Weekly report · 15 to 18 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Dow Jones 30, 15 to 18 September

Prepared September 22, 2026 · Report data

Every Dow Jones 30 forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Dow Jones 30 price forecast Kunkafa published from Tuesday 15 to Friday 18 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 6,918 forecasts that settled came out like this:

went 300% or more20.6%
went 200 to 300%15.1%
went 125 to 200%31.5%
went 100 to 125%, reaching the level25.6%
went 75 to 99%1.8%
went 50 to 75%1.7%
went 25 to 50%1.3%
went under 25%2.4%

of the forecasted distance

6,918 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 1 day.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above6,918 forecasts

20.6%300%+

15.1%200–300%

31.5%125–200%

25.6%100–125%

1.8%75–99%

1.7%50–75%

1.3%25–50%

2.4%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 90 to 95%24,400 forecasts

16.8%300%+

13.2%200–300%

30.3%125–200%

27.4%100–125%

2.7%75–99%

2.8%50–75%

2.8%25–50%

4.0%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 85 to 90%19,343 forecasts

11.2%300%+

10.1%200–300%

27.7%125–200%

33.0%100–125%

4.1%75–99%

4.1%50–75%

4.3%25–50%

5.5%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 80 to 85%19,486 forecasts

7.5%300%+

21.0%200–300%

23.2%125–200%

31.1%100–125%

3.7%75–99%

3.9%50–75%

4.1%25–50%

5.5%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 75 to 80%19,733 forecasts

7.3%300%+

5.8%200–300%

17.6%125–200%

26.6%100–125%

3.0%75–99%

3.2%50–75%

17.2%25–50%

19.3%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 70 to 75%21,404 forecasts

29.0%300%+

6.4%200–300%

13.4%125–200%

34.8%100–125%

2.8%75–99%

3.0%50–75%

5.2%25–50%

5.4%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 65 to 70%20,338 forecasts

4.1%300%+

4.1%200–300%

12.6%125–200%

20.6%100–125%

3.4%75–99%

3.5%50–75%

3.7%25–50%

48.0%<25%

of the forecasted level

Confidence 60 to 65%13,035 forecasts

3.8%300%+

24.7%200–300%

17.9%125–200%

33.4%100–125%

4.4%75–99%

4.4%50–75%

5.5%25–50%

5.9%<25%

of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the six days.

▲ Could rise3,436 forecasts

17.5%300%+

15.4%200–300%

31.7%125–200%

26.6%100–125%

1.9%75–99%

2.3%50–75%

1.6%25–50%

3.0%<25%

of the forecasted level

▼ Could fall3,482 forecasts

23.6%300%+

14.8%200–300%

31.4%125–200%

24.7%100–125%

1.6%75–99%

1.1%50–75%

1.1%25–50%

1.7%<25%

of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to a day. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes622 forecasts

68.0%300%+

13.0%200–300%

7.7%125–200%

3.9%100–125%

1.3%75–99%

1.4%50–75%

1.0%25–50%

3.7%<25%

of the forecasted level

Up to 25 minutes993 forecasts

40.2%300%+

19.5%200–300%

23.6%125–200%

7.9%100–125%

2.1%75–99%

2.2%50–75%

2.0%25–50%

2.5%<25%

of the forecasted level

Up to 1 hour1,155 forecasts

17.1%300%+

23.6%200–300%

34.5%125–200%

18.6%100–125%

1.0%75–99%

1.4%50–75%

1.0%25–50%

2.8%<25%

of the forecasted level

Up to 2 hours135 forecasts

23.0%300%+

19.3%200–300%

35.6%125–200%

11.8%100–125%

2.2%75–99%

2.2%50–75%

1.5%25–50%

4.4%<25%

of the forecasted level

Up to 6 hours1,658 forecasts

7.5%300%+

15.2%200–300%

37.9%125–200%

32.6%100–125%

1.6%75–99%

1.6%50–75%

1.3%25–50%

2.3%<25%

of the forecasted level

Up to 1 day2,355 forecasts

10.5%300%+

9.3%200–300%

35.0%125–200%

38.2%100–125%

2.2%75–99%

1.7%50–75%

1.3%25–50%

1.8%<25%

of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Tue 15

1,860

Wed 16

1,080

Thu 17

2,112

Fri 18

1,866

300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%

of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in index points.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 1,422 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-15 12:25 UTC

Price

52,275.30

Forecasted level

52,310.42

Distance

0.07%

Furthest move

0.21%

Confidence

97%

313% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,045 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 12:10 UTC

Price

51,981.80

Forecasted level

51,912.00

Distance

0.13%

Furthest move

0.39%

Confidence

95%

289% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 2,180 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 14:54 UTC

Price

51,657.80

Forecasted level

51,735.24

Distance

0.15%

Furthest move

0.19%

Confidence

96%

126% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 1,773 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 04:38 UTC

Price

51,813.80

Forecasted level

51,702.40

Distance

0.21%

Furthest move

0.23%

Confidence

95%

106% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 123 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-16 13:37 UTC

Price

52,025.60

Forecasted level

52,058.76

Distance

0.06%

Furthest move

0.06%

Confidence

97%

94% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 117 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-17 00:48 UTC

Price

51,790.30

Forecasted level

51,734.67

Distance

0.11%

Furthest move

0.07%

Confidence

96%

62% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 92 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 13:25 UTC

Price

52,017.25

Forecasted level

52,081.08

Distance

0.12%

Furthest move

0.04%

Confidence

96%

31% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 166 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 14:40 UTC

Price

51,490.20

Forecasted level

51,409.78

Distance

0.16%

Furthest move

0.04%

Confidence

95%

23% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Dow Jones 30 forecasts, opened between 15 and 18 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 18 September.
“Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s Dow Jones 30 forecasts

Other Dow Jones 30 reports

Full · 8 to 21 September 2026 · 9,852 forecasts