Every Dow Jones 30 forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This report takes every Dow Jones 30 price forecast Kunkafa published from Tuesday 8 to Monday 21 September at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?
Kunkafa’s confidence floor
The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.
Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 9,852 forecasts that settled came out like this:
went 300% or more22.3%
went 200 to 300%15.6%
went 125 to 200%30.5%
went 100 to 125%, reaching the level23.1%
went 75 to 99%2.1%
went 50 to 75%2.2%
went 25 to 50%1.7%
went under 25%2.5%
of the forecasted distance
9,852 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 10 days.
Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.
Confidence, and what it was worth
Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.
Confidence 95% and above9,852 forecasts
22.3%300%+
15.6%200–300%
30.5%125–200%
23.1%100–125%
2.1%75–99%
2.2%50–75%
1.7%25–50%
2.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%31,360 forecasts
17.5%300%+
13.6%200–300%
29.6%125–200%
26.2%100–125%
3.0%75–99%
3.0%50–75%
3.1%25–50%
4.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%25,280 forecasts
11.2%300%+
10.3%200–300%
27.3%125–200%
31.7%100–125%
4.2%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.5%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%24,713 forecasts
8.1%300%+
18.5%200–300%
23.0%125–200%
31.2%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.8%25–50%
6.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%24,424 forecasts
7.2%300%+
6.2%200–300%
18.2%125–200%
28.3%100–125%
3.5%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
15.0%25–50%
18.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%25,903 forecasts
25.1%300%+
6.5%200–300%
14.4%125–200%
34.5%100–125%
3.6%75–99%
3.5%50–75%
5.4%25–50%
7.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%24,081 forecasts
4.5%300%+
4.4%200–300%
13.6%125–200%
23.2%100–125%
3.7%75–99%
4.3%50–75%
4.4%25–50%
41.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%16,631 forecasts
3.9%300%+
20.4%200–300%
18.3%125–200%
34.1%100–125%
4.5%75–99%
4.9%50–75%
6.8%25–50%
7.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Both directions
A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.
▲ Could rise4,009 forecasts
19.3%300%+
15.2%200–300%
29.5%125–200%
24.0%100–125%
2.9%75–99%
3.7%50–75%
2.3%25–50%
3.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall5,843 forecasts
24.3%300%+
15.8%200–300%
31.2%125–200%
22.4%100–125%
1.5%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
2.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
By duration
Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 10 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.
Up to 5 minutes968 forecasts
68.0%300%+
12.9%200–300%
8.4%125–200%
3.4%100–125%
1.1%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.0%25–50%
3.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes1,409 forecasts
40.4%300%+
19.4%200–300%
23.1%125–200%
8.7%100–125%
2.3%75–99%
1.8%50–75%
2.0%25–50%
2.3%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour1,645 forecasts
18.2%300%+
23.8%200–300%
33.8%125–200%
16.3%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
2.1%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
2.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours169 forecasts
21.3%300%+
21.3%200–300%
36.1%125–200%
10.6%100–125%
3.0%75–99%
2.4%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
4.1%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours2,353 forecasts
9.4%300%+
16.2%200–300%
37.4%125–200%
29.6%100–125%
1.6%75–99%
1.6%50–75%
1.5%25–50%
2.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day3,135 forecasts
13.1%300%+
10.5%200–300%
35.1%125–200%
35.7%100–125%
1.7%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
1.1%25–50%
1.5%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days16 forecasts
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
6.3%125–200%
93.7%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 10 days157 forecasts
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
0.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
27.4%75–99%
42.7%50–75%
23.5%25–50%
6.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Day by day
The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Tuesday to Monday.
What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time
Real forecasts from the period, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in index points.
300% of the forecast distance or more · 2,195 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-15 12:25 UTC
Price
52,275.30
Forecasted level
52,310.42
Distance
0.07%
Furthest move
0.21%
Confidence
97%
313% of the forecasted distance
200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 1,536 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 12:10 UTC
Price
51,981.80
Forecasted level
51,912.00
Distance
0.13%
Furthest move
0.39%
Confidence
95%
289% of the forecasted distance
125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 3,003 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 14:54 UTC
Price
51,657.80
Forecasted level
51,735.24
Distance
0.15%
Furthest move
0.19%
Confidence
96%
126% of the forecasted distance
100 to 125%, reached the level · 2,274 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-17 04:38 UTC
Price
51,813.80
Forecasted level
51,702.40
Distance
0.21%
Furthest move
0.23%
Confidence
95%
106% of the forecasted distance
75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 205 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 10 days · 2026-09-08 19:53 UTC
Price
52,772.08
Forecasted level
52,869.65
Distance
0.18%
Furthest move
0.15%
Confidence
95%
80% of the forecasted distance
50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 221 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 6 hours · 2026-09-17 00:48 UTC
Price
51,790.30
Forecasted level
51,734.67
Distance
0.11%
Furthest move
0.07%
Confidence
96%
62% of the forecasted distance
25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 174 forecasts
▲ Rise · Up to 10 days · 2026-09-08 22:38 UTC
Price
52,788.80
Forecasted level
52,887.60
Distance
0.19%
Furthest move
0.08%
Confidence
96%
42% of the forecasted distance
Under 25% of the forecast distance · 244 forecasts
▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-18 14:40 UTC
Price
51,490.20
Forecasted level
51,409.78
Distance
0.16%
Furthest move
0.04%
Confidence
95%
23% of the forecasted distance
How this was counted
Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Dow Jones 30 forecasts, opened between 8 and 21 September 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 21 September.
“Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.
Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.