Full report · 8 September to 30 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Dow Jones 30, 8 September to 30 October

Prepared November 2, 2026 · Report data

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Every Dow Jones 30 forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Dow Jones 30 price forecast Kunkafa published from Tuesday 8 September to Friday 30 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 72,791 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more21.2%
  2. went 200 to 300%13.8%
  3. went 125 to 200%29.9%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level28.5%
  5. went 75 to 99%1.6%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.6%
  7. went 25 to 50%1.5%
  8. went under 25%1.9%
of the forecasted distance
        

72,791 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 25 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above72,791 forecasts
        
21.2%300%+
13.8%200–300%
29.9%125–200%
28.5%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%249,474 forecasts
        
14.3%300%+
12.0%200–300%
29.7%125–200%
33.8%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
3.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%227,853 forecasts
        
8.8%300%+
9.0%200–300%
26.0%125–200%
40.6%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
3.7%25–50%
4.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%197,575 forecasts
        
6.9%300%+
8.6%200–300%
23.1%125–200%
44.6%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
4.1%50–75%
4.1%25–50%
4.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%166,129 forecasts
        
5.4%300%+
6.0%200–300%
19.7%125–200%
47.5%100–125%
3.9%75–99%
5.1%50–75%
5.8%25–50%
6.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%181,012 forecasts
        
7.8%300%+
5.7%200–300%
17.6%125–200%
50.3%100–125%
4.3%75–99%
4.3%50–75%
4.6%25–50%
5.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%164,020 forecasts
        
4.5%300%+
5.2%200–300%
16.9%125–200%
47.2%100–125%
4.7%75–99%
5.1%50–75%
5.2%25–50%
11.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%144,255 forecasts
        
3.3%300%+
6.3%200–300%
16.4%125–200%
50.7%100–125%
5.0%75–99%
5.5%50–75%
6.8%25–50%
6.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the 40 days.

▲ Could rise38,741 forecasts
        
19.1%300%+
13.4%200–300%
30.4%125–200%
29.9%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
2.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall34,050 forecasts
        
23.6%300%+
14.2%200–300%
29.4%125–200%
26.9%100–125%
1.4%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
1.7%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 25 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes9,711 forecasts
        
65.5%300%+
13.1%200–300%
10.6%125–200%
3.7%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.5%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
2.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes12,538 forecasts
        
36.6%300%+
21.5%200–300%
24.2%125–200%
9.7%100–125%
1.8%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.9%25–50%
2.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour10,874 forecasts
        
14.2%300%+
22.3%200–300%
36.3%125–200%
19.6%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.8%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours2,034 forecasts
        
22.0%300%+
21.7%200–300%
31.5%125–200%
14.9%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.5%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
3.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours12,913 forecasts
        
7.2%300%+
12.4%200–300%
41.1%125–200%
32.7%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
1.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day15,081 forecasts
        
7.3%300%+
8.2%200–300%
37.0%125–200%
42.6%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.1%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
1.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days5,093 forecasts
        
3.0%300%+
3.5%200–300%
24.8%125–200%
68.0%100–125%
0.3%75–99%
0.3%50–75%
0.1%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 10 days3,827 forecasts
        
8.4%300%+
4.0%200–300%
21.0%125–200%
56.1%100–125%
3.3%75–99%
3.6%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
1.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 days720 forecasts
        
0.3%300%+
2.6%200–300%
22.4%125–200%
66.4%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
4.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 50 days0 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Friday to Friday.

Fri 4
0
Mon 7
0
Tue 8
157
Wed 9
120
Fri 11
14
Mon 14
44
Tue 15
2,099
Wed 16
1,275
Thu 17
2,266
Fri 18
1,871
Mon 21
2,790
Tue 22
2,069
Wed 23
2,559
Thu 24
3,435
Fri 25
2,947
Mon 28
1,216
Tue 29
1,765
Wed 30
2,003
Thu 1
3,023
Fri 2
2,465
Mon 5
1,796
Tue 6
2,603
Wed 7
3,351
Thu 8
3,083
Fri 9
1,897
Mon 12
3,507
Tue 13
2,596
Wed 14
3,011
Thu 15
1,445
Fri 16
2,401
Mon 19
2,381
Tue 20
1,643
Wed 21
1,647
Thu 22
1,001
Fri 23
2,038
Mon 26
681
Tue 27
1,395
Wed 28
1,811
Thu 29
1,069
Fri 30
1,317
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in index points.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 15,456 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 5 days · 2026-10-01 12:35 UTC
Price
51,161.35
Forecasted level
51,256.45
Distance
0.19%
Furthest move
0.63%
Confidence
96%
337% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 10,017 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-02 13:30 UTC
Price
51,249.15
Forecasted level
51,168.25
Distance
0.16%
Furthest move
0.32%
Confidence
95%
201% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 21,758 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 25 days · 2026-09-30 10:10 UTC
Price
51,402.60
Forecasted level
51,557.55
Distance
0.30%
Furthest move
0.43%
Confidence
96%
141% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 20,740 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 10 days · 2026-10-13 15:01 UTC
Price
51,787.46
Forecasted level
51,645.02
Distance
0.28%
Furthest move
0.30%
Confidence
95%
110% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 1,143 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 25 days · 2026-09-15 03:10 UTC
Price
52,318.80
Forecasted level
52,453.52
Distance
0.26%
Furthest move
0.22%
Confidence
96%
85% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 1,183 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-19 13:25 UTC
Price
51,919.94
Forecasted level
51,812.83
Distance
0.21%
Furthest move
0.13%
Confidence
95%
62% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 1,099 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 25 days · 2026-09-15 01:45 UTC
Price
52,370.80
Forecasted level
52,528.45
Distance
0.30%
Furthest move
0.12%
Confidence
96%
40% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,395 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-19 13:15 UTC
Price
51,869.99
Forecasted level
51,765.98
Distance
0.20%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
22% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Dow Jones 30 forecasts, opened between 8 September and 30 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 30 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See the latest Dow Jones 30 forecasts

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