Monthly report · 1 to 31 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Bitcoin, 1 to 31 October

Prepared November 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every Bitcoin forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Bitcoin price forecast Kunkafa published from Thursday 1 to Saturday 31 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 74,641 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more28.7%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.4%
  3. went 125 to 200%24.7%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level24.9%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.1%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.0%
  7. went 25 to 50%0.9%
  8. went under 25%7.3%
of the forecasted distance
        

74,641 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above74,641 forecasts
        
28.7%300%+
11.4%200–300%
24.7%125–200%
24.9%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
7.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%285,290 forecasts
        
15.1%300%+
10.9%200–300%
28.8%125–200%
32.0%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
6.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%244,308 forecasts
        
9.2%300%+
8.3%200–300%
27.6%125–200%
38.9%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
6.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%196,173 forecasts
        
8.7%300%+
7.5%200–300%
26.3%125–200%
41.1%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.3%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
6.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%172,718 forecasts
        
7.3%300%+
7.4%200–300%
24.9%125–200%
43.8%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.3%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%169,068 forecasts
        
6.3%300%+
6.7%200–300%
24.1%125–200%
45.0%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%146,322 forecasts
        
5.8%300%+
6.0%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
46.6%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.0%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
6.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%130,947 forecasts
        
5.9%300%+
5.8%200–300%
20.8%125–200%
47.2%100–125%
4.6%75–99%
4.3%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
7.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-seven days.

▲ Could rise40,423 forecasts
        
26.6%300%+
11.1%200–300%
24.8%125–200%
27.6%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
6.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall34,218 forecasts
        
31.1%300%+
11.8%200–300%
24.6%125–200%
21.7%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
8.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes19,930 forecasts
        
61.3%300%+
8.1%200–300%
6.9%125–200%
2.3%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
18.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes14,451 forecasts
        
40.1%300%+
19.4%200–300%
20.3%125–200%
8.2%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
7.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour7,604 forecasts
        
15.6%300%+
19.7%200–300%
36.3%125–200%
20.8%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
3.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours1,011 forecasts
        
22.9%300%+
26.1%200–300%
30.4%125–200%
13.0%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours6,867 forecasts
        
5.4%300%+
10.6%200–300%
40.7%125–200%
36.2%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
2.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day10,570 forecasts
        
3.4%300%+
5.3%200–300%
35.2%125–200%
51.1%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.3%25–50%
1.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1,104 forecasts
        
2.4%300%+
8.1%200–300%
39.4%125–200%
48.5%100–125%
0.5%75–99%
0.5%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
0.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days7,367 forecasts
        
12.1%300%+
7.9%200–300%
33.1%125–200%
46.2%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.2%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
0.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days5,737 forecasts
        
5.6%300%+
6.3%200–300%
29.3%125–200%
58.8%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Thursday to Saturday.

Thu 1
956
Fri 2
1,355
Sat 3
5,396
Mon 5
10,505
Tue 6
1,071
Wed 7
2,153
Thu 8
3,575
Fri 9
3,033
Sat 10
5,206
Mon 12
9,283
Tue 13
671
Wed 14
1,662
Thu 15
1,224
Fri 16
1,668
Sat 17
3,647
Mon 19
3,019
Tue 20
1,408
Wed 21
1,728
Thu 22
2,459
Fri 23
1,551
Sat 24
1,938
Mon 26
4,010
Tue 27
787
Wed 28
1,270
Thu 29
1,898
Fri 30
1,858
Sat 31
1,310
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 21,413 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC
Price
80,167.6
Forecasted level
80,680.6
Distance
0.64%
Furthest move
2.33%
Confidence
95%
364% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 8,508 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-04 08:00 UTC
Price
85,275.7
Forecasted level
84,426.5
Distance
1.00%
Furthest move
2.08%
Confidence
96%
209% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 18,441 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-08 12:00 UTC
Price
80,991.9
Forecasted level
81,921.0
Distance
1.15%
Furthest move
1.74%
Confidence
96%
151% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 18,560 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-09 14:00 UTC
Price
83,000.0
Forecasted level
81,719.8
Distance
1.54%
Furthest move
1.55%
Confidence
96%
101% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 831 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-23 05:25 UTC
Price
81,606.1
Forecasted level
82,177.5
Distance
0.70%
Furthest move
0.54%
Confidence
95%
77% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 755 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-02 20:20 UTC
Price
84,461.8
Forecasted level
83,872.1
Distance
0.70%
Furthest move
0.35%
Confidence
95%
50% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 704 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 08:41 UTC
Price
77,964.3
Forecasted level
78,338.2
Distance
0.48%
Furthest move
0.14%
Confidence
96%
28% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 5,429 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-02 19:55 UTC
Price
84,255.5
Forecasted level
83,688.4
Distance
0.67%
Furthest move
0.11%
Confidence
95%
16% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Bitcoin forecasts, opened between 1 and 31 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 31 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s Bitcoin forecasts

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