1
1,138
Fri 2
1,126
Sat 3
1,742
Mon 5
4,717
Tue 6
875
Wed 7
1,591
Thu 8
2,250
Fri 9
1,467
Sat 10
1,339
Mon 12
4,545
Tue 13
2,712
Wed 14
2,828
Thu 15
2,848
Fri 16
2,353
Sat 17
2,061
Mon 19
4,144
Tue 20
1,294
Wed 21
844
Thu 22
2,854
Fri 23
2,096
Sat 24
1,246
Mon 26
2,944
Tue 27
1,342
Wed 28
1,296
Thu 29
742
Fri 30
2,111
Sat 31
301
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 11,568 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 17:00 UTC
Price
73.66
Forecasted level
74.95
Distance
1.75%
Furthest move
5.36%
Confidence
95%
306% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 6,502 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-20 14:55 UTC
Price
102.26
Forecasted level
101.01
Distance
1.22%
Furthest move
3.29%
Confidence
96%
269% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 15,152 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-22 22:50 UTC
Price
81.64
Forecasted level
84.53
Distance
3.54%
Furthest move
4.46%
Confidence
95%
126% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 17,281 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-19 13:00 UTC
Price
104.54
Forecasted level
100.07
Distance
4.27%
Furthest move
4.44%
Confidence
96%
104% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 973 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-16 12:55 UTC
Price
102.37
Forecasted level
105.65
Distance
3.21%
Furthest move
2.70%
Confidence
96%
84% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 993 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 20:00 UTC
Price
77.68
Forecasted level
76.33
Distance
1.74%
Furthest move
1.15%
Confidence
95%
65% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 924 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-16 10:10 UTC
Price
104.17
Forecasted level
107.47
Distance
3.16%
Furthest move
0.92%
Confidence
95%
29% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,413 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 19:55 UTC
Price
77.22
Forecasted level
75.09
Distance
2.76%
Furthest move
0.67%
Confidence
95%
24% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forecasts, opened between 1 and 31 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 31 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forecasts

Other Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares reports