Every Bitcoin forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Bitcoin price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 31 August to Monday 21 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?
Kunkafa’s confidence floor
The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.
Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 35,937 forecasts that settled came out like this:
went 300% or more29.2%
went 200 to 300%10.8%
went 125 to 200%24.6%
went 100 to 125%, reaching the level25.9%
went 75 to 99%1.3%
went 50 to 75%1.2%
went 25 to 50%1.1%
went under 25%5.9%
of the forecasted distance
35,937 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.
Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.
Confidence, and what it was worth
Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.
Confidence 95% and above35,937 forecasts
29.2%300%+
10.8%200–300%
24.6%125–200%
25.9%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
5.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%152,307 forecasts
17.7%300%+
11.1%200–300%
27.2%125–200%
30.6%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
6.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%133,009 forecasts
11.7%300%+
8.9%200–300%
27.5%125–200%
36.4%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%106,635 forecasts
11.6%300%+
8.0%200–300%
25.9%125–200%
38.1%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%92,655 forecasts
11.3%300%+
8.2%200–300%
25.4%125–200%
39.0%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
5.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%89,545 forecasts
9.7%300%+
7.5%200–300%
24.7%125–200%
41.3%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
6.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%78,960 forecasts
8.9%300%+
6.5%200–300%
23.3%125–200%
43.3%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%72,287 forecasts
8.8%300%+
6.5%200–300%
21.8%125–200%
42.9%100–125%
4.7%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
6.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Both directions
A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty days.
▲ Could rise19,357 forecasts
27.5%300%+
11.0%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
27.4%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall16,580 forecasts
31.2%300%+
10.6%200–300%
23.5%125–200%
24.1%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
By duration
Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.
Up to 5 minutes8,941 forecasts
64.4%300%+
8.5%200–300%
7.2%125–200%
2.4%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
14.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes6,447 forecasts
39.2%300%+
19.7%200–300%
22.0%125–200%
8.3%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
6.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour3,808 forecasts
15.5%300%+
18.5%200–300%
36.4%125–200%
20.3%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours545 forecasts
23.1%300%+
21.7%200–300%
34.1%125–200%
12.3%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
1.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours3,695 forecasts
5.3%300%+
10.1%200–300%
40.1%125–200%
35.9%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day5,982 forecasts
4.8%300%+
4.6%200–300%
31.8%125–200%
53.1%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
1.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days219 forecasts
8.7%300%+
8.7%200–300%
31.5%125–200%
49.3%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.4%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
1.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days4,802 forecasts
13.3%300%+
5.9%200–300%
30.3%125–200%
50.5%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days1,498 forecasts
23.5%300%+
6.1%200–300%
21.0%125–200%
45.6%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.5%25–50%
0.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Day by day
The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Saturday to Monday.
What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time
Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.
300% of the forecast distance or more · 10,494 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC
Price
76,799.7
Forecasted level
77,644.9
Distance
1.10%
Furthest move
7.14%
Confidence
95%
648% of the forecasted distance
200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 3,890 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-11 14:00 UTC
Price
79,025.3
Forecasted level
78,344.4
Distance
0.86%
Furthest move
2.24%
Confidence
96%
260% of the forecasted distance
125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 8,846 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-04 12:00 UTC
Price
79,378.9
Forecasted level
79,843.7
Distance
0.59%
Furthest move
1.01%
Confidence
95%
172% of the forecasted distance
100 to 125%, reached the level · 9,308 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-03 12:00 UTC
Price
78,615.9
Forecasted level
77,719.6
Distance
1.14%
Furthest move
1.32%
Confidence
96%
116% of the forecasted distance
75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 454 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-11 16:00 UTC
Price
77,800.0
Forecasted level
78,109.3
Distance
0.40%
Furthest move
0.30%
Confidence
95%
76% of the forecasted distance
50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 423 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-04 22:51 UTC
Price
79,611.0
Forecasted level
79,332.3
Distance
0.35%
Furthest move
0.26%
Confidence
95%
74% of the forecasted distance
25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 413 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-15 03:55 UTC
Price
77,650.1
Forecasted level
77,859.9
Distance
0.27%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
95%
29% of the forecasted distance
Under 25% of the forecast distance · 2,109 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-04 14:45 UTC
Price
78,659.4
Forecasted level
78,295.0
Distance
0.46%
Furthest move
0.06%
Confidence
96%
13% of the forecasted distance
How this was counted
Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Bitcoin forecasts, opened between 31 August and 21 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 21 September.
“Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.
Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.