Monthly report · 8 to 30 September 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Dow Jones 30, 8 to 30 September

Prepared October 1, 2026 · Report data

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Every Dow Jones 30 forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This monthly report takes every Dow Jones 30 price forecast Kunkafa published from Tuesday 8 to Wednesday 30 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 22,811 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more24.0%
  2. went 200 to 300%15.0%
  3. went 125 to 200%30.6%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level22.9%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.8%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.9%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.6%
  8. went under 25%2.2%
of the forecasted distance
        

22,811 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 10 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above22,811 forecasts
        
24.0%300%+
15.0%200–300%
30.6%125–200%
22.9%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
2.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%81,124 forecasts
        
16.0%300%+
13.0%200–300%
30.3%125–200%
29.4%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
2.7%25–50%
3.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%71,339 forecasts
        
9.8%300%+
9.5%200–300%
26.8%125–200%
36.5%100–125%
4.1%75–99%
4.2%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
5.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%67,586 forecasts
        
7.3%300%+
11.2%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
41.7%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.3%25–50%
5.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%58,968 forecasts
        
6.0%300%+
6.1%200–300%
19.0%125–200%
39.1%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
7.1%50–75%
8.7%25–50%
10.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%66,734 forecasts
        
12.4%300%+
5.6%200–300%
15.6%125–200%
48.4%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
3.8%50–75%
4.7%25–50%
5.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%58,491 forecasts
        
4.5%300%+
5.0%200–300%
15.6%125–200%
41.1%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.5%50–75%
4.6%25–50%
20.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%52,657 forecasts
        
3.3%300%+
9.1%200–300%
15.4%125–200%
49.1%100–125%
4.1%75–99%
4.7%50–75%
8.6%25–50%
5.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the fifteen days.

▲ Could rise11,375 forecasts
        
20.5%300%+
14.1%200–300%
31.1%125–200%
24.5%100–125%
2.2%75–99%
2.7%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall11,436 forecasts
        
27.5%300%+
15.8%200–300%
30.1%125–200%
21.2%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
1.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 10 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes3,137 forecasts
        
67.2%300%+
12.3%200–300%
9.6%125–200%
3.7%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes4,149 forecasts
        
39.2%300%+
20.0%200–300%
23.9%125–200%
8.8%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.7%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour3,829 forecasts
        
16.7%300%+
22.3%200–300%
35.1%125–200%
18.3%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
2.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours628 forecasts
        
23.9%300%+
18.8%200–300%
35.5%125–200%
13.0%100–125%
1.9%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
2.1%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours4,887 forecasts
        
7.9%300%+
14.2%200–300%
39.1%125–200%
31.4%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
2.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day5,749 forecasts
        
9.7%300%+
9.3%200–300%
37.3%125–200%
39.1%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
1.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days236 forecasts
        
2.1%300%+
1.7%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
64.8%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
5.1%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
0.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 10 days196 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
1.5%125–200%
11.7%100–125%
23.0%75–99%
36.2%50–75%
20.4%25–50%
7.2%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Tuesday to Wednesday.

Tue 8
157
Fri 11
14
Mon 14
16
Tue 15
1,879
Wed 16
1,160
Thu 17
2,136
Fri 18
1,871
Mon 21
2,788
Tue 22
1,996
Wed 23
2,499
Thu 24
2,312
Fri 25
1,585
Mon 28
1,055
Tue 29
1,692
Wed 30
1,651
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the month, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in index points.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 5,472 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-24 15:00 UTC
Price
51,203.46
Forecasted level
51,264.37
Distance
0.12%
Furthest move
0.57%
Confidence
95%
480% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 3,417 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 12:10 UTC
Price
51,981.80
Forecasted level
51,912.00
Distance
0.13%
Furthest move
0.39%
Confidence
95%
289% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 6,974 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 5 days · 2026-09-18 12:20 UTC
Price
51,610.70
Forecasted level
51,716.88
Distance
0.21%
Furthest move
0.31%
Confidence
95%
150% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 5,220 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 04:38 UTC
Price
51,813.80
Forecasted level
51,702.40
Distance
0.21%
Furthest move
0.23%
Confidence
95%
106% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 410 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 10 days · 2026-09-08 19:53 UTC
Price
52,772.08
Forecasted level
52,869.65
Distance
0.18%
Furthest move
0.15%
Confidence
95%
80% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 437 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-17 00:48 UTC
Price
51,790.30
Forecasted level
51,734.67
Distance
0.11%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
96%
62% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 364 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 10 days · 2026-09-08 22:38 UTC
Price
52,788.80
Forecasted level
52,887.60
Distance
0.19%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
96%
42% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 517 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 14:40 UTC
Price
51,490.20
Forecasted level
51,409.78
Distance
0.16%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
23% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Dow Jones 30 forecasts, opened between 8 and 30 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 September.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this month’s Dow Jones 30 forecasts

Other Dow Jones 30 reports