Monthly report · 1 to 31 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Ethereum, 1 to 31 October

Prepared November 1, 2026 · Report data

Share on XShare on LinkedInShare on WhatsAppShare on Telegram

Every Ethereum forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Ethereum price forecast Kunkafa published from Thursday 1 to Saturday 31 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 53,472 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more29.2%
  2. went 200 to 300%12.5%
  3. went 125 to 200%25.3%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level24.7%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.3%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.2%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.7%
  8. went under 25%4.1%
of the forecasted distance
        

53,472 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above53,472 forecasts
        
29.2%300%+
12.5%200–300%
25.3%125–200%
24.7%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
4.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%273,200 forecasts
        
13.7%300%+
11.9%200–300%
29.6%125–200%
31.5%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%240,710 forecasts
        
7.1%300%+
8.1%200–300%
28.6%125–200%
39.5%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%193,647 forecasts
        
8.1%300%+
7.9%200–300%
26.6%125–200%
40.6%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
5.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%176,993 forecasts
        
6.8%300%+
8.0%200–300%
26.2%125–200%
41.9%100–125%
4.0%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%177,584 forecasts
        
5.4%300%+
7.4%200–300%
25.7%125–200%
42.9%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
5.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%156,120 forecasts
        
5.0%300%+
6.7%200–300%
24.8%125–200%
43.4%100–125%
4.4%75–99%
4.8%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%136,658 forecasts
        
5.0%300%+
6.5%200–300%
23.6%125–200%
42.9%100–125%
4.7%75–99%
5.0%50–75%
5.1%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-seven days.

▲ Could rise30,208 forecasts
        
26.1%300%+
12.4%200–300%
26.0%125–200%
26.8%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
4.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall23,264 forecasts
        
33.3%300%+
12.6%200–300%
24.4%125–200%
21.9%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
4.1%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes18,297 forecasts
        
58.0%300%+
12.7%200–300%
11.3%125–200%
3.9%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
3.0%25–50%
8.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes7,693 forecasts
        
34.9%300%+
21.6%200–300%
24.1%125–200%
10.1%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
4.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour4,089 forecasts
        
15.7%300%+
18.2%200–300%
37.1%125–200%
20.9%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
2.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours753 forecasts
        
23.6%300%+
23.4%200–300%
29.2%125–200%
13.7%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
2.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours4,365 forecasts
        
6.3%300%+
10.6%200–300%
39.2%125–200%
37.5%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day7,765 forecasts
        
3.4%300%+
7.7%200–300%
35.7%125–200%
48.0%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
1.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1,006 forecasts
        
5.4%300%+
10.6%200–300%
41.3%125–200%
40.4%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
0.3%50–75%
0.6%25–50%
0.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days5,900 forecasts
        
10.3%300%+
6.4%200–300%
34.0%125–200%
48.6%100–125%
0.2%75–99%
0.4%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days3,604 forecasts
        
8.1%300%+
5.8%200–300%
27.8%125–200%
58.3%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Thursday to Saturday.

Thu 1
919
Fri 2
1,115
Sat 3
2,124
Mon 5
6,284
Tue 6
1,147
Wed 7
2,549
Thu 8
3,209
Fri 9
1,508
Sat 10
2,769
Mon 12
6,432
Tue 13
721
Wed 14
1,793
Thu 15
1,606
Fri 16
2,121
Sat 17
1,738
Mon 19
2,503
Tue 20
1,073
Wed 21
1,397
Thu 22
1,839
Fri 23
1,613
Sat 24
1,684
Mon 26
2,579
Tue 27
608
Wed 28
1,378
Thu 29
1,397
Fri 30
684
Sat 31
682
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 15,617 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC
Price
2,379.24
Forecasted level
2,400.02
Distance
0.87%
Furthest move
2.90%
Confidence
95%
332% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 6,677 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-15 15:00 UTC
Price
2,439.68
Forecasted level
2,418.13
Distance
0.88%
Furthest move
1.97%
Confidence
96%
223% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 13,555 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-16 19:00 UTC
Price
2,412.31
Forecasted level
2,454.28
Distance
1.74%
Furthest move
2.71%
Confidence
95%
156% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 13,182 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC
Price
2,451.87
Forecasted level
2,426.59
Distance
1.03%
Furthest move
1.19%
Confidence
95%
115% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 699 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-14 07:45 UTC
Price
2,510.13
Forecasted level
2,531.83
Distance
0.86%
Furthest move
0.79%
Confidence
95%
91% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 664 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-30 02:15 UTC
Price
2,213.60
Forecasted level
2,201.33
Distance
0.55%
Furthest move
0.35%
Confidence
95%
63% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 883 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-08 12:15 UTC
Price
2,535.55
Forecasted level
2,551.98
Distance
0.65%
Furthest move
0.21%
Confidence
95%
33% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 2,195 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-10-08 19:30 UTC
Price
2,459.79
Forecasted level
2,442.64
Distance
0.70%
Furthest move
0.06%
Confidence
95%
8% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Ethereum forecasts, opened between 1 and 31 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 31 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s Ethereum forecasts

Other Ethereum reports