Full report · 31 August to 2 November 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares, 31 August to 2 November

Prepared November 2, 2026 · Report data

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Every Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 31 August to Monday 2 November at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 120,489 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more21.2%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.5%
  3. went 125 to 200%27.5%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level31.9%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.6%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.7%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.7%
  8. went under 25%2.9%
of the forecasted distance
        

120,489 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 50 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above120,489 forecasts
        
21.2%300%+
11.5%200–300%
27.5%125–200%
31.9%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%521,549 forecasts
        
14.6%300%+
11.2%200–300%
28.1%125–200%
32.8%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
2.8%25–50%
5.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%463,688 forecasts
        
11.2%300%+
7.8%200–300%
25.1%125–200%
39.0%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%392,252 forecasts
        
11.0%300%+
7.3%200–300%
22.9%125–200%
40.5%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
6.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%356,064 forecasts
        
7.8%300%+
7.4%200–300%
22.9%125–200%
43.4%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.0%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%330,839 forecasts
        
6.0%300%+
6.2%200–300%
21.4%125–200%
46.4%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.5%50–75%
4.8%25–50%
6.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%284,633 forecasts
        
5.4%300%+
5.4%200–300%
19.7%125–200%
48.1%100–125%
4.5%75–99%
4.8%50–75%
5.0%25–50%
7.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%259,036 forecasts
        
5.7%300%+
5.5%200–300%
18.7%125–200%
46.9%100–125%
4.8%75–99%
5.1%50–75%
5.4%25–50%
7.9%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the 56 days.

▲ Could rise62,589 forecasts
        
18.8%300%+
11.0%200–300%
27.9%125–200%
33.3%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
3.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall57,900 forecasts
        
23.8%300%+
11.9%200–300%
27.0%125–200%
30.3%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 50 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes17,686 forecasts
        
60.8%300%+
13.8%200–300%
11.7%125–200%
4.1%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
4.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes16,490 forecasts
        
40.4%300%+
19.0%200–300%
23.2%125–200%
9.0%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
3.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour11,446 forecasts
        
20.0%300%+
18.6%200–300%
33.3%125–200%
19.4%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours2,777 forecasts
        
28.4%300%+
22.7%200–300%
28.0%125–200%
11.5%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours14,400 forecasts
        
7.8%300%+
11.9%200–300%
37.9%125–200%
33.7%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day23,392 forecasts
        
5.7%300%+
7.2%200–300%
32.7%125–200%
44.5%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days4,226 forecasts
        
3.2%300%+
8.6%200–300%
33.1%125–200%
46.1%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days15,014 forecasts
        
6.6%300%+
5.2%200–300%
26.7%125–200%
56.7%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
1.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days12,448 forecasts
        
11.1%300%+
6.4%200–300%
26.5%125–200%
51.3%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
1.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days2,575 forecasts
        
3.4%300%+
5.2%200–300%
31.4%125–200%
60.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 50 days36 forecasts
        
8.3%300%+
5.6%200–300%
22.2%125–200%
63.9%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Saturday to Monday.

Sat 29
0
Mon 31
159
Tue 1
0
Wed 2
173
Thu 3
696
Fri 4
2,825
Sat 5
1,856
Mon 7
5,752
Tue 8
1,192
Wed 9
1,697
Thu 10
2,187
Fri 11
1,528
Sat 12
2,658
Mon 14
9,426
Tue 15
2,499
Wed 16
1,913
Thu 17
1,429
Fri 18
2,660
Sat 19
1,545
Mon 21
5,604
Tue 22
3,538
Wed 23
2,954
Thu 24
2,071
Fri 25
1,775
Sat 26
1,392
Mon 28
3,858
Tue 29
1,201
Wed 30
1,077
Thu 1
1,138
Fri 2
1,126
Sat 3
1,742
Mon 5
4,717
Tue 6
875
Wed 7
1,591
Thu 8
2,250
Fri 9
1,467
Sat 10
1,339
Mon 12
4,545
Tue 13
2,712
Wed 14
2,828
Thu 15
2,848
Fri 16
2,353
Sat 17
2,097
Mon 19
4,192
Tue 20
1,305
Wed 21
844
Thu 22
2,854
Fri 23
2,096
Sat 24
1,246
Mon 26
3,074
Tue 27
1,399
Wed 28
1,296
Thu 29
742
Fri 30
2,111
Sat 31
588
Mon 2
1,450
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 25,565 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 17:00 UTC
Price
73.66
Forecasted level
74.95
Distance
1.75%
Furthest move
5.36%
Confidence
95%
306% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 13,806 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-27 12:30 UTC
Price
95.11
Forecasted level
93.26
Distance
1.95%
Furthest move
5.75%
Confidence
96%
295% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 33,100 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-22 22:50 UTC
Price
81.64
Forecasted level
84.53
Distance
3.54%
Furthest move
4.46%
Confidence
95%
126% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 38,401 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-19 13:00 UTC
Price
104.54
Forecasted level
100.07
Distance
4.27%
Furthest move
4.44%
Confidence
96%
104% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 1,968 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-16 12:55 UTC
Price
102.37
Forecasted level
105.65
Distance
3.21%
Furthest move
2.70%
Confidence
96%
84% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 2,098 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-28 14:55 UTC
Price
136.89
Forecasted level
134.29
Distance
1.90%
Furthest move
0.96%
Confidence
95%
50% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 2,059 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-16 10:10 UTC
Price
104.17
Forecasted level
107.47
Distance
3.16%
Furthest move
0.92%
Confidence
95%
29% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 3,492 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 19:55 UTC
Price
77.22
Forecasted level
75.09
Distance
2.76%
Furthest move
0.67%
Confidence
95%
24% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forecasts, opened between 31 August and 2 November 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 2 November.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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