Weekly report · 21 to 28 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Bitcoin, 21 to 28 September

Prepared September 28, 2026 · Report data

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Every Bitcoin forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Bitcoin price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 21 to Monday 28 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 13,096 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more31.5%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.9%
  3. went 125 to 200%22.9%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level20.0%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.8%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.8%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.8%
  8. went under 25%8.3%
of the forecasted distance
        

13,096 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 4 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above13,096 forecasts
        
31.5%300%+
11.9%200–300%
22.9%125–200%
20.0%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
8.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%54,138 forecasts
        
15.4%300%+
11.6%200–300%
29.0%125–200%
29.0%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%46,382 forecasts
        
9.8%300%+
8.9%200–300%
28.5%125–200%
34.7%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
7.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%37,932 forecasts
        
8.8%300%+
8.1%200–300%
27.5%125–200%
36.7%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.0%50–75%
3.8%25–50%
7.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%29,989 forecasts
        
7.8%300%+
9.1%200–300%
27.5%125–200%
36.4%100–125%
4.1%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
7.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%29,893 forecasts
        
6.8%300%+
8.1%200–300%
27.0%125–200%
38.2%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.2%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%26,240 forecasts
        
7.0%300%+
7.1%200–300%
26.5%125–200%
38.2%100–125%
4.9%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
7.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%22,272 forecasts
        
6.8%300%+
7.3%200–300%
25.2%125–200%
38.2%100–125%
4.9%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
4.7%25–50%
8.2%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise5,713 forecasts
        
34.3%300%+
12.5%200–300%
21.9%125–200%
17.9%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
8.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall7,383 forecasts
        
29.3%300%+
11.3%200–300%
23.7%125–200%
21.7%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
8.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 4 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes4,386 forecasts
        
63.5%300%+
8.6%200–300%
7.3%125–200%
2.4%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
15.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes3,181 forecasts
        
33.4%300%+
21.7%200–300%
23.3%125–200%
9.6%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
7.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour1,623 forecasts
        
10.7%300%+
16.1%200–300%
39.7%125–200%
22.3%100–125%
2.9%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours213 forecasts
        
21.6%300%+
22.1%200–300%
31.5%125–200%
15.0%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
1.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours1,634 forecasts
        
3.0%300%+
6.6%200–300%
38.0%125–200%
40.5%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
2.9%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day1,942 forecasts
        
0.6%300%+
3.1%200–300%
29.8%125–200%
56.7%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
3.0%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
2.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days117 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
5.1%200–300%
28.2%125–200%
47.0%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
4.3%50–75%
7.7%25–50%
6.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 21
2,841
Tue 22
697
Wed 23
1,336
Thu 24
972
Fri 25
1,400
Sat 26
3,349
Mon 28
2,501
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 4,125 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-21 08:00 UTC
Price
84,848.7
Forecasted level
85,030.4
Distance
0.21%
Furthest move
1.73%
Confidence
96%
810% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,551 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-21 11:45 UTC
Price
84,848.7
Forecasted level
84,409.0
Distance
0.52%
Furthest move
1.12%
Confidence
95%
216% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 3,003 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-21 15:00 UTC
Price
85,887.6
Forecasted level
86,533.4
Distance
0.75%
Furthest move
1.16%
Confidence
95%
155% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 2,623 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-22 08:00 UTC
Price
86,168.1
Forecasted level
85,613.1
Distance
0.64%
Furthest move
0.75%
Confidence
96%
117% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 237 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-23 09:53 UTC
Price
85,726.6
Forecasted level
85,973.4
Distance
0.29%
Furthest move
0.25%
Confidence
96%
85% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 239 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-21 03:30 UTC
Price
81,450.0
Forecasted level
80,965.4
Distance
0.59%
Furthest move
0.30%
Confidence
96%
50% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 232 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-23 09:42 UTC
Price
85,786.3
Forecasted level
86,122.1
Distance
0.39%
Furthest move
0.18%
Confidence
97%
44% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,086 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-21 08:15 UTC
Price
82,205.1
Forecasted level
81,733.0
Distance
0.57%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
95%
13% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Bitcoin forecasts, opened between 21 and 28 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 28 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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