Monthly report · 2 to 30 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Ethereum, 2 to 30 September

Prepared October 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every Ethereum forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Ethereum price forecast Kunkafa published from Wednesday 2 to Wednesday 30 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 40,262 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more30.6%
  2. went 200 to 300%11.5%
  3. went 125 to 200%24.5%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level23.8%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.6%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.5%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.9%
  8. went under 25%4.6%
of the forecasted distance
        

40,262 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 12 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above40,262 forecasts
        
30.6%300%+
11.5%200–300%
24.5%125–200%
23.8%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
4.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%217,529 forecasts
        
15.0%300%+
11.6%200–300%
29.1%125–200%
30.8%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%199,958 forecasts
        
8.3%300%+
8.1%200–300%
28.4%125–200%
38.6%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%164,342 forecasts
        
9.0%300%+
7.4%200–300%
26.3%125–200%
40.2%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%148,439 forecasts
        
8.7%300%+
7.9%200–300%
25.1%125–200%
41.4%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
3.9%25–50%
5.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%150,067 forecasts
        
6.9%300%+
7.2%200–300%
25.2%125–200%
43.1%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.0%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
5.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%130,116 forecasts
        
6.3%300%+
6.8%200–300%
23.6%125–200%
43.8%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%115,668 forecasts
        
6.1%300%+
6.8%200–300%
22.7%125–200%
43.8%100–125%
4.5%75–99%
4.5%50–75%
4.7%25–50%
6.9%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the twenty-six days.

▲ Could rise20,337 forecasts
        
31.3%300%+
11.9%200–300%
24.4%125–200%
23.4%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall19,925 forecasts
        
29.9%300%+
11.1%200–300%
24.6%125–200%
24.2%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
4.8%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 12 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes13,642 forecasts
        
60.1%300%+
12.5%200–300%
10.7%125–200%
3.7%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
8.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes5,310 forecasts
        
34.3%300%+
21.2%200–300%
24.9%125–200%
9.6%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour3,212 forecasts
        
15.2%300%+
18.0%200–300%
36.4%125–200%
22.1%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours521 forecasts
        
21.1%300%+
20.7%200–300%
32.5%125–200%
13.8%100–125%
2.5%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
4.0%25–50%
3.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours3,282 forecasts
        
5.6%300%+
11.0%200–300%
37.9%125–200%
35.3%100–125%
2.7%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day5,574 forecasts
        
4.9%300%+
5.3%200–300%
31.6%125–200%
49.9%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
2.2%25–50%
2.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days668 forecasts
        
7.2%300%+
7.3%200–300%
35.2%125–200%
36.5%100–125%
3.1%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
4.8%25–50%
3.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days5,987 forecasts
        
14.1%300%+
3.9%200–300%
31.5%125–200%
45.1%100–125%
1.0%75–99%
0.9%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
2.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 12 days2,066 forecasts
        
17.8%300%+
9.0%200–300%
29.2%125–200%
44.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Tuesday to Wednesday.

Tue 1
0
Wed 2
211
Thu 3
494
Fri 4
1,095
Sat 5
2,311
Mon 7
2,060
Tue 8
163
Wed 9
1,115
Thu 10
904
Fri 11
2,160
Sat 12
1,777
Mon 14
5,733
Tue 15
2,172
Wed 16
1,227
Thu 17
2,115
Fri 18
2,271
Sat 19
1,434
Mon 21
3,043
Tue 22
1,006
Wed 23
977
Thu 24
804
Fri 25
1,103
Sat 26
1,315
Mon 28
2,790
Tue 29
938
Wed 30
1,044
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 12,335 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-02 16:00 UTC
Price
2,392.31
Forecasted level
2,425.52
Distance
1.39%
Furthest move
5.78%
Confidence
95%
416% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 4,635 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-04 08:00 UTC
Price
2,521.99
Forecasted level
2,487.46
Distance
1.37%
Furthest move
3.73%
Confidence
96%
272% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 9,847 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-11 12:00 UTC
Price
2,557.76
Forecasted level
2,588.87
Distance
1.22%
Furthest move
2.24%
Confidence
96%
184% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 9,582 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 12 days · 2026-09-11 15:45 UTC
Price
2,557.76
Forecasted level
2,521.42
Distance
1.42%
Furthest move
1.42%
Confidence
95%
100% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 652 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-11 14:45 UTC
Price
2,599.48
Forecasted level
2,618.62
Distance
0.74%
Furthest move
0.65%
Confidence
95%
88% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 588 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-20 16:00 UTC
Price
2,621.88
Forecasted level
2,597.92
Distance
0.91%
Furthest move
0.57%
Confidence
95%
62% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 758 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-11 14:00 UTC
Price
2,606.68
Forecasted level
2,627.57
Distance
0.80%
Furthest move
0.37%
Confidence
96%
46% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,865 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 4 days · 2026-09-18 13:00 UTC
Price
2,553.83
Forecasted level
2,535.40
Distance
0.72%
Furthest move
0.01%
Confidence
96%
1% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Ethereum forecasts, opened between 2 and 30 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s Ethereum forecasts

Other Ethereum reports