Full report · 31 August to 2 November 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Bitcoin, 31 August to 2 November

Prepared November 2, 2026 · Report data

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Every Bitcoin forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Bitcoin price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 31 August to Monday 2 November at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 141,200 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more27.6%
  2. went 200 to 300%10.8%
  3. went 125 to 200%24.6%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level26.9%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.2%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.1%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.1%
  8. went under 25%6.7%
of the forecasted distance
        

141,200 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 50 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above141,200 forecasts
        
27.6%300%+
10.8%200–300%
24.6%125–200%
26.9%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
6.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%547,958 forecasts
        
15.2%300%+
10.6%200–300%
28.1%125–200%
33.2%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
6.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%480,520 forecasts
        
9.4%300%+
8.0%200–300%
27.0%125–200%
40.3%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
3.0%50–75%
3.0%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%391,974 forecasts
        
8.9%300%+
7.2%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
42.2%100–125%
3.4%75–99%
3.3%50–75%
3.2%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%348,436 forecasts
        
7.7%300%+
7.1%200–300%
24.1%125–200%
44.9%100–125%
3.5%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
5.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%345,635 forecasts
        
6.5%300%+
6.4%200–300%
23.1%125–200%
46.8%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
6.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%303,931 forecasts
        
6.1%300%+
5.6%200–300%
21.6%125–200%
48.6%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.8%25–50%
6.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%269,994 forecasts
        
6.1%300%+
5.6%200–300%
20.0%125–200%
48.6%100–125%
4.5%75–99%
4.3%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
6.8%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the 56 days.

▲ Could rise74,496 forecasts
        
26.1%300%+
10.8%200–300%
24.8%125–200%
29.0%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall66,704 forecasts
        
29.3%300%+
10.9%200–300%
24.3%125–200%
24.6%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
7.3%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 50 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes35,727 forecasts
        
62.7%300%+
8.2%200–300%
6.7%125–200%
2.3%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
17.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes26,050 forecasts
        
39.0%300%+
19.8%200–300%
21.1%125–200%
8.4%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
7.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour13,800 forecasts
        
14.9%300%+
19.2%200–300%
36.9%125–200%
20.6%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
3.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours1,815 forecasts
        
23.1%300%+
24.0%200–300%
32.0%125–200%
12.8%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours12,521 forecasts
        
5.2%300%+
10.2%200–300%
40.3%125–200%
36.6%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day19,898 forecasts
        
3.7%300%+
5.2%200–300%
33.7%125–200%
51.8%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
1.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days2,084 forecasts
        
2.6%300%+
7.5%200–300%
34.6%125–200%
49.6%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
1.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days15,594 forecasts
        
10.4%300%+
6.2%200–300%
31.7%125–200%
51.2%100–125%
0.2%75–99%
0.1%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
0.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days12,606 forecasts
        
7.3%300%+
5.5%200–300%
26.2%125–200%
57.9%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
1.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days844 forecasts
        
0.6%300%+
3.8%200–300%
29.8%125–200%
65.8%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 50 days261 forecasts
        
0.8%300%+
1.1%200–300%
40.2%125–200%
57.9%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Saturday to Monday.

Sat 29
0
Mon 31
111
Tue 1
0
Wed 2
225
Thu 3
693
Fri 4
1,378
Sat 5
2,380
Mon 7
3,477
Tue 8
538
Wed 9
1,770
Thu 10
1,635
Fri 11
2,386
Sat 12
4,019
Mon 14
7,681
Tue 15
2,697
Wed 16
1,194
Thu 17
2,324
Fri 18
1,919
Sat 19
1,928
Mon 21
5,345
Tue 22
1,354
Wed 23
2,307
Thu 24
1,775
Fri 25
2,502
Sat 26
4,021
Mon 28
4,804
Tue 29
1,259
Wed 30
1,388
Thu 1
956
Fri 2
1,355
Sat 3
5,396
Mon 5
10,505
Tue 6
1,071
Wed 7
2,153
Thu 8
3,575
Fri 9
3,033
Sat 10
5,206
Mon 12
9,283
Tue 13
671
Wed 14
1,662
Thu 15
1,224
Fri 16
1,668
Sat 17
3,647
Mon 19
3,019
Tue 20
1,408
Wed 21
1,728
Thu 22
2,459
Fri 23
1,551
Sat 24
1,938
Mon 26
4,255
Tue 27
787
Wed 28
1,270
Thu 29
1,898
Fri 30
1,858
Sat 31
1,953
Mon 2
4,561
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 39,010 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-02 08:00 UTC
Price
76,799.7
Forecasted level
77,644.9
Distance
1.10%
Furthest move
7.14%
Confidence
95%
648% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 15,313 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-11 13:00 UTC
Price
79,202.9
Forecasted level
78,270.3
Distance
1.18%
Furthest move
2.46%
Confidence
95%
209% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 34,683 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 50 days · 2026-09-10 12:00 UTC
Price
77,221.1
Forecasted level
78,795.8
Distance
2.04%
Furthest move
3.45%
Confidence
96%
169% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 37,994 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 50 days · 2026-09-06 08:00 UTC
Price
79,867.2
Forecasted level
78,259.0
Distance
2.01%
Furthest move
2.18%
Confidence
96%
108% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 1,632 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-23 05:25 UTC
Price
81,606.1
Forecasted level
82,177.5
Distance
0.70%
Furthest move
0.54%
Confidence
95%
77% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 1,546 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-20 16:00 UTC
Price
81,307.5
Forecasted level
80,233.4
Distance
1.32%
Furthest move
0.94%
Confidence
96%
71% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 1,533 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 08:41 UTC
Price
77,964.3
Forecasted level
78,338.2
Distance
0.48%
Furthest move
0.14%
Confidence
96%
28% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 9,489 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-28 14:50 UTC
Price
82,859.9
Forecasted level
82,114.3
Distance
0.90%
Furthest move
0.16%
Confidence
95%
17% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Bitcoin forecasts, opened between 31 August and 2 November 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 2 November.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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