Monthly report · 2 to 30 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares, 2 to 30 September

Prepared October 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares price forecast Kunkafa published from Wednesday 2 to Wednesday 30 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 56,658 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more22.9%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.7%
  3. went 125 to 200%27.2%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level29.2%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.7%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.9%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.9%
  8. went under 25%3.5%
of the forecasted distance
        

56,658 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 25 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above56,658 forecasts
        
22.9%300%+
11.7%200–300%
27.2%125–200%
29.2%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
3.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%231,530 forecasts
        
16.3%300%+
11.4%200–300%
27.7%125–200%
30.9%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.6%50–75%
2.8%25–50%
5.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%199,463 forecasts
        
12.9%300%+
8.0%200–300%
24.9%125–200%
36.7%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.4%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%169,300 forecasts
        
12.6%300%+
7.8%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
37.5%100–125%
3.5%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
7.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%146,005 forecasts
        
8.7%300%+
7.9%200–300%
23.3%125–200%
40.6%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
4.0%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
7.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%132,729 forecasts
        
6.5%300%+
6.6%200–300%
21.9%125–200%
44.3%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.5%50–75%
4.9%25–50%
7.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%115,250 forecasts
        
6.3%300%+
5.9%200–300%
20.1%125–200%
45.2%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
5.1%25–50%
8.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%105,382 forecasts
        
7.0%300%+
6.1%200–300%
19.6%125–200%
43.2%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.8%50–75%
5.5%25–50%
9.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-six days.

▲ Could rise27,151 forecasts
        
20.9%300%+
11.4%200–300%
27.2%125–200%
31.0%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall29,507 forecasts
        
24.8%300%+
12.0%200–300%
27.1%125–200%
27.6%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
3.2%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 25 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes8,052 forecasts
        
62.2%300%+
13.2%200–300%
11.0%125–200%
3.9%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes8,239 forecasts
        
41.1%300%+
18.5%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
8.7%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
4.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour5,966 forecasts
        
21.1%300%+
18.6%200–300%
32.4%125–200%
18.4%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
3.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours1,377 forecasts
        
28.5%300%+
22.2%200–300%
27.5%125–200%
10.7%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
3.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours7,448 forecasts
        
8.7%300%+
12.4%200–300%
37.9%125–200%
32.1%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
2.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day11,835 forecasts
        
7.0%300%+
7.0%200–300%
33.0%125–200%
40.5%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
4.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1,956 forecasts
        
4.7%300%+
9.7%200–300%
35.5%125–200%
41.8%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days7,030 forecasts
        
8.6%300%+
5.6%200–300%
26.0%125–200%
52.8%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days4,668 forecasts
        
16.7%300%+
6.4%200–300%
22.9%125–200%
54.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days87 forecasts
        
5.8%300%+
10.3%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
60.9%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Tuesday to Wednesday.

Tue 1
0
Wed 2
173
Thu 3
696
Fri 4
2,718
Sat 5
1,856
Mon 7
5,716
Tue 8
1,168
Wed 9
1,415
Thu 10
1,900
Fri 11
1,410
Sat 12
2,658
Mon 14
9,426
Tue 15
2,499
Wed 16
1,872
Thu 17
1,316
Fri 18
2,467
Sat 19
1,365
Mon 21
5,191
Tue 22
3,153
Wed 23
1,377
Thu 24
1,364
Fri 25
1,157
Sat 26
534
Mon 28
3,372
Tue 29
1,102
Wed 30
753
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 13,005 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-22 13:00 UTC
Price
136.44
Forecasted level
138.61
Distance
1.59%
Furthest move
5.26%
Confidence
96%
330% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 6,641 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-07 13:00 UTC
Price
126.60
Forecasted level
124.32
Distance
1.80%
Furthest move
3.71%
Confidence
96%
206% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 15,385 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-15 08:30 UTC
Price
101.03
Forecasted level
103.60
Distance
2.54%
Furthest move
3.49%
Confidence
96%
137% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 16,558 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-18 07:15 UTC
Price
119.54
Forecasted level
116.98
Distance
2.14%
Furthest move
2.65%
Confidence
96%
124% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 946 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-14 07:15 UTC
Price
109.36
Forecasted level
111.01
Distance
1.51%
Furthest move
1.27%
Confidence
96%
84% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 1,065 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-28 15:36 UTC
Price
138.13
Forecasted level
136.32
Distance
1.31%
Furthest move
0.88%
Confidence
95%
67% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 1,093 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-13 23:30 UTC
Price
115.32
Forecasted level
116.99
Distance
1.45%
Furthest move
0.57%
Confidence
95%
39% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,965 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-24 18:30 UTC
Price
144.62
Forecasted level
142.68
Distance
1.34%
Furthest move
0.02%
Confidence
95%
1% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forecasts, opened between 2 and 30 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares forecasts

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