Full report · 31 August to 21 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares, 31 August to 21 September

Prepared September 22, 2026 · Report data

Every Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 31 August to Monday 21 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 38,250 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more25.2%
  2. went 200 to 300%12.1%
  3. went 125 to 200%26.6%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level25.8%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.9%
  6. went 50 to 75%2.2%
  7. went 25 to 50%2.2%
  8. went under 25%4.0%
of the forecasted distance
        

38,250 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above38,250 forecasts
        
25.2%300%+
12.1%200–300%
26.6%125–200%
25.8%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%147,787 forecasts
        
18.6%300%+
11.6%200–300%
27.2%125–200%
27.9%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.8%50–75%
3.0%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%128,059 forecasts
        
15.8%300%+
8.2%200–300%
24.2%125–200%
33.4%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
7.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%108,494 forecasts
        
15.3%300%+
8.1%200–300%
22.7%125–200%
34.7%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%91,267 forecasts
        
10.9%300%+
8.4%200–300%
23.5%125–200%
38.3%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
7.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%84,410 forecasts
        
8.3%300%+
6.7%200–300%
22.4%125–200%
42.3%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.8%25–50%
7.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%72,355 forecasts
        
8.5%300%+
6.2%200–300%
20.5%125–200%
43.4%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
5.0%25–50%
8.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%66,967 forecasts
        
9.2%300%+
6.3%200–300%
19.7%125–200%
41.6%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
5.2%25–50%
9.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty days.

▲ Could rise18,191 forecasts
        
23.7%300%+
11.8%200–300%
26.6%125–200%
26.2%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
4.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall20,059 forecasts
        
26.5%300%+
12.4%200–300%
26.5%125–200%
25.5%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
3.5%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes5,177 forecasts
        
64.3%300%+
12.4%200–300%
10.0%125–200%
3.6%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes5,747 forecasts
        
41.9%300%+
18.4%200–300%
22.0%125–200%
8.3%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
4.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour4,380 forecasts
        
22.2%300%+
19.3%200–300%
30.8%125–200%
17.7%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
4.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours908 forecasts
        
28.2%300%+
21.2%200–300%
26.9%125–200%
11.7%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
3.3%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours5,736 forecasts
        
9.3%300%+
12.6%200–300%
37.7%125–200%
30.6%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
3.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day9,188 forecasts
        
8.6%300%+
6.8%200–300%
31.1%125–200%
37.7%100–125%
3.0%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1,102 forecasts
        
6.7%300%+
12.6%200–300%
36.2%125–200%
39.3%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days4,191 forecasts
        
14.0%300%+
6.7%200–300%
23.8%125–200%
48.5%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
1.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days1,821 forecasts
        
37.1%300%+
6.9%200–300%
20.4%125–200%
35.6%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Saturday to Monday.

Sat 29
0
Mon 31
159
Tue 1
0
Wed 2
160
Thu 3
623
Fri 4
2,717
Sat 5
1,856
Mon 7
5,707
Tue 8
1,129
Wed 9
1,339
Thu 10
1,836
Fri 11
1,399
Sat 12
2,240
Mon 14
8,681
Tue 15
1,186
Wed 16
1,033
Thu 17
1,267
Fri 18
1,213
Sat 19
1,294
Mon 21
4,411
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 9,622 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-03 09:56 UTC
Price
103.69
Forecasted level
104.76
Distance
1.03%
Furthest move
3.70%
Confidence
96%
360% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 4,631 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-04 11:10 UTC
Price
112.27
Forecasted level
111.14
Distance
1.01%
Furthest move
2.69%
Confidence
96%
266% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 10,164 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-04 11:00 UTC
Price
112.27
Forecasted level
114.43
Distance
1.93%
Furthest move
2.88%
Confidence
95%
149% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 9,879 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-07 08:45 UTC
Price
127.75
Forecasted level
125.17
Distance
2.02%
Furthest move
2.50%
Confidence
96%
124% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 738 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-14 07:15 UTC
Price
109.36
Forecasted level
111.01
Distance
1.51%
Furthest move
1.27%
Confidence
96%
84% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 823 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-04 13:40 UTC
Price
114.76
Forecasted level
113.92
Distance
0.73%
Furthest move
0.43%
Confidence
95%
58% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 847 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-13 23:30 UTC
Price
115.32
Forecasted level
116.99
Distance
1.45%
Furthest move
0.57%
Confidence
95%
39% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,546 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 10:55 UTC
Price
110.46
Forecasted level
109.40
Distance
0.96%
Furthest move
0.09%
Confidence
95%
9% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forecasts, opened between 31 August and 21 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 21 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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