Full report · 2 September to 2 November 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Ethereum, 2 September to 2 November

Prepared November 2, 2026 · Report data

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Every Ethereum forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Ethereum price forecast Kunkafa published from Wednesday 2 September to Monday 2 November at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 99,765 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more28.8%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.8%
  3. went 125 to 200%25.0%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level25.6%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.5%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.3%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.7%
  8. went under 25%4.3%
of the forecasted distance
        

99,765 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 50 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above99,765 forecasts
        
28.8%300%+
11.8%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
25.6%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
4.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%512,570 forecasts
        
14.0%300%+
11.6%200–300%
29.4%125–200%
31.8%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.6%50–75%
2.6%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%466,823 forecasts
        
7.6%300%+
7.9%200–300%
28.4%125–200%
40.1%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%384,706 forecasts
        
8.4%300%+
7.4%200–300%
26.2%125–200%
41.7%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
5.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%356,794 forecasts
        
7.4%300%+
7.6%200–300%
25.4%125–200%
43.4%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.6%25–50%
5.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%362,101 forecasts
        
5.9%300%+
7.0%200–300%
25.0%125–200%
45.0%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.0%50–75%
3.8%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%319,671 forecasts
        
5.3%300%+
6.4%200–300%
23.8%125–200%
45.9%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.3%50–75%
4.2%25–50%
5.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%283,779 forecasts
        
5.2%300%+
6.3%200–300%
22.7%125–200%
45.8%100–125%
4.6%75–99%
4.5%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the 56 days.

▲ Could rise52,525 forecasts
        
27.8%300%+
12.1%200–300%
25.6%125–200%
25.9%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
4.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall47,240 forecasts
        
30.0%300%+
11.5%200–300%
24.3%125–200%
25.1%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 50 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes32,928 forecasts
        
59.0%300%+
12.5%200–300%
11.0%125–200%
3.8%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
2.5%25–50%
8.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes13,182 forecasts
        
34.6%300%+
21.5%200–300%
24.5%125–200%
9.9%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour7,380 forecasts
        
15.4%300%+
18.1%200–300%
36.9%125–200%
21.5%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours1,274 forecasts
        
22.6%300%+
22.3%200–300%
30.5%125–200%
13.7%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours7,682 forecasts
        
6.0%300%+
10.8%200–300%
38.5%125–200%
36.7%100–125%
2.0%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
2.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day13,930 forecasts
        
4.2%300%+
6.7%200–300%
34.1%125–200%
48.6%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days1,759 forecasts
        
5.9%300%+
8.9%200–300%
38.4%125–200%
40.2%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
1.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days12,692 forecasts
        
11.5%300%+
5.3%200–300%
33.3%125–200%
47.0%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.6%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
1.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days8,026 forecasts
        
8.9%300%+
6.4%200–300%
26.3%125–200%
54.6%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
1.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days748 forecasts
        
2.3%300%+
6.3%200–300%
29.3%125–200%
62.1%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 50 days164 forecasts
        
14.6%300%+
15.3%200–300%
30.5%125–200%
39.6%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Saturday to Monday.

Sat 29
0
Mon 31
0
Tue 1
0
Wed 2
301
Thu 3
522
Fri 4
1,099
Sat 5
2,313
Mon 7
2,084
Tue 8
166
Wed 9
1,126
Thu 10
922
Fri 11
2,160
Sat 12
1,777
Mon 14
5,733
Tue 15
2,172
Wed 16
1,227
Thu 17
2,115
Fri 18
2,273
Sat 19
1,465
Mon 21
3,583
Tue 22
1,266
Wed 23
2,136
Thu 24
1,532
Fri 25
1,819
Sat 26
1,646
Mon 28
2,905
Tue 29
938
Wed 30
1,149
Thu 1
919
Fri 2
1,115
Sat 3
2,124
Mon 5
6,284
Tue 6
1,147
Wed 7
2,549
Thu 8
3,209
Fri 9
1,508
Sat 10
2,769
Mon 12
6,432
Tue 13
721
Wed 14
1,793
Thu 15
1,606
Fri 16
2,121
Sat 17
1,739
Mon 19
2,505
Tue 20
1,073
Wed 21
1,397
Thu 22
1,839
Fri 23
1,613
Sat 24
1,684
Mon 26
2,672
Tue 27
608
Wed 28
1,378
Thu 29
1,397
Fri 30
684
Sat 31
1,046
Mon 2
1,404
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 28,771 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 50 days · 2026-09-10 12:00 UTC
Price
2,440.05
Forecasted level
2,495.63
Distance
2.28%
Furthest move
9.32%
Confidence
95%
409% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 11,766 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 50 days · 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC
Price
2,520.21
Forecasted level
2,479.87
Distance
1.60%
Furthest move
3.48%
Confidence
95%
217% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 24,933 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-16 19:00 UTC
Price
2,412.31
Forecasted level
2,454.28
Distance
1.74%
Furthest move
2.71%
Confidence
95%
156% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 25,485 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 50 days · 2026-09-06 05:00 UTC
Price
2,512.59
Forecasted level
2,459.12
Distance
2.13%
Furthest move
2.20%
Confidence
96%
103% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 1,461 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-10-14 07:45 UTC
Price
2,510.13
Forecasted level
2,531.83
Distance
0.86%
Furthest move
0.79%
Confidence
95%
91% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 1,337 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-20 16:00 UTC
Price
2,621.88
Forecasted level
2,597.92
Distance
0.91%
Furthest move
0.57%
Confidence
95%
62% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 1,738 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-11 14:00 UTC
Price
2,606.68
Forecasted level
2,627.57
Distance
0.80%
Furthest move
0.37%
Confidence
96%
46% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 4,274 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-20 13:57 UTC
Price
2,578.69
Forecasted level
2,551.07
Distance
1.07%
Furthest move
0.22%
Confidence
95%
20% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Ethereum forecasts, opened between 2 September and 2 November 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 2 November.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

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