Monthly report · 2 to 30 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Bitcoin, 2 to 30 September

Prepared October 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every Bitcoin forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Bitcoin price forecast Kunkafa published from Wednesday 2 to Wednesday 30 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 55,988 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more27.5%
  2. went 200 to 300%10.7%
  3. went 125 to 200%24.6%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level27.7%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.2%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.2%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.2%
  8. went under 25%5.9%
of the forecasted distance
        

55,988 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above55,988 forecasts
        
27.5%300%+
10.7%200–300%
24.6%125–200%
27.7%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
5.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%234,232 forecasts
        
15.9%300%+
10.9%200–300%
27.8%125–200%
32.0%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
6.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%208,029 forecasts
        
10.0%300%+
8.3%200–300%
27.1%125–200%
38.9%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%168,646 forecasts
        
9.5%300%+
7.5%200–300%
25.5%125–200%
40.5%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%146,836 forecasts
        
8.6%300%+
7.6%200–300%
24.4%125–200%
41.9%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
6.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%143,562 forecasts
        
7.4%300%+
7.0%200–300%
23.5%125–200%
43.6%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
6.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%127,027 forecasts
        
7.1%300%+
6.1%200–300%
22.2%125–200%
45.5%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
6.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%113,684 forecasts
        
7.1%300%+
5.9%200–300%
20.8%125–200%
45.3%100–125%
4.7%75–99%
4.5%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
7.3%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-six days.

▲ Could rise29,507 forecasts
        
25.8%300%+
11.1%200–300%
25.3%125–200%
29.2%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
5.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall26,481 forecasts
        
29.3%300%+
10.4%200–300%
23.8%125–200%
26.1%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
6.3%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes14,004 forecasts
        
64.0%300%+
8.9%200–300%
7.2%125–200%
2.4%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
14.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes10,056 forecasts
        
37.3%300%+
20.2%200–300%
22.4%125–200%
8.9%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
6.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour5,571 forecasts
        
14.3%300%+
18.3%200–300%
37.5%125–200%
20.2%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
4.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours803 forecasts
        
23.3%300%+
21.4%200–300%
34.0%125–200%
12.4%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours5,329 forecasts
        
4.9%300%+
9.5%200–300%
39.7%125–200%
37.4%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
2.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day8,256 forecasts
        
3.6%300%+
4.9%200–300%
32.2%125–200%
53.3%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
1.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days744 forecasts
        
3.5%300%+
8.3%200–300%
26.6%125–200%
48.5%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
4.2%25–50%
3.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days6,946 forecasts
        
9.3%300%+
4.9%200–300%
31.0%125–200%
54.4%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.1%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
0.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days4,279 forecasts
        
10.3%300%+
5.2%200–300%
24.0%125–200%
59.2%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.2%25–50%
0.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Tuesday to Wednesday.

Tue 1
0
Wed 2
137
Thu 3
544
Fri 4
1,378
Sat 5
2,376
Mon 7
3,466
Tue 8
537
Wed 9
1,764
Thu 10
1,633
Fri 11
2,386
Sat 12
3,960
Mon 14
7,681
Tue 15
2,697
Wed 16
1,194
Thu 17
2,324
Fri 18
1,908
Sat 19
1,926
Mon 21
4,811
Tue 22
1,303
Wed 23
1,413
Thu 24
989
Fri 25
1,400
Sat 26
3,349
Mon 28
4,330
Tue 29
1,251
Wed 30
1,231
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 15,371 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC
Price
76,799.7
Forecasted level
77,644.9
Distance
1.10%
Furthest move
7.14%
Confidence
95%
648% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 6,005 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-11 13:00 UTC
Price
79,202.9
Forecasted level
78,270.3
Distance
1.18%
Furthest move
2.46%
Confidence
95%
209% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 13,778 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-13 23:30 UTC
Price
76,782.3
Forecasted level
77,413.8
Distance
0.82%
Furthest move
1.13%
Confidence
95%
137% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 15,527 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-13 09:16 UTC
Price
76,766.0
Forecasted level
75,791.9
Distance
1.27%
Furthest move
1.42%
Confidence
100%
112% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 693 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-11 16:00 UTC
Price
77,800.0
Forecasted level
78,109.3
Distance
0.40%
Furthest move
0.30%
Confidence
95%
76% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 668 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-20 15:00 UTC
Price
80,872.5
Forecasted level
80,344.4
Distance
0.65%
Furthest move
0.41%
Confidence
96%
62% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 660 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-23 09:42 UTC
Price
85,786.3
Forecasted level
86,122.1
Distance
0.39%
Furthest move
0.18%
Confidence
97%
44% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 3,286 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-20 14:45 UTC
Price
80,640.6
Forecasted level
80,139.6
Distance
0.62%
Furthest move
0.12%
Confidence
96%
19% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Bitcoin forecasts, opened between 2 and 30 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s Bitcoin forecasts

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