Weekly report · 28 September to 5 October 2026

Here is how Kunkafa’s AI performed on Alphabet, 28 September to 5 October

Prepared October 5, 2026 · Report data

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Every Alphabet forecast from Kunkafa’s AI market analysis names a direction, a duration and a level. This weekly report takes every Alphabet price forecast Kunkafa published from Monday 28 September to Monday 5 October at 95% confidence and above, and asks one question of each: inside its own duration, how far did price actually go toward that level?

Kunkafa’s confidence floor

The written figures describe the 95% view. Choose a lower floor to see the same forecasts from a wider net.

Measured as a share of the distance to the forecast level, not as a price change, the 16,700 forecasts that settled came out like this:

  1. went 300% or more34.0%
  2. went 200 to 300%20.3%
  3. went 125 to 200%19.0%
  4. went 100 to 125%, reaching the level13.3%
  5. went 75 to 99%0.8%
  6. went 50 to 75%1.0%
  7. went 25 to 50%0.9%
  8. went under 25%10.7%
of the forecasted distance
        

16,700 forecasts at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration up to 5 days.

Every band is a share of the distance to the forecast level, not a price change: 100% is the level itself, 300% is three times that distance, 50% is halfway there.

Confidence, and what it was worth

Every forecast carries Kunkafa’s confidence. The higher the confidence, the further price tends to go. The rest of this report keeps to 95% and above; here every band from 60% up is shown, so the value of confidence is visible.

Confidence 95% and above16,700 forecasts
        
34.0%300%+
20.3%200–300%
19.0%125–200%
13.3%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
1.0%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
10.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 90 to 95%68,222 forecasts
        
26.2%300%+
17.9%200–300%
19.2%125–200%
16.8%100–125%
1.3%75–99%
1.4%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
15.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 85 to 90%46,666 forecasts
        
23.4%300%+
13.1%200–300%
19.6%125–200%
22.6%100–125%
2.4%75–99%
2.3%50–75%
2.4%25–50%
14.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 80 to 85%37,651 forecasts
        
22.9%300%+
12.3%200–300%
19.5%125–200%
24.8%100–125%
2.6%75–99%
2.9%50–75%
2.8%25–50%
12.2%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 75 to 80%27,874 forecasts
        
17.3%300%+
11.5%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
27.9%100–125%
3.2%75–99%
3.1%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
11.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 70 to 75%25,317 forecasts
        
13.9%300%+
10.5%200–300%
22.5%125–200%
32.3%100–125%
3.5%75–99%
3.9%50–75%
3.5%25–50%
9.9%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 65 to 70%21,229 forecasts
        
13.7%300%+
10.0%200–300%
21.2%125–200%
30.7%100–125%
3.8%75–99%
4.4%50–75%
4.8%25–50%
11.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Confidence 60 to 65%18,800 forecasts
        
13.6%300%+
9.7%200–300%
20.0%125–200%
30.5%100–125%
4.6%75–99%
4.6%50–75%
5.0%25–50%
12.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Both directions

A rise is never shown without the fall beside it. Here is each side of the seven days.

▲ Could rise7,341 forecasts
        
36.8%300%+
19.4%200–300%
19.3%125–200%
12.5%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
0.7%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
9.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
▼ Could fall9,359 forecasts
        
31.9%300%+
20.9%200–300%
18.7%125–200%
14.0%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
1.3%50–75%
0.9%25–50%
11.6%<25%
of the forecasted level

By duration

Kunkafa answers the same question at many durations, from minutes to 5 days. Each forecast is judged only within its own duration.

Up to 5 minutes2,420 forecasts
        
56.2%300%+
14.4%200–300%
2.4%125–200%
0.7%100–125%
0.4%75–99%
0.3%50–75%
0.2%25–50%
25.4%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 25 minutes3,721 forecasts
        
43.0%300%+
25.8%200–300%
9.7%125–200%
3.6%100–125%
0.7%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.8%25–50%
15.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 hour4,188 forecasts
        
36.0%300%+
25.6%200–300%
18.6%125–200%
7.9%100–125%
0.6%75–99%
0.8%50–75%
0.7%25–50%
9.8%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 2 hours503 forecasts
        
40.9%300%+
22.5%200–300%
20.3%125–200%
7.3%100–125%
0.8%75–99%
2.0%50–75%
1.6%25–50%
4.6%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 6 hours2,853 forecasts
        
22.4%300%+
17.5%200–300%
32.1%125–200%
20.1%100–125%
0.9%75–99%
1.9%50–75%
1.4%25–50%
3.7%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 1 day2,909 forecasts
        
12.5%300%+
12.8%200–300%
31.4%125–200%
37.7%100–125%
1.2%75–99%
1.2%50–75%
1.2%25–50%
2.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 4 days105 forecasts
        
11.4%300%+
16.2%200–300%
40.0%125–200%
32.4%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level
Up to 5 days1 forecasts
        
0.0%300%+
0.0%200–300%
100.0%125–200%
0.0%100–125%
0.0%75–99%
0.0%50–75%
0.0%25–50%
0.0%<25%
of the forecasted level

Day by day

The same breakdown for each day’s forecasts, Monday to Monday.

Mon 28
1,344
Tue 29
1,415
Wed 30
2,674
Thu 1
1,442
Fri 2
1,692
Sat 3
3,446
Mon 5
4,687
300%+200–300%125–200%100–125%75–99%50–75%25–50%<25%
of the forecasted level

What the numbers look like, one forecast at a time

Real forecasts from the week, durations of an hour or more: per band, the one with the widest distance to its level. Prices in USD.

300% of the forecast distance or more · 5,687 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-30 15:50 UTC
Price
352.09
Forecasted level
352.89
Distance
0.23%
Furthest move
2.38%
Confidence
96%
1052% of the forecasted distance

200 to 300% of the forecast distance · 3,384 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-09-30 20:05 UTC
Price
355.36
Forecasted level
354.48
Distance
0.25%
Furthest move
0.64%
Confidence
95%
259% of the forecasted distance

125 to 200% of the forecast distance · 3,171 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-01 16:50 UTC
Price
336.33
Forecasted level
337.83
Distance
0.44%
Furthest move
0.56%
Confidence
95%
125% of the forecasted distance

100 to 125%, reached the level · 2,221 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-01 15:15 UTC
Price
341.53
Forecasted level
339.88
Distance
0.48%
Furthest move
0.50%
Confidence
96%
104% of the forecasted distance

75 to 99% of the forecast distance · 128 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-01 14:15 UTC
Price
342.30
Forecasted level
343.23
Distance
0.27%
Furthest move
0.25%
Confidence
95%
93% of the forecasted distance

50 to 75% of the forecast distance · 170 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-02 13:20 UTC
Price
342.16
Forecasted level
341.24
Distance
0.27%
Furthest move
0.15%
Confidence
96%
56% of the forecasted distance

25 to 50% of the forecast distance · 147 forecasts

▲ Rise · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-01 13:40 UTC
Price
345.08
Forecasted level
346.29
Distance
0.35%
Furthest move
0.16%
Confidence
95%
44% of the forecasted distance

Under 25% of the forecast distance · 1,792 forecasts

▼ Fall · Up to 1 day · 2026-10-02 12:55 UTC
Price
341.74
Forecasted level
340.88
Distance
0.25%
Furthest move
0.05%
Confidence
96%
20% of the forecasted distance

How this was counted

  • Source: Kunkafa’s outcome of live Alphabet forecasts, opened between 28 September and 5 October 2026, at Kunkafa’s confidence of 95% or higher, both directions, every duration; every section but the confidence breakdown counts this same population.
  • Only settled forecasts are counted: the full duration had elapsed by the time of this report, and for durations beyond two days it had elapsed at least a day before 5 October.
  • “Reached” means price touched the forecast level at some point inside the forecast’s duration; expiring without touching it counts as not reached, whatever happened afterwards.
  • No forecast was removed, re-weighted or selected by outcome.

Kunkafa’s forecasts are probabilities, not prophecy. Past results describe what happened; they do not promise what could happen next. Probability, not advice.

See this week’s Alphabet forecasts

Other Alphabet reports